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Journals / Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi / 2021 / Cilt: 39 - Sayı: 3

Basic Determinants of Services Export in Turkish Economy: A Time Series Analysis

Türkiye Ekonomisinde Hizmet İhracatının Temel Belirleyicileri: Zaman Serisi Analizi

Nurtaç YILDIRIM
Aylin KOCA
Pages
441–458
Publication Date
2022-10-18
DOI
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

However, there is no causality relationship from education expenditures to services exports

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:The service sector is the most dynamic sector in both developed and developing economies because of its increasing share of national income, employment and its international trade potential.
📊
Key Findings & Data:In developing economies such as Turkey, it is important to analyze the trade dynamics of the services sector in order to increase foreign currency revenues and to design appropriate policies for the development of the sector.
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Conclusion & Impact:However, there is no causality relationship from education expenditures to services exports
🔬Design:Research Article
📍Scope:2019 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters

Abstract

The service sector is the most dynamic sector in both developed and developing economies because of its increasing share of national income, employment and its international trade potential. In developing economies such as Turkey, it is important to analyze the trade dynamics of the services sector in order to increase foreign currency revenues and to design appropriate policies for the development of the sector. This study investigates the relationship between services export and its main determinants in Turkey. The relation between services export and main determinants has been examined using quarterly data for the period between 1998:1 and 2019:4 by cointegration and causality analysis. According to the Toda-Yamamoto causality test results, there is a causality relationship from GDP, real effective exchange rate index, and foreign direct investments to services export in the short run. However, there is no causality relationship from education expenditures to services exports

Özet

Hizmet sektörü, hem gelişmiş hem de gelişmekte olan ekonomilerde milli gelir ve istihdam içerisinde giderek artan payının yanı sırataşıdığı uluslararası ticaret potansiyeli nedeniyle de en dinamik sektör konumundadır. Türkiye gibi gelişmekte olan ekonomilerde,hizmet ihracatından elde edilen döviz gelirlerinin artırılması amacıyla sektörün ticaret dinamiklerinin analiz edilmesinin ve sektöreyönelik uygun politikalar geliştirilmesinin, önem taşıdığı görülmektedir. Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’de 1998:1–2019:4 yılları arası çeyreklikverilerle hizmet ihracatı ile temel belirleyicileri arasındaki ilişki eşbütünleşme ve nedensellik analizleri ile test edilmiştir. TodaYamamoto nedensellik testi sonuçlarına göre kısa dönemde GSYİH, reel efektif döviz kuru endeksi, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlardanhizmet ihracat gelirlerine doğru bir nedensellik ilişkisi mevcuttur. Ancak eğitim harcamalarından hizmet ihracatına doğru birnedensellik ilişkisi bulunmamaktadır.

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Cite This Article

YILDIRIM, N., KOCA, A. (2022). Basic Determinants of Services Export in Turkish Economy: A Time Series Analysis. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, Cilt: 39 - Sayı: 3, 441–458. https://ajindex.com/articles/532896

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