Journals / Marine Science and Technology Bulletin / 2026 / Volume: 15 Issue: 2

Statistical analysis of vessel waiting times in the Istanbul Strait: Evidence from operational data

Emin Deniz Özkan(Dokuz Eylül University, Maritime Faculty, Department of Marine Transportation Engineering, 35390, İzmir, Türkiye)0000-0001-8489-4707
Pages
—
Publication Date
2026-06-25
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

According to the results, the clearest difference among the binary variables was observed for pilotage, with piloted vessels experiencing longer waiting times.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:Vessel waiting time is a crucial indicator of operational efficiency in maritime transport.
📊
Key Findings & Data:This study statistically examined vessel waiting times for transit passage in the Istanbul Strait, one of the world’s busiest and most strategic waterways, using operational records from 2023 and 2024.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:According to the results, the clearest difference among the binary variables was observed for pilotage, with piloted vessels experiencing longer waiting times.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:2023 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Istanbul Strait · Operational data · Statistical analysis

Abstract

Vessel waiting time is a crucial indicator of operational efficiency in maritime transport. This study statistically examined vessel waiting times for transit passage in the Istanbul Strait, one of the world’s busiest and most strategic waterways, using operational records from 2023 and 2024. After data cleaning, 76,916 transit records were analysed. Since the waiting time distribution was markedly right skewed, the analysis focused on median, interquartile range (IQR), and upper percentiles. Mann-Whitney U and Kruskal-Wallis tests were used for group comparisons, and Spearman’s rank correlation was used to examine the relationship between waiting time and vessel length. A general linear model was also used to evaluate the explanatory variables jointly using log-transformed waiting time. According to the results, the clearest difference among the binary variables was observed for pilotage, with piloted vessels experiencing longer waiting times. Weaker differences were found for tug assistance, dangerous cargo status, and transit direction. Waiting times also differed across vessel type groups and showed a positive but weak relationship with vessel length. In addition, waiting times varied by season, with higher values in winter and spring and lower values in summer. These findings may provide an empirical reference for decision makers and stakeholders in evaluating waiting time patterns and identifying vessel, operational, and seasonal conditions associated with longer waiting times in the Istanbul Strait.

🔖

Cite This Article

Özkan, E. D. (2026). Statistical analysis of vessel waiting times in the Istanbul Strait: Evidence from operational data. Marine Science and Technology Bulletin, Volume: 15 Issue: 2. https://doi.org/10.33714/masteb.1930690

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (25)

