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Journals / Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik-Mimarlik Fakültesi Dergisi / 2017 / Cilt: 32 - Sayı: 2

Zaman Serisi Analiz Metotları Kullanılarak Rüzgâr Hızının Tahmin Edilmesi

Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods

SERAP AKCAN
Pages
161–172
DOI
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

The low performance measure values seen in results indicate that the methods used in this study can be forecast for wind speed

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:As a natural, non-consumable, clean and sustainable energy resource, wind energy is becoming crucial throughout the world.
📊
Key Findings & Data:In this study, several time series analysis methods for wind energy were compared considering long-termmonthly-average wind speed data between the years of 1960 and 2014 at nine meteorological stations throughout five geographical areas in Turkey.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:The low performance measure values seen in results indicate that the methods used in this study can be forecast for wind speed
🔬Design:Research Article
📍Scope:2014 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters

Abstract

As a natural, non-consumable, clean and sustainable energy resource, wind energy is becoming crucial throughout the world. Forecasting wind speed is noteworthy to design and install wind power stations. In this study, several time series analysis methods for wind energy were compared considering long-termmonthly-average wind speed data between the years of 1960 and 2014 at nine meteorological stations throughout five geographical areas in Turkey. The low performance measure values seen in results indicate that the methods used in this study can be forecast for wind speed

Özet

Doğal, tükenmeyen, temiz ve sürdürülebilir bir enerji kaynağı olduğundan rüzgâr enerjisi dünyada önem kazanmaktadır. Rüzgâr enerjisi istasyonlarının tasarlanması ve kurulması için rüzgâr hızı tahmini önemlidir. Bu çalışmada, Türkiye'deki beş farklı coğrafi bölge ve dokuz meteorolojik istasyondan 1960 ve 2014 yılları arasındaki uzun dönemli aylık ortalama rüzgâr hızı verileri dikkate alınarak rüzgâr enerjisi için farklı zaman serisi analizi metotları karşılaştırılmıştır. Çalışmanın sonucunda elde edilen düşük performans ölçüm değerleri, rüzgâr hızı tahminleri için bu çalışmada ele alınan metotların kullanılabileceğini göstermektedir

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Cite This Article

AKCAN, S. (2017). Zaman Serisi Analiz Metotları Kullanılarak Rüzgâr Hızının Tahmin Edilmesi. Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik-Mimarlik Fakültesi Dergisi, Cilt: 32 - Sayı: 2, 161–172. https://ajindex.com/articles/202362

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