Dergiler / International Advanced Researches and Engineering Journal / 2021 / Cilt: 5 - Sayı: 2

Prediction of market-clearing price using neural networks based methods and boosting algorithms

Sayfa
240–246
Yayın Tarihi
2022-10-19
DOI
—
🏛️Bu makalenin bibliyografik verileri ve tam metin bağlantısı DergiPark üzerinden sağlanmıştır.
DergiPark Kaydı ↗
✨

Yapay Zeka Hızlı Bakış & Çıkarımlar

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(1 Cümlede Hızlı Çıkarım)

Hence, producers and consumers can use these methods to determine the bidding strategies and to maximize their profits.

📌 3 Maddede Bu Makale

🎯
Amaç & Hipotez:The development of Turkey's industry is contributing to a significant rise in electrical energy demand.
📊
Temel Bulgular & Veri:Various performance metrics are employed to evaluate the prediction performance of proposed methods.
💡
Sonuç & Katkı:Hence, producers and consumers can use these methods to determine the bidding strategies and to maximize their profits.
🔬Tür:Araştırma Makalesi
📍Kapsam:Genişletilmiş Akademik Örneklem
⚙️Değişkenler:ANN · Boosting algorithms · Market-clearing price

Abstract

The development of Turkey's industry is contributing to a significant rise in electrical energy demand. Also, electricity is one of the critical elements in the household sectors. Therefore, the planning and managing of electrical energy is of great importance to support economic growth. In addition, effective prediction of market-clearing prices (MCP) is critical topic to meet the increasing energy demand and provide basis for decision making process. In this paper, MCP is predicted using artificial neural network (ANN), convolutional neural network (CNN), and also three boosting algorithms including extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), categorical boosting (CatBoost), and adaptive boosting (AdaBoost). Various performance metrics are employed to evaluate the prediction performance of proposed methods. The results showed that proposed methods provide reasonable prediction results for energy sector. Hence, producers and consumers can use these methods to determine the bidding strategies and to maximize their profits.

🔖

Bu Makaleye Atıf Yap

İPEK, A. B. (2022). Prediction of market-clearing price using neural networks based methods and boosting algorithms. International Advanced Researches and Engineering Journal, Cilt: 5 - Sayı: 2, 240–246. https://ajindex.com/articles/539275

📄 Tam Metin PDF Okuyucu

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

Kaynakça (14)

  1. Kiliç, A. M., Turkey's main energy sources and importance of usage in energy sector. Energy Exploration & Exploitation, 2006. 24(1): p. 1–17
  2. Akbalik, M., and Kavcıoğlu, Ş., Energy sector outlook in Turkey. Dumlupinar University Journal of Social Science, Special Issue of XIV. International Symposium on Econometrics, Operations Research and Statistics, 2014. p. 97–118
  3. Başoğlu, B., and Bulut, M., Kısa dönem elektrik talep tahminleri için yapay sinir ağları ve uzman sistemler tabanlı hibrit sistem geliştirilmesi. Journal of the Faculty of Engineering & Architecture of Gazi University, 2017. 32(2): p. 575–583
  4. Tutun, S., Chou, C.-A., and Canıyılmaz, E., A new forecasting framework for volatile behavior in net electricity consumption: A case study in Turkey. Energy, 93(2), 2015. p. 2406–2422
  5. Prabavathi, M., and Gnanadass, R., Electric power bidding model for practical utility system. Alexandria Engineering Journal, 2018. 57(1): p. 277–286
  6. Ceyhan, G., Türkiye`de elektrik piyasa takas fiyatı ve sistem marjinal fiyatı farkı üzerine istatistiksel bir çalışma, 2016. [cited 2020 25 September]; Available from:
  7. Kocadayı, Y., Erkaymaz, O., and Uzun, R., Estimation of Tr81 area yearly electric energy consumption by artificial neural networks. Bilge International Journal of Science and Technology Research, 1(Special Issue), 2017. p. 59–64
  8. Bilgili, M., Estimation of net electricity consumption of Turkey. Journal of Thermal Science & Technology, 2009. 29(2): p. 89–98
  9. Marvuglia, A., and Messineo, A., Using recurrent artificial neural networks to forecast household electricity consumption. Energy Procedia, 2012. 14: p. 45–55
  10. Es, H. A., Kalender, F. Y., and Hamzaçebi, C., Yapay sinir ağları ile Türkiye net enerji talep tahmini. Journal of the Faculty of Engineering and Architecture of Gazi University, 2014. 29(3): p. 495–504
  11. Nugaliyadde, A., Somaratne, U., and Wong, K. W., Predicting electricity consumption using deep recurrent neural networks. 2019. arXiv:1909.08182
  12. Kaya, M. V., Doyar, B. V., and Demir, F., The effects of internet usage and GDP on electricity consumption: the case of Turkey. Yönetim ve Ekonomi, 2017. 24(1): p. 185–198
  13. Çamurdan, Z., and Ganiz, M. C., Machine learning based electricity demand forecasting. 2017 International Conference on Computer Science and Engineering (UBMK), Antalya, 2017. p. 412–417
  14. Li, K., and Zhang, T., Forecas