Dergiler / Central Bank Review / 2022 / Cilt: 22 - Sayı: 1

Potential growth in Turkey: Sources and trends

Sayfa
1–25
Yayın Tarihi
2022-10-11
DOI
—
🏛️Bu makalenin bibliyografik verileri ve tam metin bağlantısı DergiPark üzerinden sağlanmıştır.
DergiPark Kaydı ↗
✨

Yapay Zeka Hızlı Bakış & Çıkarımlar

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(1 Cümlede Hızlı Çıkarım)

This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/ 4.0/).

📌 3 Maddede Bu Makale

🎯
Amaç & Hipotez:This paper estimates potential growth in Turkey using a production function estimation approach.
📊
Temel Bulgular & Veri:While developing measures of the sources of potential growth, we provide a thorough discussion of the estimated trends in labor force participation, capital growth by asset type, and total factor productivity since the mid-2000s.
💡
Sonuç & Katkı:This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/ 4.0/).
🔬Tür:Araştırma Makalesi
📍Kapsam:2022 Verileri
⚙️Değişkenler:Alan Parametreleri

Abstract

This paper estimates potential growth in Turkey using a production function estimation approach. Our approach aims to measure the inputs of production in the most detailed fashion that is possible and empirically addresses concepts of sustainable potential growth for Turkey. While developing measures of the sources of potential growth, we provide a thorough discussion of the estimated trends in labor force participation, capital growth by asset type, and total factor productivity since the mid-2000s. Our results suggest that the key driver of potential growth has increasingly been capital accumulation. The declining trend in the positive TFP growth stands out as the key area of improvement for potential growth. © 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Central Bank of The Republic of Turkey. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/ 4.0/).

🔖

Bu Makaleye Atıf Yap

Sevinç, O., Demiroğlu, U., Çakır, E., Baştan, E. M. (2022). Potential growth in Turkey: Sources and trends. Central Bank Review, Cilt: 22 - Sayı: 1, 1–25. https://ajindex.com/articles/473036

📄 Tam Metin PDF Okuyucu

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

Kaynakça (2)

  1. References Aaronson, S., Fallick, B., Figura, A., Pingle, J., Wascher, W., 2006. The recent decline in the labor force participation rate ant its implications for potential labor supply. Brookings Pap. Econ. Activ. 37 (1), 69e134. Aaronson, D., Lange, F., Mazumder, B., 2014. Labor force participation: recent de- velopments and future prospects. Brookings Pap. Econ. Activ. 45 (2), 197e275. Aguiar, M., Gopinath, G., 2007. Emerging market business cycles: the cycle is the trend. J. Polit. Econ. 115 (1), 69e102. Akçay, C., Ocakverdi, E., 2011. (Never) Mind the gap: a modest contribution to po- tential output estimation for Turkey. Yapi Kredi Occasional Macro Notes 11-02.
  2. Akkoç, U., 2018. Recent measurement methods of the output gap: an application for Turkey. Current Debates in Economics and Econometrics 2 (1), 357e376. Alberola, E., Estrada, A., Santab arbara, D., 2013. Growth beyond Imbalances. Sus- tainable Growth Rates and Output Gap Reassessment. Banco de Espa~na Working. Paper No. 1313. Albert, M., Cristina, J., Rebillard, C., 2015. The long landing scenario: rebalancing from overinvestment and excessive credit growth. Implications for Potential Growth in China. Banque de France Working Paper No. 572. Alichi, A., 2015. A new methodology for estimating the output gap in the United States. IMF Working. Paper No. 15/144. Alp, H., €O günç, F., Sarikaya, Ç., 2012. Monetary Policy and Output Gap: Mind the Composition. CBRT Research Notes in Economics No. 1207. Alp, H., Bas ̧ kaya, Y.S., Kılınç, M., Yüksel, C., 2011. Estimating optimal Hodrick- Prescott Filter smoothing parameter for Turkey. Iktisat Isletme ve Finans 26 (306), 9e23. Anderton, R., Aranki, T., Dieppe, A., Elding, C., Haroutunian, S., Jacquinot, P., Jarvis, V., Labhard, V., Rusinova, D., Sz€orfi, B., 2014. Potential Output from a Euro Area Perspective. European Central Bank Occasional. Paper No. 156. Andıç Bas ̧ er, S., 2018. Multivariate filter for estimating potential output and output gap in Turkey. CBRT Working Papers. No. 1807. Andıç, S., 2016. On estimation of the normalized CES production function for Turkey. CBRT Working Papers. No. 1613. Antolin-Diaz, J., Drechsel, T., Petrella, I., 2017. Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth. Rev. Econ. Stat. 99 (2), 343e356. Arpaia, A., P erez, E., Pichelmann, K., 2009. Understanding Labour Income Share Dynamics in Europe. European Commission-Economic. Papers 2008 - 2015 No. 379. Aytaç, A., 2015. Output Gap Estimatıon for the Case of Turkey. Bil