Journals / Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi / 2003 / Cilt: 21 - Sayı: 1

Türkiye'deki Yüksek Bütçe Açıklarının Bir Sonucu: İçsel Para Büyümesi

The Endogenous Money Growth: An Outcome of High Budget Deficits in Turkey

Pages
11–127
Publication Date
2022-10-18
DOI
—
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

The empirical findings imply that the monetary transmission process is characterised by the monetary accommodation of high inflation and budget deficits, the outcome of which is an endogenous credit-money expansion in the economy.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:This study is an attempt to reveal the characteristics of the adjustment dynamics of the monetary transmission process in the Turkish economy.
📊
Key Findings & Data:The estimations based on the cointegration analysis of time series confirm the presence of fiscal dominance over monetary dynamics resulting from continuously increasing borrowing requirements of the public sector in the period 1985-2001.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:The empirical findings imply that the monetary transmission process is characterised by the monetary accommodation of high inflation and budget deficits, the outcome of which is an endogenous credit-money expansion in the economy.
🔬Design:Research Article
📍Scope:2001 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters

Abstract

This study is an attempt to reveal the characteristics of the adjustment dynamics of the monetary transmission process in the Turkish economy. The estimations based on the cointegration analysis of time series confirm the presence of fiscal dominance over monetary dynamics resulting from continuously increasing borrowing requirements of the public sector in the period 1985-2001. The empirical findings imply that the monetary transmission process is characterised by the monetary accommodation of high inflation and budget deficits, the outcome of which is an endogenous credit-money expansion in the economy.

Özet

Bu çalışma, Türkiye ekonomisinde parasal aktarım sürecininin uyum dinamiğinin özelliklerini ortaya çıkarma amacına yönelik bir denemedir. Zaman serilerinde eş-bütünleşme analizine dayanan tahminler, 1985-2001 döneminde, sürekli artan kamu iç borçlanma gereğinin bir sonucu olarak ortaya çıkan parasal dinamikler üzerindeki mali egemenliğin varlığını doğrulamaktadır. Ampirik bulgular, parasal aktarım sürecinde, para arzının yüksek enflasyon ve bütçe açıklarına eşlik etmesinin bir sonucu olarak, kredi-para arzının ekonomide içsel genişlediğini ortaya koymaktadır.

🔖

Cite This Article

ÇAVUŞOĞLU, A. T. (2022). Türkiye'deki Yüksek Bütçe Açıklarının Bir Sonucu: İçsel Para Büyümesi. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, Cilt: 21 - Sayı: 1, 11–127. https://ajindex.com/articles/533343

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (15)

  1. Akçay, O. C., Alper, C. E. and S. Özmucur (1996), "Budget Deficit, Money Supply and Inflation: Evidence from Low and High Frequency Data for Turkey", Boğaziçi University Research Papers, No. 96-12.
  2. Akçay, O. C., Alper, C. E. and S. Özmucur (2001), "Budget Deficit, Inflation and Debt Sustainability: Evidence from Turkey (1970-2000)", BoğaziçiUniversity Research Papers No. 01-12.
  3. Allen, S. D. and M. D. Smith (1983), "Government Borrowing and Monetary Accommodation", Journal of Monetary Economics, 12, 605-616.
  4. Barnhart S. W. and a. F. Darrat (1988), "Budget Deficits, Money Growth and Causality: Further OECD Evidence", Journal of International Money and Finance, 7, 231-242.
  5. Cheung, Y. W. and K. S. Lai (1993), "Finite-Sample Sizes of Johansen's Likelihood Ratio Tests for Cointegration", Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 55,313-328.
  6. Dickey, D. A. and W. A. Fuller (1981), "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root", Econometrica, 49, 1057-1072.
  7. Doornik, J. A. (1998), "Approximations to the Asymptotic Distribution of Cointegration Tests", Journal of Economic Surveys, 12, 573-593.
  8. Doornik, J. A. and D. F., Hendry (2001), Modelling Dynamic Systems Using PcGive, Volume II. London: Timberlake Consultants Ltd. Engle, R. F. (1982), "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflations", Econometrica, 50, 987-1007.
  9. Favero, C. A., and F. Spinelli (1999), "Deficits, Money Growth and Inflation in Italy: 1875-1994", Economic Notes by Banca Monte del Paschi di Siena SpA, 28(1), 43-71.
  10. Fratianni, M. and F. Spinelli (2001), "Fiscal Dominance and Money Growth in Italy: The Long Record", Explorations in Economic History, 38, 252-272.
  11. Godfrey, L. G. (1988), Misspecification Tests in Econometrics, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  12. Gonzalo, J. (1994), "Five Alternative Methods of Estimating Long-run Equilibrium Relationships", Journal of Econometrics, 60, 203-233.
  13. Haan, J. de and D. Zelhorst (1990), "The Impact of Government Deficits on Money Growth in Developing Countries", Journal of International Money and Finance, 9, 455-469.
  14. Hamburger, M. J. and B. Zwick (1981), "Deficits, Money and Inflation", Journal of Monetary Economics, 7, 141-150.
  15. Hansen, H. and Johnasen, S. (1993), "Recursive Estimation in Cointegrated VAR-Models", Discussion Paper, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, University of Copenhagen. Hansen, H. and Juselius K. (1995), CATS in RATS: Cointegration Analysis of