Journals / International Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies and Innovative Technologies / 2022 / Cilt: 6 - Sayı: 2

Predicting the Income Groups and Number of Immigrants by Using Machine Learning (ML)

Pages
162–168
Publication Date
2022-12-30
DOI
—
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

In general, the predictive machine learning models of human migration used in this study will provide a flexible base with which to model human migration under different what-if conditions.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:Migration is one of the biggest problems in the history of mankind.
📊
Key Findings & Data:It is important to predict human migration as accurately as possible in terms of many aspects such as urban planning, trade, pandemics, the spread of diseases, and public policy development.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:In general, the predictive machine learning models of human migration used in this study will provide a flexible base with which to model human migration under different what-if conditions.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:Comprehensive Sample
⚙️Variables:Artificial Intelligence (AI) · Machine Learning (ML) · Migration

Abstract

Migration is one of the biggest problems in the history of mankind. It is important to predict human migration as accurately as possible in terms of many aspects such as urban planning, trade, pandemics, the spread of diseases, and public policy development. With the help of Artificial Intelligence (AI), which is now used in almost all areas of life, it is possible to make predictions about migration. The purpose of this study is to predict the income groups and the number of immigrants by using ML algorithms. Two different applications were carried out in the study. The first one was about predicting the income groups of immigrants and the second one was about predicting the number of immigrants. Data used in the study was obtained from the World Bank. In the first application of the study, Support Vector Machines (SVM), Naive Bayes (NB), Logistic Regression (LR), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) were used. In the second application of the study, Random Forest (RF), and Xgboost algorithms were used. As a result of the experiments conducted in the study, 98.37% success rates were obtained with Xgboost, 96.42% with RF, 86.04% with LR, 83.72% with SVM, 83.72% with KNN, and 69.76% with NB. The results of the study reveal that the highest success in the applications was achieved with the LR and Xgboost algorithms. In general, the predictive machine learning models of human migration used in this study will provide a flexible base with which to model human migration under different what-if conditions.

🔖

Cite This Article

AYDEMİR, B., AYDIN, H., ÇETİNKAYA, A., POLAT, D. Ş. (2022). Predicting the Income Groups and Number of Immigrants by Using Machine Learning (ML). International Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies and Innovative Technologies, Cilt: 6 - Sayı: 2, 162–168. https://ajindex.com/articles/875767

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (15)

  1. Richard, P., & Jillyanne, R. C. (2011). Glossary on migration. Book Glossary on Migration, 2
  2. Zimmermann, K. F. (2014). Circular migration. IZA World of Labor
  3. Kelleher, J. D., Mac Namee, B., & D'arcy, A. (2020). Fundamentals of machine learning for predictive data analytics: algorithms, worked examples, and case studies. MIT press
  4. Micevska, M. (2021). Revisiting forced migration: A machine learning perspective. European Journal of Political Economy, 70, 102044
  5. Iman, H. S., & Tarasyev, A. (2018). Machine learning methods in individual migration behavior. In Russian Regions in the Focus of Changes: Conference proceedings. Ekaterinburg, 2018 (pp. 72-81). LLC Publishing office EMC UPI
  6. Hussain, N. H. M. (2021). Machine Learning of the Reverse Migration Models for Population Prediction: A Review. Turkish Journal of Computer and Mathematics Education (TURCOMAT), 12(5), 1830-1838
  7. McAuliffe, M., Blower, J., & Beduschi, A. (2021). Digitalization and Artificial Intelligence in Migration and Mobility: Transnational Implications of the COVID-19 Pandemic. Societies, 11(4), 135
  8. Azizi, S., & Yektansani, K. (2020). Artificial intelligence and predicting illegal immigration to the USA. International Migration, 58(5), 183-193
  9. Beduschi, A. (2021). International migration management in the age of artificial intelligence. Migration Studies, 9(3), 576-596
  10. Lindström, N., Koutsikouri, D., Stier, J., & Arvidsson, M. (2020, June). Migrant Employment Integration and Artificial Intelligence (AI). The 32nd annual workshop of the Swedish Artificial Intelligence Society (SAIS) will be held as an online conference in June (pp. 16-17)
  11. Robinson, C., & Dilkina, B. (2018, June). A machine learning approach to modeling human migration. In Proceedings of the 1st ACM SIGCAS Conference on Computing and Sustainable Societies (pp. 1-8)
  12. Tarasyev, A. A., Agarkov, G. A., & Hosseini, S. I. (2018, July). Machine learning in labor migration prediction. In AIP Conference Proceedings (Vol. 1978, No. 1, p. 440004). AIP Publishing LLC
  13. Aoga, J., Bae, J., Veljanoska, S., Nijssen, S., & Schaus, P. (2020). Impact of weather factors on migration intention using machine learning algorithms. arXiv preprint arXiv:2012.02794
  14. Harrison, E. (2020). Modeling Movement: A machine-learning approach to track migration routes after displacement
  15. Günay, E., Atılgan, D., & Serin, E. (2017). Migration management in the world and Turkey. Kahramanmaraş S