Dergiler / Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science / 2026 / Cilt: 9 Sayı: 5

Flood Risk Assessment and Environmental Change Analysis Using GIS and Remote Sensing

Sibel Canaz Sevgen(ANKARA UNIVERSITY, FACULTY OF APPLIED SCIENCES, DEPARTMENT OF REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT AND MANAGEMENT)0000-0001-5552-6067
Sayfa
2773–2782
Yayın Tarihi
2026-09-15
🏛️Bu makalenin bibliyografik verileri ve tam metin bağlantısı DergiPark üzerinden sağlanmıştır.
DergiPark Kaydı ↗
✨

Yapay Zeka Hızlı Bakış & Çıkarımlar

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(1 Cümlede Hızlı Çıkarım)

The results provide valuable support for disaster risk reduction, urban planning, and future development strategies in Havza and similar watershed environments.

📌 3 Maddede Bu Makale

🎯
Amaç & Hipotez:Floods can be very destructive natural hazard; it causes significant environmental, social, and economic impacts.
📊
Temel Bulgular & Veri:Havza is a district in Northern part of Türkiye, experienced major flood events in May 1998 and May 2026, which emphasize the need of identify flood-prone areas and analyze the factors that influence flood vulnerability.
💡
Sonuç & Katkı:The results provide valuable support for disaster risk reduction, urban planning, and future development strategies in Havza and similar watershed environments.
🔬Tür:Modelleme & Sayısal Simülasyon
📍Kapsam:2026 Verileri
⚙️Değişkenler:Flood risk assessment · Remote sensing · Land use/land cover

Özet

Floods can be very destructive natural hazard; it causes significant environmental, social, and economic impacts. Havza is a district in Northern part of Türkiye, experienced major flood events in May 1998 and May 2026, which emphasize the need of identify flood-prone areas and analyze the factors that influence flood vulnerability. The aim of this study is to asses flood risk and analyzes land use/land cover (LULC) monitoring derived from remote sensing data in Havza. Furthermore, topographic characteristics were also obtained from Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) using Geographic Information Systems (GIS). Hydrological analyses include slope and flow accumulation models, and these analyses were used to identify susceptible areas. It has been observed that the mean NDVI value increased from 0.4239 in 1998 to 0.7447 in 2026, indicating a substantial increase in vegetation cover. LULC classification results also showed that urban areas increased from 16% to 20% while agricultural land decreased 54% to 50% in approximately last 3 decades. 3-Dimensional (3D) terrain visualization and river corridor-based flood risk mapping revealed that low elevation valley floors and settlements located very near to stream channels, which is the most vulnerable areas of floods. The findings of this study demonstrate the effectiveness of integration of GIS and remote sensing, topographic analysis, and LULC change detection within a single framework for flood risk assessment and sustainable land management. The results provide valuable support for disaster risk reduction, urban planning, and future development strategies in Havza and similar watershed environments.

Abstract

Floods can be very destructive natural hazard; it causes significant environmental, social, and economic impacts. Havza is a district in Northern part of Türkiye, experienced major flood events in May 1998 and May 2026, which emphasize the need of identify flood-prone areas and analyze the factors that influence flood vulnerability. The aim of this study is to asses flood risk and analyzes land use/land cover (LULC) monitoring derived from remote sensing data in Havza. Furthermore, topographic characteristics were also obtained from Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) using Geographic Information Systems (GIS). Hydrological analyses include slope and flow accumulation models, and these analyses were used to identify susceptible areas. It has been observed that the mean NDVI value increased from 0.4239 in 1998 to 0.7447 in 2026, indicating a substantial increase in vegetation cover. LULC classification results also showed that urban areas increased from 16% to 20% while agricultural land decreased 54% to 50% in approximately last 3 decades. 3-Dimensional (3D) terrain visualization and river corridor-based flood risk mapping revealed that low elevation valley floors and settlements located very near to stream channels, which is the most vulnerable areas of floods. The findings of this study demonstrate the effectiveness of integration of GIS and remote sensing, topographic analysis, and LULC change detection within a single framework for flood risk assessment and sustainable land management. The results provide valuable support for disaster risk reduction, urban planning, and future development strategies in Havza and similar watershed environments.

