Journals / Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty / 2026 / Volume: 12 Issue: 1

A Research on the Mediating Role of Foreign Direct Investments of Logistics Sector on the Relationship between Global Competitiveness Index with Gross Domestic Product and Exports

İbrahim Ethem Dağdeviren(UŞAK ÜNİVERSİTESİ, EŞME MESLEK YÜKSEKOKULU)0000-0003-2317-6407
Şakir Mirza(UŞAK ÜNİVERSİTESİ)0000-0003-4869-864X
Pages
—
Publication Date
2025-03-31
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

It is also concluded that there is a significant relationship between export values and GDP data.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:Exports, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) are very important concepts for countries to achieve their strategic, political and economic goals and to have stable growth.
📊
Key Findings & Data:It is also concluded that there is a significant relationship between export values and GDP data.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:Within the framework of the results obtained, it is important to increase the gross domestic product by achieving a good ranking in the global competition index in terms of Türkiye's goals of becoming one of the top ten economies and becoming a logistics hub, and for this purpose, it is important to focus on foreign direct investments in the logistics sector.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:Comprehensive Sample
⚙️Variables:Global Competitiveness Index · Logistics Sector · Foreign Direct Investment

Abstract

Exports, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) are very important concepts for countries to achieve their strategic, political and economic goals and to have stable growth. The Global Competitiveness Index publishes by the World Economic Forum also has a great impact on the decisions of foreign investors and provides comparative information to investors on different issues about the country where investment is desired. At this study, the relationship between Türkiye's global competitiveness index ranking with exports and GDP data and whether foreign direct investments in the logistics sector have a mediating role at this relationship is investigated. SAS software package is used to analyse the data and Structural Equation Model is established. In this framework, it is determined that Türkiye's global competitiveness index ranking affects the logistics sector foreign direct investments and GDP. It is also concluded that there is a significant relationship between export values and GDP data. It has been determined that foreign investments in the logistics sector have no effect on exports and GDP data, and the ranking of the index has no effect on export values. In addition, FDI in the logistics sector have a mediating role in the relationship between the global competitiveness index and GDP but doesn't have a mediating role relationship between exports and GDP and between the global competitiveness index and exports. Within the framework of the results obtained, it is important to increase the gross domestic product by achieving a good ranking in the global competition index in terms of Türkiye's goals of becoming one of the top ten economies and becoming a logistics hub, and for this purpose, it is important to focus on foreign direct investments in the logistics sector.

Özet

Exports, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) are very important concepts for countries to achieve their strategic, political and economic goals and to have stable growth. The Global Competitiveness Index publishes by the World Economic Forum also has a great impact on the decisions of foreign investors and provides comparative information to investors on different issues about the country where investment is desired. At this study, the relationship between Türkiye's global competitiveness index ranking with exports and GDP data and whether foreign direct investments in the logistics sector have a mediating role at this relationship is investigated. SAS software package is used to analyse the data and Structural Equation Model is established. In this framework, it is determined that Türkiye's global competitiveness index ranking affects the logistics sector foreign direct investments and GDP. It is also concluded that there is a significant relationship between export values and GDP data. It has been determined that foreign investments in the logistics sector have no effect on exports and GDP data, and the ranking of the index has no effect on export values. In addition, FDI in the logistics sector have a mediating role in the relationship between the global competitiveness index and GDP but doesn't have a mediating role relationship between exports and GDP and between the global competitiveness index and exports. Within the framework of the results obtained, it is important to increase the gross domestic product by achieving a good ranking in the global competition index in terms of Türkiye's goals of becoming one of the top ten economies and becoming a logistics hub, and for this purpose, it is important to focus on foreign direct investments in the logistics sector.

🔖

Cite This Article

Dağdeviren, İ. E., Mirza, Ş. (2025). A Research on the Mediating Role of Foreign Direct Investments of Logistics Sector on the Relationship between Global Competitiveness Index with Gross Domestic Product and Exports. Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty, Volume: 12 Issue: 1. https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1378637

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (79)

