Journals / Ege Akademik Bakış / 2018 / Cilt: 18 - Sayı: 4

The Impact of Monetary Policy on Stock Returns During Bull and Bear Markets: The Evidence From Turkey

Para Politikasının Boğa ve Ayı Piyasalarında Hisse Senedi Getirilerine Etkisi: Türkiye Örneği

Pages
699–710
Publication Date
2022-10-12
DOI
—
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

Weused policy rate as monetary policy instrument.From the empirical results, we deduced thatmonetary policy is more effective in bull marketperiods.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:Purpose of this study is to analyze theasymmetric response of stock market returnsand volatility to monetary policy in bull and bearmarkets in Turkey over the period of 2002:1-2016:12.
📊
Key Findings & Data:We used Markov switching model inorder to identify bull and bear markets.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:Weused policy rate as monetary policy instrument.From the empirical results, we deduced thatmonetary policy is more effective in bull marketperiods.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:2002 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters

Abstract

Purpose of this study is to analyze theasymmetric response of stock market returnsand volatility to monetary policy in bull and bearmarkets in Turkey over the period of 2002:1-2016:12. We used Markov switching model inorder to identify bull and bear markets. Weused policy rate as monetary policy instrument.From the empirical results, we deduced thatmonetary policy is more effective in bull marketperiods.

Özet

Bu çalışmanın amacı, 2002:1-2016:12 döneminde Türkiye’de ayı ve boğa piyasaları açısından hisse senedi getirilerinin ve oynaklığının para politikasına asimetrik tepkisini analiz etmektir. Ayı ve boğa piyasalarını tanımlamak amacıyla Markov rejim değişim modeli kullanılmıştır. Para politikası aracı olarak ise politika faiz oranı kullanılmıştır. Çalışmanın sonucunda, para politikasının boğa piyasasında daha etkin olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.

🔖

Cite This Article

ATIŞ, A. G., ERER, D. (2022). The Impact of Monetary Policy on Stock Returns During Bull and Bear Markets: The Evidence From Turkey. Ege Akademik Bakış, Cilt: 18 - Sayı: 4, 699–710. https://ajindex.com/articles/495185

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (15)

  1. Akay, H. and Nargeleçekenler, M. (2009). Para politikası şokları hisse senedi fiyatlarını etkiler mi? Türkiye örneği. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 27(2), 129-152.
  2. Aklan, N. and Nargeleçekenler, M. (2012). Hisse senedi piyasasında para politikalarının rolü: Türkiye örneği. Marmara İİBF Dergisi, 11, 103-128
  3. Assenmacher-Wesche, Katrin and Gerlach, Stefan (2008). Financial structure and the ımpact of monetary policy on asset prices. Swiss National Bank Working Papers, 2008-16.
  4. Basistha, A., & Kurov, A. (2008). Macroeconomic cycles and the stock market’s reaction to monetary policy. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(12), 2606-2616.
  5. Bejaoui, A. and Karaa, A. (2016). Revisiting the bull and bear markets notions in the tunisian stock market: New evidence from multi-state durationdependence markov switching models. Economic Modelling, 59, 529-545.
  6. Bernanke, B. and Gertler, M. (1999). Monetary policy and asset price volatility. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Review, LXXXIV, 17-51.
  7. Bernanke, B. and Gertler, M. (2001). Should central banks respond to mpvements in asset prices? American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, XCI, 253-257.
  8. Bernanke, B.S. and Kuttner, K.N. (2005). What explains the stock market’s to federal reserve policy? The Journal of Finance, 60(3), 1221-1257.
  9. Bleich, Fendel and Rülke (2013). Monetary policy and stock market volatility. Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper Series, 33(3) 1669-1680
  10. Bomfirm, A. (2003). Pre-announcment effects, news, and volatility: monetary policy and stock market. Journal of Banking and Finance, 27(1), 133-151
  11. Cecchetti, S.G., Genberg, H., Lipsky, J. and Wadhwani, S. (2000). Asset Prices and Central Bank Policy. London: International Center for Monetary and Banking Studies. Chen, S.S. (2007). Does monetary policy have asymetric effects on stock returns? Journal of Money Credit Bank. 39(2-3), 667-688.
  12. Chang, M. ve C. W. Lee,. 2011. Announcement Effects and Asymmetric Volatility in Industry Stock Returns: Evidence from Taiwan. Emerging Markets Finance & Trade, 47 (2): 48-69.
  13. Duran, Murat; Ozlu, Pınar and Unalmıs, Deren (2010). TCMB faiz kararlarının hisse senedi piyasaları üzerine etkisi. Central Bank Review, 10(2), 23-32.
  14. Edwards, S., Gomez Biscarri, J. and Perez de Gracia, F. (2003). Stock market cycles, financial liberalization and volatility. Journal of International Money and Finance, 22(7), 925-955.
  15. Gordon, M. J., & Shapiro, E. (1956). Capital equipment analysis: the requir