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Journals / Sosyoekonomi / 2026 / Cilt: 34 Sayı: 67

The Triangle of Public Expenditures, Public Sector Deficits, and the Informal Economy: The Case of Türkiye

Kamu Harcamaları, Kamu Kesimi Açıkları ve Kayıt Dışı Ekonomi Üçgeni: Türkiye Örneği

Ayşe Atılgan Yaşa(MANİSA CELÂL BAYAR ÜNİVERSİTESİ)0000-0001-8890-0553
Nazlı Keyifli Şentürk(İZMİR KATİP ÇELEBİ ÜNİVERSİTESİ)0000-0002-0589-8089
Pages
55–72
Publication Date
2026-01-31
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

The results reveal that public expenditures and public sector deficits, both individually and collectively, influence the informal economy, while the growth of the informal economy lessens the impact of both.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:The informal economy poses a significant challenge to the effectiveness of public finance policies worldwide.
📊
Key Findings & Data:This study employs Wavelet Coherence Analysis to examine the relationships among public spending, public sector deficits, and the informal economy in Türkiye from 1990 to 2020.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:The results reveal that public expenditures and public sector deficits, both individually and collectively, influence the informal economy, while the growth of the informal economy lessens the impact of both.
🔬Design:Araştırma Makalesi
📍Scope:2020 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Kamu Harcamaları · Kamu Kesimi Açıkları · Kayıt Dışı Ekonomi

Abstract

The informal economy poses a significant challenge to the effectiveness of public finance policies worldwide. Reducing tax revenues raises public sector deficits and complicates the financing of public services, while increasing public expenditures and expanding public sector deficits are also encouraged. This study employs Wavelet Coherence Analysis to examine the relationships among public spending, public sector deficits, and the informal economy in Türkiye from 1990 to 2020. The results reveal that public expenditures and public sector deficits, both individually and collectively, influence the informal economy, while the growth of the informal economy lessens the impact of both.

Özet

Kayıt dışı ekonomi, kamu maliyesi politikalarının etkinliği açısından küresel ölçekte önemli bir sorundur. Vergi gelirlerini azaltarak kamu kesimi açıklarını artıran ve kamu hizmetlerinin finansmanını zorlaştıran kayıt dışı ekonomi, aynı zamanda artan kamu harcamaları ve kamu açıkları tarafından da teşvik edilebilmektedir. Bu çalışma, 1990-2020 döneminde Türkiye ekonomisi özelinde kamu harcamaları ve kamu kesimi açıklarının kayıt dışı ekonomiyle ilişkisini Wavelet Uyum Analizi ile incelemektedir. Çalışmanın bulguları, kamu harcamaları ve kamu kesimi açıklarının kayıt dışı ekonomiyi ayrı ayrı ve bütünleşik olarak etkilediğini ve kayıt dışı ekonomideki genişlemenin kamu harcamalarını ve kamu kesimi açıklarını azaltıcı etkisi olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır.

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Cite This Article

Yaşa, A. A., Şentürk, N. K. (2026). The Triangle of Public Expenditures, Public Sector Deficits, and the Informal Economy: The Case of Türkiye. Sosyoekonomi, Cilt: 34 Sayı: 67, 55–72. https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2026.01.03

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