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Journals / Sinop Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi / 2026 / Cilt: 10 Sayı: 1

Determinants of CO2 Emissions in Selected RCEP Countries Panel ARDL Analysis of Regulatory Quality, Energy Consumption, And Economic Growth

Politika Sıkılığı, Çevresel Dönüşüm: Asya-Pasifik’te Panel Veri Analizi

Emine Örs(İZMİR DEMOKRASİ ÜNİVERSİTESİ, SOSYAL BİLİMLER ENSTİTÜSÜ)0009-0003-3274-1532
Dilek Sürekçi Yamaçlı(İZMİR DEMOKRASİ ÜNİVERSİTESİ, SOSYAL BİLİMLER ENSTİTÜSÜ)0000-0002-8224-1144
Pages
86–114
Publication Date
2026-05-31
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

The findings reveal that economic growth, energy intensity, and industrial value-added have an increasing effect on CO₂ emissions.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:This study examines the determinants of per capita CO₂ emissions in eight Asia-Pacific countries from 2002–2021 using Panel ARDL and Mean Group (MG) models.
📊
Key Findings & Data:While renewable energy consumption has an emissions-reducing effect, the general panel analysis shows that the effect of envi-ronmental policy stringency is not statistically significant.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:The findings reveal that economic growth, energy intensity, and industrial value-added have an increasing effect on CO₂ emissions.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:2002–2021 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Karbon Emisyonları · Panel ARDL · Çevresel Düzenlemeler

Abstract

This study examines the determinants of per capita CO₂ emissions in eight Asia-Pacific countries from 2002–2021 using Panel ARDL and Mean Group (MG) models. The findings reveal that economic growth, energy intensity, and industrial value-added have an increasing effect on CO₂ emissions. While renewable energy consumption has an emissions-reducing effect, the general panel analysis shows that the effect of envi-ronmental policy stringency is not statistically significant. However, individual coun-try analyzes indicate that this policy created a significant reduction in CO₂ emissions only in South Korea. These highlights that the effectiveness of environmental regula-tions depends on country-specific factors. The results emphasize the importance of energy efficiency policies, renewable energy investments, and flexible environmental strategies tailored to each country's unique conditions for achieving low-carbon growth.

Özet

Bu çalışma, 2002-2021 döneminde sekiz Asya-Pasifik ülkesinde kişi başına düşen CO₂ emisyonlarını Panel ARDL ve Mean Group (MG) modelleriyle incelemektedir. Bulgu-lar, ekonomik büyüme, enerji yoğunluğu ve sanayi katma değerinin CO₂ emisyonlarını artırıcı etkiler gösterdiğini ortaya koymaktadır. Yenilenebilir enerji tüketimi emisyon-ları azaltıcı yönde etkilerken, çevresel politika sıkılığının genel panel analizi sonu-cunda istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir etkisi bulunamamıştır. Ancak, bireysel ülke ana-lizlerinde, bu politikanın CO₂ emisyonları üzerinde yalnızca Güney Kore'de anlamlı bir azalış yarattığı görülmüştür. Bu durum, çevre düzenlemelerinin etkinliğinin ülkeye özgü faktörlere bağlı olduğunu vurgulamaktadır. Sonuçlar, düşük karbonlu bir büyüme için enerji verimliliği ve yenilenebilir enerji yatırımlarının yanı sıra, her ülkenin kendi koşullarına uyarlanmış esnek çevre stratejilerinin önemini göstermektedir.

🔖

Cite This Article

Örs, E., Yamaçlı, D. S. (2026). Determinants of CO2 Emissions in Selected RCEP Countries Panel ARDL Analysis of Regulatory Quality, Energy Consumption, And Economic Growth. Sinop Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Cilt: 10 Sayı: 1, 86–114. https://doi.org/10.30561/sinopusd.1773546

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