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Journals / Sosyal Politika Çalışmaları Dergisi / 2013 / Cilt: 7 - Sayı: 30

Multivariate Time Series Modeling Of The Number Of Applicants For Turkey Conditional Cash Transfer Program in

TÜRKIYE'DEKİ ŞARTLI NAKIT TRANSFERI PROGRAMI BAŞVURULARININ ÇOK BOYUTLU ZAMAN SERİLERİ İLE MODELLENMESİ

Ahmet Fatih ORTAKAYA
Asst. Prof. Dr. Ceylan TALU YOZGATLIGİL
Pages
101–116
Publication Date
2013-03-01
DOI
—
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

In this study, the change of CCT applications over time was modeled by using multivariate timeseries modeling namely vector autoregressive models with exogenous variables (VARX) according to geographical regions.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) is a social assistance program which aims for investing in human capital by enabling familiesunder risk of poverty to send their children to school and to benefit from health services regularly.
📊
Key Findings & Data:CCT program in Turkey wasspread among poor families, and demands for the program were increased.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:In this study, the change of CCT applications over time was modeled by using multivariate timeseries modeling namely vector autoregressive models with exogenous variables (VARX) according to geographical regions.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:Comprehensive Sample
⚙️Variables:Şartlı Nakit Transferi (ŞNT) · Dinamik Eşzamanlı Denklem Sistemleri · Çok Boyutlu Zaman Serileri Analizi

Abstract

Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) is a social assistance program which aims for investing in human capital by enabling familiesunder risk of poverty to send their children to school and to benefit from health services regularly. CCT program in Turkey wasspread among poor families, and demands for the program were increased. The need for examining these demands scientificallymade this study necessary. In this study, the change of CCT applications over time was modeled by using multivariate timeseries modeling namely vector autoregressive models with exogenous variables (VARX) according to geographical regions.

Özet

Şartlı Nakit Transferi (ŞNT), yoksulluk riski altında bulunan ailelerin çocuklarının düzenli olarak eğitim ve sağlık hizmetlerineerişiminin sağlanması ile bu ailelerin beşeri sermayelerini desteklemeyi amaçlayan bir sosyal yardım programıdır. Türkiye'dekiŞNT programı yoksul haneler arasında hızlı bir şekilde yayılmış ve bahse konu yardım programı için talep artmıştır. Yardımprogramı için bu talebin bilimsel olarak incelenmesi ihtiyacı bu çalışmayı gerekli kılmıştır. Bu çalışma ile Şartlı Nakit TransferiProgramı için yapılan yardım başvuruları bağımlı değişkenli vektör otoregresif zaman serileri isimli çok boyutlu zaman serilerianalizi ile coğrafi bölgeler temelinde modellenmiştir.

🔖

Cite This Article

ORTAKAYA, A. F., YOZGATLIGİL, A. P. D. C. T. (2013). Multivariate Time Series Modeling Of The Number Of Applicants For Turkey Conditional Cash Transfer Program in. Sosyal Politika Çalışmaları Dergisi, Cilt: 7 - Sayı: 30, 101–116. https://ajindex.com/articles/8050

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