Journals / Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi / 1984 / Sayı: 6

OLASILIKLI PERT ANALİZİNDE KULLANILAN BETA DAĞILIMININ BEKLENEN DEĞERİNİN HESABINDA ORTAYA ÇIKABİLECEK HATALARIN PARAMETRİK OLARAK İNCELENMESİ

Pages
107–111
Publication Date
1984-01-01
DOI
—
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

The difference betvveen the estimated and the calculatcd modal val-ues causes an error in expected value vvhich is ob-tained using the lovver limit, upper limit and the modal value.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:The modal value of the beta distribution is a functıon of the upper and Iower limits of the range.
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Key Findings & Data:That is, for a given range, the modal value ol the distribution is determinable.
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Conclusion & Impact:The difference betvveen the estimated and the calculatcd modal val-ues causes an error in expected value vvhich is ob-tained using the lovver limit, upper limit and the modal value.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:Comprehensive Sample
⚙️Variables:olasılıklı pert analizinde kullanılan beta dağılımı · işletme

Özet

The modal value of the beta distribution is a functıon of the upper and Iower limits of the range. That is, for a given range, the modal value ol the distribution is determinable. However, in probabilis-tic pert models, along vvith the upper and lovver limits, a modal value is also estimated. The difference betvveen the estimated and the calculatcd modal val-ues causes an error in expected value vvhich is ob-tained using the lovver limit, upper limit and the modal value.

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Cite This Article

Unutulmaz, O. (1984). OLASILIKLI PERT ANALİZİNDE KULLANILAN BETA DAĞILIMININ BEKLENEN DEĞERİNİN HESABINDA ORTAYA ÇIKABİLECEK HATALARIN PARAMETRİK OLARAK İNCELENMESİ. Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, Sayı: 6, 107–111. https://ajindex.com/articles/119433

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References (5)

  1. Trueman, Richard, E., An Introduction To (Juantitative Mcthods For Decision Making, Holt Rinehart and VVinston Inc. 1974, pp. 352-355.
  2. Thireof. Robert J Grossee, Riclıard A., Decision Making Trough Opera-tions Research, John \Viley and Sons Inc. 1970 pp. 118-121.
  3. Hiller, Frederick S., Lieberman, Gerald. J„ Introduction To Operations Research, Holdan - Day Inc., 1973, pp, 234-241.
  4. Hahn, Gerald J„ Shapiro, Samuel S., Statistical Models in Engineering, John Wiley and Sons Inc., 1967, pp. 91 -99.
  5. Unutulmaz, Osman «Olasılıklı Pert Analizinde Kullanılan Beta Dağılımı ve Uygulama Hataları» E.Ü.Î. ve Î.B.F. Dergisi Sayı 4, 1983 pp. 181 -189.