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Dergiler / International Journal of Social Inquiry / 2008 / Cilt: 1 - Sayı: 1

Prognostics of Recidivism for Incarcerated Juvenile Offenders: More evidence

Jospeter M. MBUBA
Charles E. GRENIER
Sayfa
75–88
Yayın Tarihi
2016-05-30
DOI
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⚡ TL;DR(1 Cümlede Hızlı Çıkarım)

Socio-demographic profiles and delinquent histories of 1,319 juvenile offenders released during the 1999/2000 fiscal year were systematically distilled and from a wide array of potential predictors, a multi-method analysis revealed the following as the most reliable predictors of recidivism in the order of significance: offense type, drug use, peer influence, seriousness of the offense, alcohol use, age at first adjudication, and duration of incarceration.

📌 3 Maddede Bu Makale

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Amaç & Hipotez:Considerable effort has been made in the past to identify reliable predictors of recidivism for incarcerated juvenile offenders, but with mixed results.
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Temel Bulgular & Veri:This study draws extensively on previous research to produce a parsimonious set of reliable predictors from a large pool of potential indicators, using data available from a large sample of dischargees from a secure state facility in the state of Louisiana.
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Sonuç & Katkı:Socio-demographic profiles and delinquent histories of 1,319 juvenile offenders released during the 1999/2000 fiscal year were systematically distilled and from a wide array of potential predictors, a multi-method analysis revealed the following as the most reliable predictors of recidivism in the order of significance: offense type, drug use, peer influence, seriousness of the offense, alcohol use, age at first adjudication, and duration of incarceration.
🔬Tür:Laboratuvar & Saha Deneyi
📍Kapsam:2000 Verileri
⚙️Değişkenler:Recidivism predictors · juvenile recidivism · juvenile incarceration

Abstract

Considerable effort has been made in the past to identify reliable predictors of recidivism for incarcerated juvenile offenders, but with mixed results. This study draws extensively on previous research to produce a parsimonious set of reliable predictors from a large pool of potential indicators, using data available from a large sample of dischargees from a secure state facility in the state of Louisiana. Socio-demographic profiles and delinquent histories of 1,319 juvenile offenders released during the 1999/2000 fiscal year were systematically distilled and from a wide array of potential predictors, a multi-method analysis revealed the following as the most reliable predictors of recidivism in the order of significance: offense type, drug use, peer influence, seriousness of the offense, alcohol use, age at first adjudication, and duration of incarceration.

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Bu Makaleye Atıf Yap

MBUBA, J. M., GRENIER, C. E. (2016). Prognostics of Recidivism for Incarcerated Juvenile Offenders: More evidence. International Journal of Social Inquiry, Cilt: 1 - Sayı: 1, 75–88. https://ajindex.com/articles/673060

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Kaynakça (11)

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  2. Benda, B. B. (2001). “Factors that Discriminate Between Recidivists, Parole Violators, and Nonrecidivists in a 3-Year Follow-Up of Boot Camp Graduates”. International Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative Criminology. 45, 6, pp. 711-729
  3. Bondeson, U. V. (2002). Alternatives to Imprisonment: Intentions and Reality. New Brunswick, Transaction Publishers.
  4. Bridges, G. S. & Steen, S. (1998). “Racial Disparities in Official Assessments of Juvenile Offenders: Attributional Stereotypes as Mediating Mechanisms”. American Sociological Review. Vol. 63, 554-570.
  5. Campbell, Donald T. and Julian C. Stanley (1963). Experimental and Quasi-experimental Design for Research. Chicago: Rand McNally. Champion, Dean J. (1998). Corrections in the United States: A Contemporary Perspective. NJ: Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River. Corrado, R. R., Cohen, I. M., Glackman, W. & Odgers. C. (2003). “Serious and Violent Young Offenders’ Decision to Recidivate: An Assessment of Five Sentencing Models”. Crime and Delinquency. Vol. 49, no. 2, 179-200.
  6. DeComo, R. E. (1998). “Estimating the Prevalence of Juvenile Custody by Race and Gender”. Crime and Delinquency. Vol. 44, no. 4, 489-506.
  7. Duncan, R. D., Kennedy, W. A. & Patrick, C. J. (1995). Four-Factor Model of Recidivism in Male Juvenile Offenders. Journal of Clinical Child Psychology. Vol. 24, no. 3, 250-257.
  8. Greenwood, P. W., Deschenes, E. P. & Adams, J. (1993). Chronic Juvenile Offenders:Final Results From the Skillman Aftercare Experiment. Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation. Grenier, C. E. & Roundtree, G. A. (1987, Fall/Winter). “Predicting Recidivism Among Adjudicated Delinquents: A Model to Identify High Risk Offenders”. Journal of Offender Counseling, Services & Rehabilitation. Vol. 12, 1, 101-112.
  9. Hagan, F. E. (2003). Research Methods in Criminal Justice and Criminology. Allyn & Bacon, MA: Boston. Hagan, J. (1993). “The Social Embeddedness of Crime and Unemployment”.Criminology, Vol. 31, pp. 465-491.
  10. Harms, P. (2003, September). “Detention in Delinquency Cases, 1990-1999”. Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention, Office of Justice Programs, U.S. Department of Justice, Fact Sheet, 7. Harrison, P., Maupin, J. R. & Mays, G. L. (2001). “Teen Court: An Examination of Processes and Outcomes”. Crime & Delinquency. Vol. 47, no. 2, 243-264.
  11. Langan, P. A. & Levin, D. J. (2002). “Recidivism of Prisoners Released i