  1. Aalioua, M. (2019). Akdeniz ülkelerinde doğrudan yabancı yatırımların ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkileri: Fas ve Türkiye örneği [Yayımlanmamış yüksek lisans tezi]. Sakarya Üniversitesi.
  2. Abdullah, D., Shaari, M., & Hussain, N. (2017). Investigating the causal relationship between export and economic growth: A Malaysian perspective. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 7(7), 581-591. https://doi.org/10.6007/IJARBSS/v7-i7/3123
  3. Abuu, I. (2020). Doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve küresel rekabet edebilirlik göstergeleri ilişkisi: Gana’da bir uygulama [Yayımlanmamış yüksek lisans tezi]. Ondokuz Mayıs Üniversitesi.
  4. Akhuand, A., & Abbas, S. (2023). Modeling determinants of competitiveness: A case of textile sector of Pakistan. The Journal of the Textile Institute, 114(1), 22-31. https://doi.org/10.1080/00405000.2021.2020415
  5. Akman, A. S. (2019). Doğrudan yabancı yatırımların Türkiye’nin ihracat performansı üzerindeki etkisi [Yayımlanmamış yüksek lisans tezi]. Uludağ Üniversitesi.
  6. Alam, F., & Myovella, G. (2017). Causality between agricultural exports and GDP and its implications for Tanzanian economy. IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance (IOSR-JEF), 8(6), 36-49. https://doi.org/10.9790/5933-0806013649
  7. Albulescu, C. T. (2015). Do foreign direct and portfolio investments affect long-term economic growth in Central and Eastern Europe? Procedia Economics and Finance, 23, 507-512.
  8. Allahverdi, Z. F., & Ay, A. (2021). Teknoloji yoğunluklarına göre sektörlerin doğrudan yabancı yatırımları ile rekabet gücü ilişkisi: Türkiye örneği (2006-2019). Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Meslek Yüksekokulu Dergisi, 24(2), 499-510. https://doi.org/10.29249/selcuksbmyd.994930
  9. Alparslan, N. (2019). Türkiye'ye gelen doğrudan yabancı yatırımların linder hipotezi ve çekim modeli çerçevesinde incelenmesi [Yayımlanmamış yüksek lisans tezi]. Çukurova Üniversitesi.
  10. Belloumi, M. (2014). The relationship between trade, FDI and economic growth in Tunisia: An application of the autoregressive distributed lag model. Economic Systems, 38(2), 269-287. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2013.09.002
  11. Bierut, B. K., & Pawlak, K. K. (2017). Competitiveness and export performance of CEE countries. Eastern European Economics, 55(6), 522-542. https://doi.org/10.1080/00128775.2017.1382378
  12. Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye. (2017). Annual activity report 2017. https://www3.tcmb.gov.tr/yillikrapor/2017/tr
  13. Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye. (n.d.). Balance of payments statistics. https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/
  14. Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye. (2023a). Distribution of direct investments of non-residents in Türkiye by sectors. https://evds2.tcmb.gov.tr/index.php?/evds/serieMarket/collapse_18/5980/DataGroup/turkish/bie_ydydyse
  15. Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye. (2023b). Country distribution of domestic direct investments. https://evds2.tcmb.gov.tr/index.php?/evds/dashboard/4944
  16. Çelik, C. (2022). Çin kaynaklı doğrudan yabancı yatırımların ev sahibi ülke iktisadi ve kurumsal belirleyicilerinin çekim modeliyle analizi [Yayımlanmamış doktora tezi]. Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi.
  17. Çubukçu, F. (2021). Türkiye'de sanayi alt sektörlerine yapılan doğrudan yabancı yatırımların dış ticaret üzerine etkileri [Yayımlanmamış doktora tezi]. Atatürk Üniversitesi.
  18. Deloitte. (2023, January). 2022 mergers and acquisitions report. https://www2.deloitte.com/tr/tr/pages/mergers-and-acquisitions/articles/annual-turkish-ma-review- 2022.html
  19. Duran, G. (2022). Lojistik sektörü ve e-lojistik uygulamalarının rekabet gücü yönüyle değerlendirilmesi: Antalya serbest bölgesi firmaları örneği [Yayımlanmamış doktora tezi]. Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi.
  20. Ekinci, A. (2011). Doğrudan yabancı yatırımların ekonomik büyüme ve istihdama etkisi: Türkiye uygulaması (1980-2010). Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 6(2), 71-96.
  21. Elbeydi, K., Hamuda, A., & Gazda, V. (2010). The relationship between export and economic growth in Libya Arab Jamahiriya. Theoretical and Applied Economics, 17(1(542)), 69-76.
  22. Erat, V., & Demirkanoğlu, Y. (2021). Küresel rekabet açısından Türkiye. Journal of Social and Humanities Sciences Research, 8(78), 3401-3407. https://doi.org/10.26450/jshsr.2896
  23. George, D., & Mallery, P. (2010). SPSS for Windows step by step: A simple guide and reference, 17.0 update. Allyn & Bacon.
  24. Gerni, C., Sarı, S., Emsen, Ö. S., & Kabadayı, B. (2014). Geçiş ekonomilerine yönelik doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımları: İhracata yönelik mi yoksa ithal ikameci mi? International Conference on Economics, Finance and Banking, Üsküp, 395-404.
  25. Gunaydin, I., & Tatoglu, E. (2005). Does foreign direct investment promote economic growth? Evidence from Turkey. Multinational Business Review, 13(2), 89-106.
