Journals / Güncel Tıbbi Araştırmaları Dergisi / 2026 / Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1

Is it Possible to Determine Exactly When the Outbreak Started?

Salgının Ne Zaman Başladığını Tam Olarak Saptayabilmek Mümkün Mü?

Gamze Gökalp(Izmir Katip Celebi University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Emergency, Konak, Izmir, Turkey)
Tugce Nalbant(Izmir Katip Celebi University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Emergency, Konak, Izmir, Turkey)0000-0002-7408-2382
Yuksel Bıcılıoglu(Izmir Tepecik Education and Research Hospital, Division of Pediatric Emergency, Konak, Izmir, Turkey)0000-0003-4531-3978
Emel Berksoy(Izmir Tepecik Education and Research Hospital, Division of Pediatric Emergency, Konak, Izmir, Turkey)0000-0002-6831-1353
Sefika Bardak(Izmir Tepecik Education and Research Hospital, Division of Pediatric Emergency, Konak, Izmir, Turkey)0000-0003-1211-6943
Gulsah Demır(Izmir Tepecik Education and Research Hospital, Division of Pediatric Emergency, Konak, Izmir, Turkey)0000-0001-7841-4682
Alper Cıcek(Izmir Tepecik Education and Research Hospital, Division of Pediatric Emergency, Konak, Izmir, Turkey)0000-0001-9684-2736
Pages
1–8
Publication Date
2022-04-30
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

During the 2020 period, 1246 cases were admitted to the ward, and 142 cases were admitted to the intensive care unit. (P = 0.06 T = 1.8) During the 2019 period, 12 cases resulted in death, while in the 2020 period, 11 cases of exitus were observed. (P = 0.4) Conclusion: The fact that more upper respiratory tract diseases were diagnosed compared to the same period of the previous year makes us think that the outbreak may have started in our country before the first diagnosis

📌 3 Key Takeaways

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Objective & Hypothesis:Aim: The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, which first appeared in late 2019, has undoubtedly affected the global health system.
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Key Findings & Data:Results: 46 525 patients were admitted to the pediatric emergency department between 01/12/2018-28/04/2019 and 44 532 patients between 01/12/2020-29/02/2020. (T = 0.8 and P = 0.4) During the 2019 period, 1316 cases were admitted to the ward, and 130 cases to the intensive care unit.
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Conclusion & Impact:During the 2020 period, 1246 cases were admitted to the ward, and 142 cases were admitted to the intensive care unit. (P = 0.06 T = 1.8) During the 2019 period, 12 cases resulted in death, while in the 2020 period, 11 cases of exitus were observed. (P = 0.4) Conclusion: The fact that more upper respiratory tract diseases were diagnosed compared to the same period of the previous year makes us think that the outbreak may have started in our country before the first diagnosis
🔬Design:Araştırma Makalesi
📍Scope:2019 Verileri
⚙️Variables:COVİD-19 salgını · Çocuk acil servis · Salgının başlangıcı

Abstract

Aim: The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, which first appeared in late 2019, has undoubtedly affected the global health system. In this study, we tried to investigate whether this disease was seen before the first case in our country with clinical diagnoses. Methods: This study is a cross-sectional, observational, descriptive study conducted in a pediatric emergency department. The data of the cases were accessed from the hospital automation system. The number of patients who were admitted, the number of hospitalization or intensive care unit, the number of patients who were diagnosed with respiratory tract infection, the triage codes they received in the emergency department, and the viral antigen results obtained from airway swabs are the independent variables of the study. Results: 46 525 patients were admitted to the pediatric emergency department between 01/12/2018-28/04/2019 and 44 532 patients between 01/12/2020-29/02/2020. (T = 0.8 and P = 0.4) During the 2019 period, 1316 cases were admitted to the ward, and 130 cases to the intensive care unit. During the 2020 period, 1246 cases were admitted to the ward, and 142 cases were admitted to the intensive care unit. (P = 0.06 T = 1.8) During the 2019 period, 12 cases resulted in death, while in the 2020 period, 11 cases of exitus were observed. (P = 0.4) Conclusion: The fact that more upper respiratory tract diseases were diagnosed compared to the same period of the previous year makes us think that the outbreak may have started in our country before the first diagnosis

Özet

Amaç: 2019’un sonlarında ilk kez ortaya çıkmış olan COVID-19 virüsü şüphesiz ki küresel sağlık sistemini çok fazla etkilemiştir. Biz de bu çalışmada resmi olarak ülkemizde ilk vakanın görüldüğü tarihten önce bu hastalığın görülüp görülmediğini klinik tanılar ile incelemeye çalıştık. Yöntem: Bu çalışma çocuk acil servisinde yapılmış, kesitsel, gözlemsel, tanımlayıcı bir çalışmadır. Olguların veril-erine hastane otomasyon sisteminden ulaşılmıştır. Belirtilen dönemde başvuran olguların sayısı, hastaneye ya da yoğun bakıma yatış durumları, solunum yolu enfeksiyonu tanısı alanların sayısı, acil serviste aldıkları triyaj kodları ve solunum yolları sürüntüsünden elde edilen viral antijen sonuçları çalışmanın bağımsız değişkenleridir. Bulgular: Çalışmamıza çocuk acil servisine 01/12/2018-28/04/2019 tarihleri arasında 46 525 hasta ve 01/12/2020-29/02/2020 tarihleri arasında 44 532 hasta başvurusu olmuş-tur. (T=0,8 ve P=0,4) Olguların acil servisteki izlemleri sonucu çocuk hastalıkları servislerine yatışları incelendiğinde 2019 döneminde 1316 olgu servislere 130 olgu yoğun bakıma yatırılmıştır. 2020 döneminde ise 1246 olgu servislere ve 142 olgu yoğun bakıma yatırılmıştır. (P=0,06 T= 1,8) 2019 döneminde 12 olgu ölüm ile sonuçlanır iken 2020 döneminde 11 eksitus vakası gözlenmiştir. (P=0,4) Sonuç: Bir sene öncesinin aynı dönemlerine göre daha fazla sayıda üst solunum yolu hastalığı tanısı koyulmuş olması ilk tanıdan daha öncesinde ülkemizde salgının görülmeye başlanmış olabileceğini düşündürtmektedir.

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Cite This Article

Gökalp, G., Nalbant, T., Bıcılıoglu, Y., Berksoy, E., Bardak, S., Demır, G., Cıcek, A. (2022). Is it Possible to Determine Exactly When the Outbreak Started?. Güncel Tıbbi Araştırmaları Dergisi, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.52818/cjmr.v2i1.52

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