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Dergiler / Eurasian Research Journal / 2026 / Volume: 6 Issue: 1

ASYMMETRIC GARCH-TYPE AND HALF-LIFE VOLATILITY MODELLING IN EXCHANGE RATES OF EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION MEMBERS

Erhan Demireli(DOKUZ EYLUL UNIVERSITY)0000-0002-3457-0699
Mert Ural(DOKUZ EYLUL UNIVERSITY)0000-0003-3252-846X
Üzeyir Aydın(DOKUZ EYLUL UNIVERSITY)0000-0003-2777-6450
Sayfa
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Yayın Tarihi
2024-02-01
DOI
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⚡ TL;DR(1 Cümlede Hızlı Çıkarım)

The return series obtained over the daily closing prices of the exchange rates of the countries in question between December 31, 2018 and June 30, 2023 were analyzed using the EGARCH method and the return to mean were calculated.

📌 3 Maddede Bu Makale

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Amaç & Hipotez:The variability in the price of a financial asset is called volatility and is often measured with a standard deviation.
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Temel Bulgular & Veri:The aim of this study is to determine the asymmetric GARCH-type modeling of the exchange rates of Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Russia, which constitute the Eurasian Economic Union as of January 1, 2015, as well as to determine the return time to the mean after the shocks.
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Sonuç & Katkı:The return series obtained over the daily closing prices of the exchange rates of the countries in question between December 31, 2018 and June 30, 2023 were analyzed using the EGARCH method and the return to mean were calculated.
🔬Tür:Modelleme & Sayısal Simülasyon
📍Kapsam:2015 Verileri
⚙️Değişkenler:Foreign Exchange · Half-life volatility · EGARCH

Abstract

The variability in the price of a financial asset is called volatility and is often measured with a standard deviation. Empirical studies have shown that many financial asset returns exhibit fat tails (leptokurtosis) and are often characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. The aim of this study is to determine the asymmetric GARCH-type modeling of the exchange rates of Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Russia, which constitute the Eurasian Economic Union as of January 1, 2015, as well as to determine the return time to the mean after the shocks. The return series obtained over the daily closing prices of the exchange rates of the countries in question between December 31, 2018 and June 30, 2023 were analyzed using the EGARCH method and the return to mean were calculated.

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Bu Makaleye Atıf Yap

Demireli, E., Ural, M., Aydın, Ü. (2024). ASYMMETRIC GARCH-TYPE AND HALF-LIFE VOLATILITY MODELLING IN EXCHANGE RATES OF EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION MEMBERS. Eurasian Research Journal, Volume: 6 Issue: 1. https://ajindex.com/articles/1483148

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