Journals / Balkan Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi / 2021 / Cilt: 10 - Sayı: 20

How Urban and Rural Population Growth are Related with Household Consumption?: The Case of Turkey

Pages
35–43
Publication Date
2021-12-31
DOI
—
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

Co-integration analysis results show that series of urban population growth rate, rural population growth rate, and per capita household consumption growth are co-integrated and they move together in the long-run in Turkey.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:In this study we try to identify the long-run relationship between per capita household consumption growth rate and rural and urban population growth rate in Turkey by means of ARDL estimation method with an annual dataset spanning from 1988 to 2019.
📊
Key Findings & Data:Co-integration analysis results show that series of urban population growth rate, rural population growth rate, and per capita household consumption growth are co-integrated and they move together in the long-run in Turkey.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:According to the long-run coefficient estimations, it can be asserted that a one percent increase in rural population growth rate causes to a drop by 4.006% in household consumption growth rate and that a one percent rise in urban population growth rate leads to an increase by 1.04% in household consumption growth rate in the long-run in Turkey.
🔬Design:Research Article
📍Scope:2019 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Household Consumption · Consumption Expentidure · Population Growth

Özet

In this study we try to identify the long-run relationship between per capita household consumption growth rate and rural and urban population growth rate in Turkey by means of ARDL estimation method with an annual dataset spanning from 1988 to 2019. Co-integration analysis results show that series of urban population growth rate, rural population growth rate, and per capita household consumption growth are co-integrated and they move together in the long-run in Turkey. Long-run coefficient estimations disclose that rural population growth rate has a statistically significant negative impact on household consumption growth and urban population growth rate has a statistically significant positive impact on household consumption growth rate. According to the long-run coefficient estimations, it can be asserted that a one percent increase in rural population growth rate causes to a drop by 4.006% in household consumption growth rate and that a one percent rise in urban population growth rate leads to an increase by 1.04% in household consumption growth rate in the long-run in Turkey.

🔖

Cite This Article

KOYUNCU, J. Y., OKŞAK, Y. (2021). How Urban and Rural Population Growth are Related with Household Consumption?: The Case of Turkey. Balkan Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Cilt: 10 - Sayı: 20, 35–43. https://ajindex.com/articles/739641

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (13)

  1. Batırel Ömer, F. (1986). Sağlık hizmetleri ve devlet politikası. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 3(3). Becker, G. (1960), An economic analysis of fertility. in: Demography and Economic Change in Developed Countries, Universities-NBER Research Conference Series 11, Princeton, 209-31.
  2. Bodkin, R. (1959). Windfall income and consumption. The American Economic Review, 49(4), 602-614
  3. Changsheng, L. W. X. (2008). The effects of natural population growth rate on real household consumption in China [J]. Chinese Journal of Population Science, 3. https://en.cnki.com.cn/Article_en/CJFDTotal-ZKRK200803008.htm
  4. Çağlayan, E. ve Astar, M. (2012). A microeconometric analysis of household consumption expenditure determinants for both rural and urban areas in Turkey. American International Journal Of Contemporary Research, 2(2): 27-34.
  5. Çolak, Ö. F., Öztürkler, H. ve Tokatlıoğlu, İ. (2008). Türkiye’de tüketim fonksiyonunun dilim regresyon yöntemi ile tahmini. İktisat İşletme ve Finans, 23(268), 62-93.
  6. De Brauw, A., Mueller, V., & Lee, H. L. (2014). The role of rural–urban migration in the structural transformation of Sub-Saharan Africa. World Development, 63, 33-42.
  7. Gebreegziabher, Z. (2007). Household fuel consumption and resource use in rural-urban Ethiopia. Hazell, P. B., & Haggblade, S. (1990). Rural-urban growth linkages in India. World Bank Publications. Henderson, J. V., & Wang, H. G. (2005). Aspects of the rural-urban transformation of countries. Journal of Economic Geography, 5(1), 23-42.
  8. Karluk, S. R. (1996). Türkiye ekonomisi tarihsel gelişim yapısal ve sosyal değişim, 4. Baskı,
  9. Beta Yay., İstanbul.
  10. Lebe, F., Yusuf, E., A. (2014). Türkiye’nin konut talebinin analizi: 1970-2011. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 28(1): 57-83.
  11. Liddle, B. (2017). Urbanization and inequality/poverty. Urban Science, 1(4), 35. Luo, X., Wang, Y., & Zhang, X. (2019). E-Commerce development and household consumption growth in China. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, (8810). Modigliani, F. (1986). Life cycle. Individual Thrift and Wealth of Nations American Economic Review, 76(3):297-313.
  12. Niu, S., Li, Z., Qiu, X., Dai, R., Wang, X., Qiang, W., & Hong, Z. (2019). Measurement of effective energy consumption in China's rural household sector and policy implication. Energy policy, 128, 553-564.
  13. Özen, E. (2020). Does urbanization play role on poverty?: Empirical evidence. Interdisciplinary Public Finance, Business and Economics Stud