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Journals / Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi / 2026 / Cilt: 21 Sayı: 2

The Contribution of Demographic Dynamics to Regional Growth Performance: An Analysis of NUTS-2 Regions in Turkey

Demografik Dinamiklerin Bölgesel Büyüme Performansına Katkısı: Türkiye’nin Düzey 2 Bölgeleri Üzerine Bir Analiz

Osman Berke Duvan(BAŞKENT ÜNİVERSİTESİ)0000-0002-3711-8454
Pages
1–21
Publication Date
2026-07-31
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

The findings indicate that after 2015, growth became increasingly productivity-driven, while employment- and demography-based convergence persisted in several regions.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:This study investigates the impact of demographic transformation on regional growth performance across Turkey’s NUTS-2 regions.
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Key Findings & Data:Using TURKSTAT data for 2007-2023, per capita income was decomposed into labor productivity, employment rate, and demographic dividend to examine convergence trends and their contributions to growth.
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Conclusion & Impact:The findings indicate that after 2015, growth became increasingly productivity-driven, while employment- and demography-based convergence persisted in several regions.
🔬Design:Araştırma Makalesi
📍Scope:2007-2023 Verileri
⚙️Variables:bölgesel yakınsama · demografik dönüşüm · verimlilik

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of demographic transformation on regional growth performance across Turkey’s NUTS-2 regions. Using TURKSTAT data for 2007-2023, per capita income was decomposed into labor productivity, employment rate, and demographic dividend to examine convergence trends and their contributions to growth. The findings indicate that after 2015, growth became increasingly productivity-driven, while employment- and demography-based convergence persisted in several regions. The study reveals that two distinct demographic regimes coexist in Turkey and emphasizes that this divergence must be carefully considered in the design of regional development policies.

Özet

Bu çalışma, Türkiye’nin Düzey 2 bölgelerinde demografik dönüşümün bölgesel büyüme performansı üzerindeki etkilerini incelemektedir. TÜİK verilerinden yararlanılarak 2007-2023 döneminde kişi başına gelirin bileşenleri (emek verimliliği, istihdam oranı ve demografik getiri) ayrıştırılmış; yakınsama eğilimleri ve büyümeye katkıları analiz edilmiştir. Bulgular, 2015 sonrasında büyümenin giderek verimlilik temelli bir nitelik kazandığını, ancak bazı bölgelerde istihdam ve demografi kaynaklı yakınsamanın sürdüğünü göstermektedir. Çalışma, Türkiye’de iki farklı demografik rejimin eş zamanlı olarak yaşandığını ve bölgesel kalkınma politikaları tasarlanırken bu farklılığın mutlaka göz önünde bulundurulması gerektiğini ortaya koymaktadır.

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Cite This Article

Duvan, O. B. (2026). The Contribution of Demographic Dynamics to Regional Growth Performance: An Analysis of NUTS-2 Regions in Turkey. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, Cilt: 21 Sayı: 2, 1–21. https://doi.org/10.17153/oguiibf.1826047

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