  1. Arslan, E. (2024). Analysis of the relationship between workload of vessel traffic services operators and maritime safety. [Ph.D. Thesis. Dokuz Eylül University].
  2. Atalar, F. (2021). Determination of the factors threatening the safety of navigation in the Turkish Straits. [MSc. Thesis. Ordu University].
  3. Balık, İ., Aydın, S. Z., & Bitiktaş, F. (2022). Turkish Straits traffic intensity, waiting times and marine accidents. Urban Academy, 15(1), 262-276. https://doi.org/10.35674/kent.1033749
  4. Cohen, B. H. (2008). Explaining psychological statistics (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
  5. Eldemir, F., Camci, F., & Uysal, O. (2013). Analysis and simulation of Istanbul Strait marine traffic management strategies. Transportation Research Board 92nd Annual Meeting, No. 13-1024, United States.
  6. Fiel Peres, F. (2026). Effect sizes for nonparametric tests. Biochemia Medica, 36(1), 010101. https://doi.org/10.11613/BM.2026.010101
  7. Fritz, C. O., Morris, P. E., & Richler, J. J. (2012). Effect size estimates: Current use, calculations, and interpretation. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 141(1), 2-18. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0024338
  8. Hoeks, S., Kardys, I., Lenzen, M., Van Domburg, R., & Boersma, E. (2013). Tools and techniques - Statistics: descriptive statistics. EuroIntervention, 9(8), 1001-1003. https://doi.org/10.4244/EIJV9I8A167
  9. Kaneria, A., Hamidi, M., Zhu, W., & Craig, B. (2019). Traffic simulation of Houston Ship Channel for assessing the impact of waterway closures on vessel waiting time. Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering, 145(4), 04019014. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WW.1943-5460.0000518
  10. Komorowski, M., Marshall, D. C., Salciccioli, J. D., & Crutain, Y. (2016). Exploratory data analysis. In MIT Critical Data (Ed.), Secondary analysis of electronic health records (pp. 185-203). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-43742-2_15
  11. Köse, E., Başar, E., Demirci, E., Güneroǧlu, A., & Erkebay, Ş. (2003). Simulation of marine traffic in Istanbul Strait. Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, 11(7-8), 597-608. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.simpat.2003.10.001
  12. Malekipirbazari, M., Aksakalli, V., & Aydogdu, Y. V. (2016). Predicting anchorage duration of commercial vessels. International Journal of Machine Learning and Computing, 6(1), 62-66.
  13. Maritime Traffic Regulations for the Turkish Straits. (2019). Official Gazette, No. 30859, 15 August 2019.
  14. Mavrakis, D., & Kontinakis, N. (2008). A queueing model of maritime traffic in Bosporus Straits. Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, 16(3), 315-328. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.simpat.2007.11.013
  15. Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure of the Republic of Türkiye. (2024). Maritime traffic regulations for the Turkish straits - implementation directive. Retrieved on April 6, 2026, from https://denizcilik.uab.gov.tr/
  16. Or, I., Ozbas, B., & Yilmaz, T. (2007). Simulation of maritime transit traffic in the İstanbul Strait–II: Incorporating the traffic regime, arrival processes, meteorological conditions. Proceedings of the 21st European Conference on Modelling and Simulation, Czech Republic, pp. 548-553.
  17. Özbaş, B., & Or, I. (2007). Analysis and control of maritime transit traffic through the Istanbul Channel: a simulation approach. Central European Journal of Operations Research, 15, 235-252. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10100-007-0028-9
  18. Özlem, Ş., Altan, Y. C., Otay, E. N., & Or, İ. (2020). Grounding probability in narrow waterways. The Journal of Navigation, 73(2), 267-281. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0373463319000572
  19. Özlem, Ş., Or, İ., & Altan, Y. C. (2021). Scheduling and simulation of maritime traffic in congested waterways: An application to the Strait of Istanbul. The Journal of Navigation, 74(3), 656-672. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0373463320000715
  20. Rahimikelarijani, B., Abedi, A., Hamidi, M., & Cho, J. (2018). Simulation modeling of Houston Ship Channel vessel traffic for optimal closure scheduling. Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, 80, 89-103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.simpat.2017.10.004
  21. Roy, U. (2020). Study of the travel time of vessels and their delays based on AIS data: a case study in Houston Ship Channel. [Ph.D. Thesis. Lamar University].
  22. Ucan, E., & Nas, S. (2016). Analysing Istanbul Strait maritime pilot capacity by simulation technique. The Journal of Navigation, 69(4), 815-827. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0373463315000909
  23. Ulusçu, Ö. S., & Altıok, T. (2009). Waiting time approximation in single-class queueing systems with multiple types of interruptions: modeling congestion at waterways entrances. Annals of Operations Research, 172, 291-313. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-009-0613-5
  24. Ulusçu, Ö. S., Özbaş, B., Altıok, T., Or, İ., & Yılmaz, T. (2009). Transit vessel scheduling in the Strait of Istanbul. The Journal of Navigation, 62(1), 59-77. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0373463308005092
  25. Zhang, Y. Y., Chang, M. S., & Fuller, S. W. (2015). Statistical analysis of vessel waiting time and lockage time on the Upper Mississippi River. Maritime Economics & Logistics, 17(4), 416-439. https://doi.org/10.1057/mel.2015.30