Dergiler / Iğdır Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi / 2017 / Cilt: 7 - Sayı: 4

Fırat Havzası’ndaki Eksik Akım Verilerinin Debi Süreklilik Çizgileri ve Regresyon Modelleri ile Tahmin Edilmesi

Estimation of Missing Streamflow Records in the Euphrates Basin using Flow Duration Curves and Regression Models

Sayfa
85–94
DOI
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Özet

Herhangi bir bölgedeki su yapılarının tasarımı, planlanması ve işletilmesinde akım verileri oldukça

Abstract

Streamflow records play important role for design, planning and management of water structuresin any region. In order to use the streamflow efficiently for these purposes, the length of data records must bestatistically sufficient and complete. But, there are usually some gaps at the streamflow records and these gaps mustbe infilled by means of reliable methods. In this study, the missing streamflow records in the gauge stations 2119,2151, 2149, 2158 and 2122, which are located in the upper and middle parts of the Euphrates Basin, were estimatedusing Flow Duration Curves and Regression Models. To define the best model among alternatives, determinationcoefficient (R2) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) were used. According to the results, both of the modelsproduced successful results with a high value of R2. Moreover, the results showed that the Regression Modelsfor the stations 2151, 2119, 2122 and 2158 and Flow Duration Curves for the station 2149 were more capable topreserve the main statistical properties of the historical data.

Anahtar kelimeler: Fırat Havzası, debi süreklilik çizgileri, eksik akım verileri, regresyon modelleri