  26. Güneş, S. (2014). Rekabet düzeyi ile büyüme arasındaki ilişki: Panel analizi. Finansal Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi, 4(7), 43-54. https://doi.org/10.14784/4574.4574
  27. Har, W. M., Teo, K. L., & Yee, K. M. (2008). FDI and economic growth relationship: An empirical study on Malaysia. International Business Research, 1(2), 11-18.
  28. Harding, T., & Javorcik, B. S. (2012). Foreign direct investment and export upgrading. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 94(4), 964-980. https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00226
  29. Hitt, M. A., & Pisano, V. (2003). The cross‐border merger and acquisition strategy: A research perspective. Journal of the Iberoamerican Academy of Management, 1(2), 133-144. https://doi.org/10.1108/15365430380000522
  30. International Investors Association. (2022). Annual report 2022. https://www.yased.org.tr/raporlar
  31. International Transport and Logistics Service Producers Association. (2022). UTIKAD annual report for 2022. https://www.utikad.org.tr/Detay/Duyurular/13955/utikad-2022-yili-faaliyet-raporu
  32. Investment Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Türkiye. (2022). 2021-2023 foreign direct investment (FDI) strategy of Türkiye. https://www.invest.gov.tr/tr/sayfalar/Türkiye-fdi-strategy.aspx
  33. İnançlı, S., & Aydın, F. (2015). Doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımı ve dış rekabet gücü ilişkisi: Türkiye için nedensellik analizi. Sakarya İktisat Dergisi, 4(1), 52-69.
  34. İnançlı, S., & İnal, V. (2017, September 11-12). Doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımlarının Türkiye’nin rekabet gücü üzerine etkisi: 1980-2015 dönemi [Conference presentation]. 15. Uluslararası Türk Dünyası Sosyal Bilimler Kongresi, Moldova.
  35. Javorcik, B. S. (2004). Does foreign direct investment increase the productivity of domestic firms? In search of spillovers through backward linkages. The American Economic Review, 94(3), 605-627. https://doi.org/10.1257/0002828041464605
  36. Jayaraman, T. K. (1998). Foreign direct investment as an alternative to foreign aid to South Pacific Island Countries. Journal of the South Pacific Society, 21(3), 29-44.
  37. Karaca, Z., & Sancak, K. N. (2021). Gayrisafi yurtiçi hasıla, işsizlik, ihracat ve verimlilik arasındaki nedenselliğe bölgesel bakış. Sentez Sciences, 5, 19-32. https://doi.org/10.47358/sentez.2021.22
  38. Kepenek, Y. (2003). Türkiye ekonomisi (N. Yentürk, Ed.). Remzi Publishing.
  39. Kıran, B. (2011). Causal links between foreign direct investment and trade in Türkiye. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 3(2), 150-158.
  40. Kurtaran, A. (2007). Doğrudan yabancı yatırım kararları ve belirleyicileri. Atatürk University Social Sciences Institute Journal, 10(2), 367-382.
  41. Kutan, A. M., & Vukšić, G. (2007). Foreign direct investment and export performance: Empirical evidence. Comparative Economic Studies, 49, 430-445.
  42. Külünk, İ. (2018). Türkiye’de Ar-Ge harcamaları, ihracat ve büyüme arasındaki ilişki: 1996-2016. Uluslararası Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi, 4(2), 73-82.
  43. Madzova, V. (2018). The impact of competitiveness on export performance of the Republic of Macedonia. InTraders International Trade Academic Journal, 1(1), 23-45.
  44. Mehic, E., Silajdzic, S., & Babic-Hodovic, V. (2013). The impact of FDI on economic growth: Some evidence from Southeast Europe. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 49(sup1), 5-20.
  45. Naveed, A., & Shabbir, G. (2006). Trade openness, FDI and economic growth: A panel study. Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 1, 137-154.
  46. Njong, A. M. (2008). Investigating the effects of foreign direct investment on export growth in Cameroon. Final version of paper submitted to UNECA for the 24-25 November 2008, Ad-hoc Expert Group Meeting, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
  47. Omri, A., & Kahouli, B. (2014). Causal relationships between energy consumption, foreign direct investment and economic growth: Fresh evidence from dynamic simultaneous-equations models. Energy Policy, 67, 913- 922. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.11.067
  48. Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development. (2008). Benchmark definition of foreign direct investment (4th ed.). https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/finance-and-investment/oecd-benchmark-definition- of-foreign-direct-investment-2008_9789264045743-en
  49. Özen, A., & Kıdemli, M. (2020). Türkiye’de doğrudan yabancı yatırımların belirleyicileri üzerine ekonometrik bir analiz. Journal of Economics, Policy & Finance Research, 5(3), 643-666. https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.760149
  50. Öztürk, F., & Kurt, İ. (2023). Küresel rekabet gücü ve ihracat performansı ilişkisi: OECD ülkeleri örneği. Fiscaoeconomia, 7(2), 1291-1308. https://doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.1245901
