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Dergiler / Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi / 2026 / Cilt: 16 Sayı: 3

Ekonomik Büyüme Enerji Tüketimi Göç ve İklim Değişikliğinin Doğurganlık Üzerindeki Etkisi: G-7 Ülkelerinden Kanıtlar

The Impact of Economic Growth, Energy Consumption, Migration, and Climate Change on Fertility: Evidence from G-7 Countries

İbrahim Aytekin(BİTLİS EREN ÜNİVERSİTESİ)0000-0002-3574-1007
Sayfa
945–972
Yayın Tarihi
2026-09-23
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⚡ TL;DR(1 Cümlede Hızlı Çıkarım)

Son olarak araştırmada iklim değişikliği ile doğurganlık arasında kısa ve uzun dönemde anlamlı bir ilişkiye rastlanmamıştır

📌 3 Maddede Bu Makale

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Amaç & Hipotez:Bu araştırmanın amacı, G7 ülkelerinde (Almanya, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri, İngiltere, İtalya, Fransa, Japonya ve Kanada) ekonomik büyüme, enerji tüketimi, göç ve iklim değişikliğinin doğurganlık üzerindeki etkilerinin yanı sıra bu değişkenler arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisini araştırmaktır.
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Temel Bulgular & Veri:Araştırmanın dönemini 1980-2022 yılları arası oluşturmaktadır.
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Sonuç & Katkı:Son olarak araştırmada iklim değişikliği ile doğurganlık arasında kısa ve uzun dönemde anlamlı bir ilişkiye rastlanmamıştır
🔬Tür:Araştırma Makalesi
📍Kapsam:2022 Verileri
⚙️Değişkenler:Büyüme · Doğurganlık · Enerji

Özet

Bu araştırmanın amacı, G7 ülkelerinde (Almanya, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri, İngiltere, İtalya, Fransa, Japonya ve Kanada) ekonomik büyüme, enerji tüketimi, göç ve iklim değişikliğinin doğurganlık üzerindeki etkilerinin yanı sıra bu değişkenler arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisini araştırmaktır. Bu araştırma, panel veri yöntemlerinde olan birim kök testleri, eşbütünleşme testi, katsayı tahmin testi ve nedensellik testi kullanılarak yapılmıştır. Araştırmanın dönemini 1980-2022 yılları arası oluşturmaktadır. Araştırmanın sonuçlarına göre değişkenler arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisine rastlanmıştır. Panelin geneli için yapılan katsayı tahminlerine göre G-7 ülkelerinde ekonomik büyüme ile doğurganlık arasında kısa ve uzun dönemde negatif bir ilişkiye rastlanmıştır. Enerji tüketim ile doğurganlık arasında ise kısa ve uzun dönemde pozitif bir ilişkiye rastlanmıştır. Göçe bakıldığında ise kısa dönemde göç ile doğurganlık arasında anlamlı bir ilişkiye rastlanmazken, uzun dönemde göç doğurganlık oranını pozitif yönde etkilemektedir. Son olarak araştırmada iklim değişikliği ile doğurganlık arasında kısa ve uzun dönemde anlamlı bir ilişkiye rastlanmamıştır

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of economic growth, energy consumption, migration, and climate change on fertility in G7 countries (Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, France, Japan, and Canada), as well as the causal relationships between these variables. This research was conducted using unit root tests, cointegration tests, coefficient estimation tests, and causality tests in panel data methods. The period of the research covers the years 1980-2022. The results of the study indicate that there is a cointegration relationship between the variables. According to the coefficient estimates for the panel as a whole, a negative relationship was found between economic growth and fertility in G-7 countries in both the short and long term. A positive relationship was found between energy consumption and fertility in both the short and long term. Regarding migration, no significant relationship was found between migration and fertility in the short term, while migration positively affected the fertility rate in the long term. Finally, the study found no significant relationship between climate change and fertility in either the short or long term.

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Bu Makaleye Atıf Yap

Aytekin, İ. (2026). Ekonomik Büyüme Enerji Tüketimi Göç ve İklim Değişikliğinin Doğurganlık Üzerindeki Etkisi: G-7 Ülkelerinden Kanıtlar. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, Cilt: 16 Sayı: 3, 945–972. https://doi.org/10.18074/ckuiibfd.1856190

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