🔖

Bu Makaleye Atıf Yap

Sevgen, S. C. (2026). Flood Risk Assessment and Environmental Change Analysis Using GIS and Remote Sensing. Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 5, 2773–2782. https://doi.org/10.34248/bsengineering.1994338

📄 Tam Metin PDF Okuyucu

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

Kaynakça (34)

  1. Akın, G., & Karaca, Ö. (2021). Çerçi ve Murt Deresi (Fethiye-Muğla) taşkın duyarlılık alanlarının CBS ile çok kriterli karar verme analizi kullanılarak haritalanması [Mapping flood sensitivity areas of Çerçi and Murt Streams (Fethiye-Muğla) using GIS-based multi-criteria decision-making analysis]. Yerbilimleri, 42(1), 121–143.
  2. Akinbobola, A., Okogbue, E., & Olajiire, O. (2015). A GIS based flood risk mapping along the Niger-Benue river basin in Nigeria using watershed approach. Ethiopian Journal of Environmental Studies and Management, 8(6), 616–628.
  3. Al-Omari, A. A., Shatnawi, N. N., Shbeeb, N. I., Istrati, D., Lagaros, N. D., & Abdalla, K. M. (2024). Utilizing remote sensing and GIS techniques for flood hazard mapping and risk assessment. Civil Engineering Journal, 10(5), 1423–1436.
  4. Bitek, D., & Erenoğlu, R. C. (2026). Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemi Tabanlı Analitik Hiyerarşi Yöntemi ile Taşkın Duyarlılık Analizi: Oğulpaşa Deresi Havzası Örneği (Edirne) [Flood susceptibility analysis using Geographic Information System-based Analytic Hierarchy Process: Case study of Oğulpaşa Stream Basin (Edirne)]. Jeomorfolojik Araştırmalar Dergisi, (16), 1–18.
  5. Çeliker, M., Nacar Koçer, N., & Yıldız, O. (2020). Bingöl il merkezinde taşkın yayılım alanlarının coğrafi bilgi sistemleri ve HEC-RAS ile belirlenmesi [Determination of flood inundation areas in Bingöl city center using geographic information systems and HEC-RAS]. Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi, 6(2), 354–365.
  6. Dölek, İ., & Vedat, A. (2024). Muş ilinin sel ve taşkın duyarlılık haritalarının oluşturulması [Creation of flood and inundation susceptibility maps of Muş province]. The Journal of Academic Social Science, 44(44), 190–204.
  7. Duman, N., & İrcan, M. R. (2022). Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemleri tabanlı Çankırı Merkez ilçesinin taşkın duyarlılık analizi [Geographic Information Systems-based flood susceptibility analysis of Çankırı Central district]. Jeomorfolojik Araştırmalar Dergisi, (9), 50–66.
  8. Ekmekcioğlu, Ö. (2023). CBS Tabanlı Melez Makine Öğrenmesi Uygulamalarının Ani Sel Duyarlılık Haritalamasında Kullanımı [Use of GIS-based hybrid machine learning applications in flash flood susceptibility mapping]. Journal of the Institute of Science and Technology, 13(2), 1067–1084.
  9. Elsheikh, R. F. A., Ouerghi, S., & Elhag, A. R. (2015). Flood risk map based on GIS, and multi criteria techniques (case study Terengganu Malaysia). Journal of Geographic Information System, 7(4), 348–357.
  10. Evans, S. Y., Gunn, N., & Williams, D. (2007). Use of GIS in flood risk mapping [Paper presentation]. National Hydrology Seminar: GIS (Geographic Information Systems) in Hydrology Applications-Modelling-Data Issues, Tullamore, Ireland.
  11. Gupta, L., & Dixit, J. (2022). A GIS-based flood risk mapping of Assam, India, using the MCDA-AHP approach at the regional and administrative level. Geocarto International, 37(26), 11867–11899.
  12. Hu, S., Cheng, X., Zhou, D., & Zhang, H. (2017). GIS-based flood risk assessment in suburban areas: A case study of the Fangshan District, Beijing. Natural Hazards, 87(3), 1525–1543.
