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Journals / Kafkas Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi / 2026 / Cilt: 17 Sayı: 33

DETERMINANTS OF REGIONAL HOUSING SALES IN TÜRKİYE: A SPATIAL ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS

TÜRKİYE'DE BÖLGESEL KONUT SATIŞLARININ BELİRLEYİCİLERİ: MEKANSAL EKONOMETRİK BİR ANALİZ

Burak Samet Iraker(EGE UNIVERSITY)0000-0002-4763-3257
A. Özlem Önder(EGE UNIVERSITY)0000-0002-8903-8931
Pages
65–81
Publication Date
2026-06-28
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

The results indicate spatial interdependence in housing sales among regions of Türkiye.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:This study aims to measure the presence of spatial effects on housing sales in Türkiye at a regional level.
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Key Findings & Data:The analysis specifically investigates the impact of interest rates, housing credit volume, and construction permits on regional housing sales in Türkiye, as well as other factors commonly used in the literature, such as real housing price, inflation, migration rate, unemployment, and GDP per capita.
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Conclusion & Impact:The results indicate spatial interdependence in housing sales among regions of Türkiye.
🔬Design:Araştırma Makalesi
📍Scope:2010 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Konut satışı · konut fiyatı · bölgesel analiz

Abstract

This study aims to measure the presence of spatial effects on housing sales in Türkiye at a regional level. The analysis specifically investigates the impact of interest rates, housing credit volume, and construction permits on regional housing sales in Türkiye, as well as other factors commonly used in the literature, such as real housing price, inflation, migration rate, unemployment, and GDP per capita. Using data from 2010 to 2023, NUTS-2 regions are analyzed through a spatial panel data method. The results indicate spatial interdependence in housing sales among regions of Türkiye. Furthermore, increases in the real housing price index, housing loan, interest rates, and inflation have been found to reduce housing sales, whereas increases in the total amount of housing loans and net migration rates lead to higher housing sales.

Özet

Bu çalışma, Türkiye'de konut satışları üzerindeki mekânsal etkilerin varlığını bölgesel düzeyde ölçmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Analiz, özellikle faiz oranlarının, konut kredi hacminin ve inşaat izinlerinin Türkiye'deki bölgesel konut satışları üzerindeki etkisini ve ayrıca literatürde yaygın olarak kullanılan reel konut fiyatı, enflasyon, göç oranı, işsizlik ve kişi başına GSYİH gibi diğer faktörleri incelemektedir. 2010-2023 yılları arasındaki veriler kullanılarak, NUTS-2 bölgeleri mekânsal panel veri yöntemiyle analiz edilmiştir. Sonuçlar, Türkiye'deki bölgeler arasında konut satışlarında mekânsal bağımlılığı göstermektedir. Ayrıca, reel konut fiyat endeksi, konut kredisi, faiz oranları ve enflasyondaki artışların konut satışlarını azalttığı, toplam konut kredisi miktarı ve net göç oranlarındaki artışların ise konut satışlarını artırdığı bulunmuştur.

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Cite This Article

Iraker, B. S., Önder, A. Ö. (2026). DETERMINANTS OF REGIONAL HOUSING SALES IN TÜRKİYE: A SPATIAL ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS. Kafkas Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, Cilt: 17 Sayı: 33, 65–81. https://doi.org/10.36543/kauiibfd.2026.004

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