Journals / Ege Akademik Bakış / 2018 / Cilt: 18 - Sayı: 4

Volatility Transmission Between Housing and Stock Markets In Europe: A Multivariate Garch Perspective

Avrupa Gayrimenkul Ve Hisse Senedi Piyasaları Arasındaki Oynaklık Yayılımı: Çok Değişkenli Garch Yaklaşımı

Pages
619–629
Publication Date
2022-10-12
DOI
—
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

Overall, theseempirical findings provide fresh insights andpolicy implications in cross-market volatilityspillovers for domestic and internationalinvestors, and also policy makers, throughthe potential for improved risk managementand more efficient portfolio diversification.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:Over the past decade, the significantchanges in the prices of stock and real estatemarkets have intensified the interest ofheightened concern about volatility in thesemarkets.
📊
Key Findings & Data:This paper deals with the dynamicreturn and volatility transmissions across realestate and stock markets in European countriesover the period from 1985:Q1 through2017:Q1.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:Overall, theseempirical findings provide fresh insights andpolicy implications in cross-market volatilityspillovers for domestic and internationalinvestors, and also policy makers, throughthe potential for improved risk managementand more efficient portfolio diversification.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:Comprehensive Sample
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters

Abstract

Over the past decade, the significantchanges in the prices of stock and real estatemarkets have intensified the interest ofheightened concern about volatility in thesemarkets. This paper deals with the dynamicreturn and volatility transmissions across realestate and stock markets in European countriesover the period from 1985:Q1 through2017:Q1. Using VAR-BEKK-GARCH model, wefind significant evidence supporting shock andvolatility spillover effects from real estate tostock markets in Denmark, Finland, Ireland andSpain whereas evidence running from stock toreal estate markets is found in Spain, Swedenand Italy. In contrast, there is no evidence ofany such spillovers in Belgium. Overall, theseempirical findings provide fresh insights andpolicy implications in cross-market volatilityspillovers for domestic and internationalinvestors, and also policy makers, throughthe potential for improved risk managementand more efficient portfolio diversification.

Özet

Son yıllarda, hisse senedi ve gayrimenkul piyasasındaki fiyatlarda meydana gelen önemli değişiklikler, bu piyasalarda oynaklığın artmasına neden olmuştur. Bu makale, 1985-2007 yılları arasında Avrupa ülkelerindeki gayrimenkul ve hisse senedi piyasalarındaki dinamik getiri ve oynaklık yayılımını VAR-BEKK-GARCH modeli kullanılarak araştırmaktadır. Makalede, Danimarka, Finlandiya, İrlanda ve İspanya’da gayrimenkul piyasalarından hisse senedi piyasalarına şok ve oynaklık yayılım etkileri tespit edilmiştir. İspanya, İsveç ve İtalya’da ise hisse senedi piyasalarından gayrimenkul piyasalarına doğru bir oynaklık yayılımının söz konusu olduğu gözlenmektedir. Buna karşın, Belçika’da hisse senedi ve gayrimenkul piyasaları arasında herhangi bir yayılma olduğuna dair bir kanıt bulunmamaktadır. Genel olarak, bu ampirik bulgular, gelişmiş risk yönetimi ve daha etkin portföy çeşitlendirme potansiyeli sayesinde yerli ve yabancı yatırımcılar ile politika yapıcılar için piyasalar arası oynaklık yayılmalarında yeni anlayışlar ortaya koymaktadır.

🔖

Cite This Article

VARDAR, G., AYDOGAN, B. (2022). Volatility Transmission Between Housing and Stock Markets In Europe: A Multivariate Garch Perspective. Ege Akademik Bakış, Cilt: 18 - Sayı: 4, 619–629. https://ajindex.com/articles/495207

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (16)

  1. Apergis, N. and Lambrinidis, L. (2011). More evidence on the relationship between the stock and the real estate market. Briefings Notes in Economics, 85, 1-15.
  2. Ambrose, B., Ancel, E. and Griffiths. M. (1992). The Fractal Structure of Real Estate Investment Trust Returns: A Search for Evidence of Market Segmentation and Nonlinear Dependency. Journal of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, 20, 25-54.
  3. Anderson, C. W. and Beracha, E. (2012). Frothy housing markets and local stock-price movements. Journal of Real Estate Finance & Economics, 32(2), 161-185
  4. Chaudhry, M. K., Myer F. C. N. and Webb. J. R. (1999). Stationarity and counteraction in systems with real estate and financial assets. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 18, 339-349.
  5. Chen, N. (2001). Asset price fluctuations in Taiwan: evidence from stock and real estate prices 1973 to 1992 Journal of Asian Economics, 12, 215-232.
  6. Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of UK inflation Econometrica, 50, 987–1008.
  7. Engle, R. F. and Kroner, K. F. (1995). Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory, 11, 122-150.
  8. Geltner, D. (1990). Return risk and cash flow risk with long-term riskless leases in commercial real estate. Journal of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, 18, 377-402.
  9. Grissom, T. V., Kuhle, J. L. and Walther, C. H. (1987). Diversification works in real estate. Too Journal of Portfolio Management, 3, 66-71.
  10. Goodman, A. C. (1978). Hedonic prices, price indices and housing markets. Journal of Urban Economics, 5, 471-484.
  11. Goodman, A. C. (1981). Housing submarkets within urban areas: definitions and evidence. Journal of Regional Science, 21, 175-185.
  12. Gyourko, J. and Keim, D. (1992). What does the stock market tell us about real estate returns? Journal of the American Real Estate Finance and Urban Economics Association, 20(3), 457-486.
  13. Fraser, W. D., Leishman, C. and Tarbert, H. (2002). The long-run diversification attributes of commercial property. Journal of Property Investment and Finance, 20(4), 354–373.
  14. Ibrahim, M. H. (2010). House price-stock price relations in Thailand: An empirical analysis. International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, 3, 69-82.
  15. Kakes, J. and van den End. J.W. (2004). Do stock prices affect house prices? Evidence for the Netherlands. Applied Economics Letters, 11, 741-744.
  16. Kapopoulos, P. and Siokis, F. (2005). Stock and real estate prices in Gree