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Journals / Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi / 2014 / Cilt: 9 - Sayı: 3

Linear and Nonlinear Co-integration Analysis of Relationship between Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in Turkey

Türkiye'de İşsizlik ve İşgücüne Katılım İlişkisinin Doğrusal ve Doğrusal Olmayan Koentegrasyon Yöntemleri ile Analizi

Seymur AĞAZADE
Pages
145–161
Publication Date
2022-10-18
DOI
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

This result empirically supportsthe unemployment invariance hypothesis.Furthermore, f indings do not provide anysupport f or discouraged-worker eff ect in Turkey.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:This article examines the long-run relationshipbetween labor f orce participation rate andunemployment rate in Turkey.
📊
Key Findings & Data:Econometricalanalyses are based on linear and nonlinearexponential smooth transition co-integrationtests and monthly data f or the period f romJanuary 2005 to September 2013.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:This result empirically supportsthe unemployment invariance hypothesis.Furthermore, f indings do not provide anysupport f or discouraged-worker eff ect in Turkey.
🔬Design:Research Article
📍Scope:2005 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters

Abstract

This article examines the long-run relationshipbetween labor f orce participation rate andunemployment rate in Turkey. Econometricalanalyses are based on linear and nonlinearexponential smooth transition co-integrationtests and monthly data f or the period f romJanuary 2005 to September 2013. Co-integrationanalysis is run f or Turkey in general and f or thegender and place of residence sub-groups. Testf indings show that there is not a long-runrelationship between the two variables f or allworker groups. This result empirically supportsthe unemployment invariance hypothesis.Furthermore, f indings do not provide anysupport f or discouraged-worker eff ect in Turkey.

Özet

Bu çalışmada, işgücüne katılım oranı ile işsizlikoranı arasındaki uzun dönem ilişki Türkiyegenelinin yanı sıra cinsiyet ve yerleşim yeriayırımına göre farklı alt grupları için doğrusal vedoğrusal olmayan üstel yumuşak geçişlikoentegrasyon teknikleri ile incelenmiştir.Çalışmada Ocak 2005 Eylül 2013 dönemine aitaylık veri kullanılmıştır. Kullanılan koentegrasyontekniği bulguları genel ve alt gruplar içinişgücüne katılım oranı ile işsizlik oranı arasındaherhangi bir uzun dönem ilişkinin olmadığınıgösterir. Bu sonuçlar Türkiye için işsizlikdeğişmezliği hipotezini desteklemektedir. Bununyanı sıra, bulgular umudu kırılmış işsizler etkisinidestekler nitelikte değildir.

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Cite This Article

AĞAZADE, S. (2022). Linear and Nonlinear Co-integration Analysis of Relationship between Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in Turkey. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, Cilt: 9 - Sayı: 3, 145–161. https://ajindex.com/articles/505617

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