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Journals / Sosyal Politika Çalışmaları Dergisi / 2013 / Cilt: 0 - Sayı: 30

Türkıye'deki şartlı nakıt transferı programı başvurularının çok boyutlu zaman serileri ile modellenmesi

Multivariate tıme series modeling of the number of applicants for conditional cash transfer program in Turkey

Ahmet Fatih ORTAKAYA
Ceylan TALU YOZGATLIGİL
Pages
101–116
Publication Date
2022-10-18
DOI
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

In this study, the change of CCT applications over time was modeled by using multivariate time series modeling namely vector autoregressive models with exogenous variables (VARX) according to geographical regions.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) is a social assistance program which aims for investing in human capital by enabling families under risk of poverty to send their children to school and to benefit from health services regularly.
📊
Key Findings & Data:CCT program in Turkey was spread among poor families, and demands for the program were increased.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:In this study, the change of CCT applications over time was modeled by using multivariate time series modeling namely vector autoregressive models with exogenous variables (VARX) according to geographical regions.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:Comprehensive Sample
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters

Abstract

Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) is a social assistance program which aims for investing in human capital by enabling families under risk of poverty to send their children to school and to benefit from health services regularly. CCT program in Turkey was spread among poor families, and demands for the program were increased. The need for examining these demands scientifically made this study necessary. In this study, the change of CCT applications over time was modeled by using multivariate time series modeling namely vector autoregressive models with exogenous variables (VARX) according to geographical regions.

Özet

Şartlı Nakit Transferi (ŞNT), yoksulluk riski altında bulunan ailelerin çocuklarının düzenli olarak eğitim ve sağlık hizmetlerine erişiminin sağlanması ile bu ailelerin beşeri sermayelerini desteklemeyi amaçlayan bir sosyal yardım programıdır. Türkiye'deki ŞNT programı yoksul haneler arasında hızlı bir şekilde yayılmış ve bahse konu yardım programı için talep artmıştır. Yardım programı için bu talebin bilimsel olarak incelenmesi ihtiyacı bu çalışmayı gerekli kılmıştır. Bu çalışma ile Şartlı Nakit Transferi Programı için yapılan yardım başvuruları bağımlı değişkenli vektör otoregresif zaman serileri isimli çok boyutlu zaman serileri analizi ile coğrafi bölgeler temelinde modellenmiştir.

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Cite This Article

ORTAKAYA, A. F., YOZGATLIGİL, C. T. (2022). Türkıye'deki şartlı nakıt transferı programı başvurularının çok boyutlu zaman serileri ile modellenmesi. Sosyal Politika Çalışmaları Dergisi, Cilt: 0 - Sayı: 30, 101–116. https://ajindex.com/articles/592407

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