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Dergiler / Ege Akademik Bakış Dergisi / 2024 / Cilt: 24 Sayı: 4

Are Electric Vehicles Discharging Tax Revenues? The Türkiye Case

Doğan Bakırtaş(MANISA CELAL BAYAR UNIVERSITY)0000-0002-9189-3451
Metin Nazlıoğlu(MANISA CELAL BAYAR UNIVERSITY)0000-0002-4926-298X
Hasan Yazar(MANISA CELAL BAYAR UNIVERSITY)0000-0002-9290-9566
Sayfa
517–530
Yayın Tarihi
2024-11-01
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⚡ TL;DR(1 Cümlede Hızlı Çıkarım)

The findings underscore an imminent government challenge, anticipating tax revenue losses of approximately $567.5 million for 2025 and $1.9 billion for 2030.

📌 3 Maddede Bu Makale

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Amaç & Hipotez:Türkiye, in tandem with global trends, is witnessing a significant uptick in electric vehicle (EV) sales, prompting concerns about substantial impacts on traditional tax revenues derived from fuel-related products and the automotive sector.
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Temel Bulgular & Veri:Data from the Automotive Distributors Association in Türkiye highlights a noteworthy increase in the EV market share from 0.03 percent (155 units) in 2020 to 4.8 percent (28,931 units) between January and August 2023.
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Sonuç & Katkı:The findings underscore an imminent government challenge, anticipating tax revenue losses of approximately $567.5 million for 2025 and $1.9 billion for 2030.
🔬Tür:Modelleme & Sayısal Simülasyon
📍Kapsam:2020 Verileri
⚙️Değişkenler:Electric Vehicles (EVs) · Tax Revenues · Total Cost of Ownership Model (TCO)

Abstract

Türkiye, in tandem with global trends, is witnessing a significant uptick in electric vehicle (EV) sales, prompting concerns about substantial impacts on traditional tax revenues derived from fuel-related products and the automotive sector. Data from the Automotive Distributors Association in Türkiye highlights a noteworthy increase in the EV market share from 0.03 percent (155 units) in 2020 to 4.8 percent (28,931 units) between January and August 2023. This study, utilizing forecasting methodologies such as the Exponential Smoothing Model and Holt’s Exponential Smoothing, projects total vehicle numbers for 2025 and 2030. Employing the Total Cost of Ownership model, encompassing registration, motor vehicle tax, fuel/charging costs, and maintenance, the research compares tax revenues from electric and internal combustion engine vehicles. The findings underscore an imminent government challenge, anticipating tax revenue losses of approximately $567.5 million for 2025 and $1.9 billion for 2030.

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Bu Makaleye Atıf Yap

Bakırtaş, D., Nazlıoğlu, M., Yazar, H. (2024). Are Electric Vehicles Discharging Tax Revenues? The Türkiye Case. Ege Akademik Bakış Dergisi, Cilt: 24 Sayı: 4, 517–530. https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.20240403

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