AI Summary & Key Takeaways
AI InsightAs a result of the empirical analysis; it was determined that 10% increases in export by 2.7%, 10% increases in fixed capital formation by 1.4%, 10% increases in labor by 2.9% and 10% increases in gross domestic product of the world by 0.6% increases the gross domestic product of Turkey, the effects of the increases in the real exchange rate on the gross domestic product is quite small
📌 3 Key Takeaways
Abstract
In this study; the effects of exports on economic growth in Turkey were analyzed for 1989:Q1-2013:Q1 period’s data via the Toda-Yamamoto causality and cointegration with multi structural breaks. As a result of the empirical analysis; it was determined that 10% increases in export by 2.7%, 10% increases in fixed capital formation by 1.4%, 10% increases in labor by 2.9% and 10% increases in gross domestic product of the world by 0.6% increases the gross domestic product of Turkey, the effects of the increases in the real exchange rate on the gross domestic product is quite small
Özet
Bu çalışmada; Türkiye’de ihracatın ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkileri 1989:Q1-2013:Q1 dönemi için Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik analizi ve çoklu yapısal kırılmalı eşbütünleşme yöntemiyle analiz edilmiştir. Yapılan ampirik analizler sonucunda; ihracattaki %10’luk artışın milli geliri %2.7, sabit sermaye yatırımlarındaki %10’luk artışın milli geliri %1.4, işgücündeki %10’luk artışın milli geliri %2.9 ve dünya milli gelirindeki %10’luk artışın milli geliri %0.6 oranında arttırdığı, reel döviz kurundaki artışın milli gelir üzerindeki etkisinin ise oldukça küçük olduğu tespit edilmiştir.