Cross correlation analyses indicate that S Curve effect is found in the sections 1, 2, 4, 5 and 8.
📌 3 Key Takeaways
🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:In this study, the validity of S Curve effect for the period of 2002:01-2014:12 is investigated in the following industries of Turkey, classified by the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC Rev. 3, 1 level)); section 1- beverages and tobacco; section 2crude materials, inedible, except fuels; section 3- mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials; section 4- animal and vegetable oils, fats and waxes; section 5- chemicals and related products, n.e.s.; section 6: manufactured goods classified chiefly by material; section 7- machinery and transport equipment; section 8- miscellaneous manufactured articles.
📊
Key Findings & Data:In this study, the validity of S Curve effect for the period of 2002:01-2014:12 is investigated in the following industries of Turkey, classified by the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC Rev. 3, 1 level)); section 1- beverages and tobacco; section 2crude materials, inedible, except fuels; section 3- mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials; section 4- animal and vegetable oils, fats and waxes; section 5- chemicals and related products, n.e.s.; section 6: manufactured goods classified chiefly by material; section 7- machinery and transport equipment; section 8- miscellaneous manufactured articles.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:Cross correlation analyses indicate that S Curve effect is found in the sections 1, 2, 4, 5 and 8.
🔬Design:Research Article
📍Scope:2002 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters
Abstract
In this study, the validity of S Curve effect for the period of 2002:01-2014:12 is investigated in the following industries of Turkey, classified by the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC Rev. 3, 1 level)); section 1- beverages and tobacco; section 2crude materials, inedible, except fuels; section 3- mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials; section 4- animal and vegetable oils, fats and waxes; section 5- chemicals and related products, n.e.s.; section 6: manufactured goods classified chiefly by material; section 7- machinery and transport equipment; section 8- miscellaneous manufactured articles. Cross correlation analyses indicate that S Curve effect is found in the sections 1, 2, 4, 5 and 8.
Özet
Bu çalışmada, Türkiye'nin Uluslararası Standart Ticaret Sınıflamasına (SITC Rev. 3, 1. düzeyde) göre 1 kodlu içki ve tütün, 2 kodlu akaryakıt hariç yenilmeyen hammaddeler, 3 kodlu mineral yakıtlar, yağlar ve alkali ürünleri, 4 kodlu hayvansal, bitkisel katı ve sıvı yağlar, mumlar, 5 kodlu başka yerde belirtilmeyen kimya sanayi ve buna bağlı sanayi ürünleri, 6 kodlu başlıca sınıflara ayrılan işlenmiş mallar, 7 kodlu makinalar ve ulaştırma araçları ile 8 kodlu çeşitli mamul eşya endüstrileri için "S Eğrisi etkisi"nin geçerliliği 2002:01-2014:12 dönemi aylık verilerle araştırılmıştır. Çapraz korelasyon analizleri 1, 2, 4, 5 ve 8 kodlu endüstrilerinde S Eğrisi etkisinin geçerli olduğunu göstermektedir.
🔖
Cite This Article
AKBULUT, S. B., TERZİ, H. (2022). Bu çalışmada, Türkiye'nin Uluslararası Standart Ticaret Sınıflamasına (SITC Rev. 3, 1. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, Cilt: 31 - Sayı: 2, 95–114. https://ajindex.com/articles/490524
AKBULUT BEKAR, S. (2014). "Dış Ticaret Dengesi-Dış Ticaret Haddi İlişkisi: Türkiye Örneği(2002-2012 Dönemi)", Yayınlanmamış Doktora tezi, Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Trabzon. AKKAY, R. C. (2012), "Reel Kur Değişimlerinin Dış Ticaret Dengesine Olan Etkisini Değerlendirmede Güncel Bir Yaklaşım: S Eğrisi Hipotezi", İstanbul Üniversitesi Dergisi, 173-190, http://journals.istanbul.edu.tr/iuifm/article/download /10230178 43/1023017098, (06.05.2013).
AKKAY, R. C. (2015), "S-Curve Dynamics of Trade Between Turkey and Her Trading Partner", International Journal of Economic and Administrative Studies, 15(8): 180-192, http://dergipark.ulakbilim.gov.tr/ulikidince/article/download/ 5000 124176/5000114417 (17.11.2015).
BACKUS, D. K., KEHOE, P. J., KYDLAND, F. E. (1994),"Dynamics of the Trade Balance and the Terms of Trade: The J-Curve?", The American Economic Review, 84(1): 84-103.
BAHMANİ-OSKOOEE, M., ARTATRANA, R. (2004), "The J-Curve: A Literature Review", Applied Economics, 36(13): 1377-1396.
BAHMANİ-OSKOOEE. M., ARTATRANA, R. (2007a), "The S-Curve Dynamics of US Bilateral Trade", Review of International Economics, 15(2): 430-439.
BAHMANİ-OSKOOEE, M., ARTATRANA, R. (2007b), "Bilateral S-Curve Between Japan and Her Trading Partners", Japan and the World Economy, 19: 483-489.
BAHMANİ-OSKOOEE, M., ARTATRANA, R. (2008), "S-Curve at the Industry Level: Evidence from US-UK Commodity Trade", Empirical Economics, 35(1): 141-152.
BAHMANİ-OSKOOEE, M., ARTATRANA, R. (2009), "S-Curve Dynamics of Trade: Evidence from US-Canada Commodity Trade", Economic Issues, 14(1): 1- 16. BAHMANİ-OSKOOEE, M., ARTATRANA, R. (2010a), "S-Curve at the Commodity Level: Evidence from US-India Trade", The International Trade Journal, 24(1): 84-95.
BAHMANİ-OSKOOEE, M., ARTATRANA, R. (2010b), "S-Curve Dynamics of Trade Between U.S. and China", China Economic Review, 21(2): 212-223.
BAHMANİ-OSKOOEE, M., ARTATRANA, R. (2011a), "S-Curve Dynamics of Trade Between Sweden and Her Trading Partners", Economic Systems, 35(3): 355- 362. BAHMANİ-OSKOOEE, M., ARTATRANA, R. (2011b), "The S-Curve at the Industry Level: Evidence from US-Australia Trade", Economic Papers, 30(4): 497- 521. BAHMANİ-OSKOOEE, M., KUTAN, A. M., RATHA, A. (2008), "The S-Curve in Emerging Markets", Comparative Economic Studies, 50(2): 341-351.
BAHMANİ-OSKOOEE, M., GELAN, A., RATHA, A., (2008), "S-Curve Dynamics of Trade in Africa", African Development Bank, 335-342.