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Journals / Trakya Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi / 2026 / Cilt: 28 Sayı: 1

The Effect of Population and Weather Conditions on Ambulance Demand: A Panel Data Analysis

Nüfus ve Hava Koşullarının Ambulans Talebi Üzerindeki Etkisi: Bir Panel Veri Analizi

Elif Erbay(ANKARA UNIVERSITY)0000-0003-3789-7141
Pages
128–136
Publication Date
2026-06-30
DOI
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

This study provides valuable information on interactions between population, weather and emergency services demand, with practical implications for policy makers.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:It is crucial to understand factors affecting ambulance call volumes to improve resource allocation.
📊
Key Findings & Data:Fixed effects and random effects models were applied using panel data from six districts of Ankara over 36 months on population, call volumes and weather conditions.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:This study provides valuable information on interactions between population, weather and emergency services demand, with practical implications for policy makers.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:Comprehensive Sample
⚙️Variables:Uygulamalı Ekonometri · Ambulans · Acil Sağlık Hizmetleri

Abstract

It is crucial to understand factors affecting ambulance call volumes to improve resource allocation. The aim of this study is to explore the impact of population and weather conditions on the call volumes. Fixed effects and random effects models were applied using panel data from six districts of Ankara over 36 months on population, call volumes and weather conditions. Population size was positively associated with calls, with a 1% increase in population leading to a 0.46% increase in calls. Higher maximum temperatures decreased call volumes; higher minimum temperatures led to an increase in calls. There were more calls made in rainy conditions. Humidity and maximum wind speed are not statistically significant. The study emphasizes the importance of considering population and weather conditions in planning and managing emergency medical services. This study provides valuable information on interactions between population, weather and emergency services demand, with practical implications for policy makers.

Özet

Kaynak tahsisini ve verimliliği artırmak için ambulans çağrı hacimlerini etkileyen faktörleri anlamak çok önemlidir. Bu çalışmanın amacı, nüfus ve hava koşullarının çağrı hacimleri üzerindeki etkisini araştırmaktır. Ankara’nın altı ilçesinden 36 aylık nüfus, çağrı hacimleri ve hava koşullarına ilişkin panel verileri kullanılarak sabit etkiler ve rastgele etkiler modelleri uygulanmıştır. Nüfus büyüklüğü çağrılarla pozitif ilişkili olup; nüfustaki %1’lik artış çağrılarda %0,46’lık bir artışa neden olmaktadır. Daha yüksek maksimum sıcaklıklar çağrı hacimlerini azaltırken, daha yüksek minimum sıcaklıklar çağrılarda artışa yol açmıştır. Yağışlı koşullarda daha fazla çağrı yapılmıştır. Nem ve maksimum rüzgâr hızı istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bulunmamıştır. Çalışma, acil sağlık hizmetlerinin planlanması ve yönetilmesinde nüfus ve hava koşullarının dikkate alınmasının önemini vurgulamaktadır. Bu çalışma, nüfus, hava durumu ve acil durum hizmetleri talebi arasındaki etkileşimler hakkında değerli bilgiler sunmakta ve politika yapıcılar için pratik çıkarımlar sağlamaktadır.

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Cite This Article

Erbay, E. (2026). The Effect of Population and Weather Conditions on Ambulance Demand: A Panel Data Analysis. Trakya Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Cilt: 28 Sayı: 1, 128–136. https://ajindex.com/articles/1132204

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