  51. Pacheco-Lopez, P. (2005). Foreign direct investment, exports and imports in Mexico. The World Economy, 28(8), 1157-1172. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9701.2005.00724.x
  52. Popovici, O. C., & Călin, A. C. (2015). The effects of enhancing competitiveness on FDI inflows in CEE countries. European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 7(1), 55-65.
  53. Prasanna, N. (2010). Impact of foreign direct investment on export performance in India. Journal of Social Sciences, 24(1), 65-71. https://doi.org/10.1080/09718923.2010.11892838
  54. Prasanna-Perera, W. L. (2013). An analysis on foreign direct investment, external trade and economic growth in Sri Lanka: 1978-2011. The Faculty Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 5, 126-140.
  55. Ramos, F. F. R. (2001). Exports, imports, and economic growth in Portugal: Evidence from causality and cointegration analysis. Economic Modelling, 18(4), 613-623.
  56. Raza, S. A., Shah, N., & Arif, I. (2021). Relationship between FDI and economic growth in the presence of good
  57. governance system: Evidence from OECD countries. Global Business Review, 22(6), 1471-1489.
  58. Republic of Türkiye Prime Ministry Undersecretariat of Treasury. (2005). Annual report 2005. https://ms.hmb.gov.tr/uploads/2019/01/Hazine-
  59. Sharma, A., Rishad, A., & Gupta, S. (2018). Relationship between FDI, export and economic growth in India: Evidence from Toda and Yamamoto approach. Journal of Academic Research in Economics, 10(1), 17-29.
  60. Schwab, K. (2019). The Global Competitiveness Report 2019. World Economic Forum. State Planning Organization (SPO). (2000). Seventh five years development plan (1996-2000). https://www.sbb.gov.tr/kalkinma-planlari/
  61. Şahin, S. (2022). Rekabet gücünün 2006-2017 dönemleri kapsamında analizi: BRICS ülkeleri ve Türkiye örneği. Equinox Journal of Economics Business and Political Studies, 9(1), 69-88. https://doi.org/10.48064/equinox.1058153
  62. Tabachnick, B. G., Fidell, L. S., & Ullman, J. B. (2013). Using multivariate statistics. Pearson Boston.
  63. Temiz, D., & Gökmen, A. (2009, June 17-19). Foreign direct investment and export in Türkiye: The period of 1991- 2008 [Conference presentation]. EconAnadolu 2009: I. Anadolu Uluslararası İktisat Kongresi, Eskişehir, Türkiye.
  64. Turkish Exporters Assembly. (2022). Export report 2022. https://tim.org.tr/tr/yillik-ihracat-raporu
  65. Turkish Statistical Institute. (2023). Export data. https://www.tuik.gov.tr/
  66. Xu, H. (2016). Domestic railroad infrastructure and exports: Evidence from the Silk Route. China Economic Review, 41, 129-147. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2016.09.005
  67. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2000). World investment report 2000. https://unctad.org/publication/world-investment-report-2000
  68. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2002). World investment report 2002. https://unctad.org/publication/world-investment-report-2002
  69. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2005). World investment report 2005. https://unctad.org/publication/world-investment-report-2005
  70. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2008). World investment report 2008. https://unctad.org/publication/world-investment-report-2008
  71. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2019). World investment report 2019. https://unctad.org/publication/world-investment-report-2019
  72. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2022). World investment report 2022. https://unctad.org/publication/world-investment-report-2022
  73. Uslu, H. (2018). Türkiye’de doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımları ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Yapısal kırılmalı bir analiz. Academic Journal of Social Research, 6(69), 507-529.
  74. Vernon, R. (1966). International investment and international trade in the product cycle. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 80(2), 190-207.
  75. World Economic Forum. (2019). The global competitiveness report. https://www.weforum.org/publications/global-competitiveness-report-2019/
  76. Yılmazer, M. (2010). Doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar, dış ticaret ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Türkiye üzerine bir deneme. Celal Bayar Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 8(1), 241-260.
  77. Zhang, K. H. (2005, June 25-26). How does FDI affect a host country’s export performance? The case of China [Conference presentation]. Paper presented to International conference of WTO, China and the Asian Economies, China. https://ideas.repec.org/a/ris/ecoint/0094.html
  78. Zhao, C., & Du, J. (2007). Causality between FDI and economic growth in China. Chinese Economy, 40(6), 68- 82. https://ideas.repec.org/a/mes/chinec/v40y2007i6p68-82.html
  79. Zlatković, M. (2016). Does enhancing of the competitiveness influence on foreign direct investments in Western Balkan countries? European Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies, 1(2), 164-173. https://doi.org/10.26417/ejms.v1i2.p164-173