  13. Karakoca, E., & Ünver, A. (2024). Analitik hiyerarşi süreci ve coğrafi bilgi sistemleri kullanarak Eşen Çayı Havzası’nda taşkın riski değerlendirmesi ve haritalandırılması [Flood risk assessment and mapping in Eşen Stream Basin using analytic hierarchy process and geographic information systems]. Geomatik, 10(1), 127–143.
  14. Karakuş, C. B., & Ceylan, Ş. (2022). Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemi tabanlı Analitik Hiyerarşi Süreci kullanılarak taşkın tehlike haritalaması [Flood hazard mapping using Geographic Information System-based Analytic Hierarchy Process]. Mühendislik Bilimleri ve Tasarım Dergisi, 10(4), 1155–1173.
  15. Keskin, F. (2021). Kürtün Çayı havzasında (Samsun) arazi kullanımı ve zamansal değişim (1984-2020) [Yüksek lisans tezi, Marmara Üniversitesi]. YÖK Tez Merkezi.
  16. Kumar, N., & Jha, R. (2023). GIS-based flood risk mapping: The case study of Kosi River Basin, Bihar, India. Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research, 13(1), 9830–9836.
  17. Lee, S., Lee, S., Lee, M. J., & Jung, H. S. (2018). Spatial assessment of urban flood susceptibility using data mining and geographic information system (GIS) tools. Sustainability, 10(3), Article 648.
  18. Nasanlı, O., Kejanlı, T., & Koç, C. (2025). Siverek'te (Şanlıurfa) taşkın riskinin değerlendirilmesi [Evaluation of flood risk in Siverek (Şanlıurfa)]. GRID-Architecture Planning and Design Journal, 8(2), 552–580.
  19. Natkaniec, W., & Godyń, I. (2024). Urban flood risk assessment and mapping using GIS-DEMATEL method: Case of the Serafa River Watershed, Poland. Water, 16(18), Article 2636.
  20. Nyarko, B. K. (2002). Application of a rational model in GIS for flood risk assessment in Accra, Ghana. Journal of Spatial Hydrology, 2(1), 1–14.
  21. Ocak, F., & Bahadır, M. (2024). Evaluation of potential flood areas in the basin of Lake Ladik through AHP and GIS integration, (Samsun, Türkiye). Jeomorfolojik Araştırmalar Dergisi, (13), 71–93.
  22. Oğuz, E., Oğuz, K., & Öztürk, K. (2022). Düzce bölgesi taşkın duyarlılık alanlarının belirlenmesi [Determination of flood susceptibility areas in Düzce region]. Geomatik, 7(3), 220–234.
  23. Ouma, Y. O., & Tateishi, R. (2014). Urban flood vulnerability and risk mapping using integrated multi-parametric AHP and GIS: Methodological overview and case study assessment. Water, 6(6), 1515–1545.
  24. Rincón, D., Khan, U. T., & Armenakis, C. (2018). Flood risk mapping using GIS and multi-criteria analysis: A Greater Toronto area case study. Geosciences, 8(8), Article 275.
  25. Roopnarine, R., Opadeyi, J., Eudoxie, G., Thongs, G., & Edwards, E. (2018). GIS-based flood susceptibility and risk mapping Trinidad using weight factor modeling. Caribbean Journal of Earth Science, 49(1), 1–9.
  26. Saha, A. K., & Agrawal, S. (2020). Mapping and assessment of flood risk in Prayagraj district, India: A GIS and remote sensing study. Nanotechnology for Environmental Engineering, 5(2), Article 11.
  27. Samarasinghe, J. T., Makumbura, R. K., Wickramarachchi, C., Sirisena, J., Gunathilake, M. B., Muttil, N., Teo, F. Y., & Rathnayake, U. (2022). The assessment of climate change impacts and land-use changes on flood characteristics: The case study of the Kelani River Basin, Sri Lanka. Hydrology, 9(10), Article 177.
  28. Sunkar, M., & Tonbul, S. (2010). İluh Deresi Havzası’na (Batman) yönelik sel ve taşkın riski analizleri [Flood and inundation risk analysis for İluh Stream Basin (Batman)]. Nature Sciences, 5(4), 255–273.
  29. Temiz, N., Aksoy, H., & Ercanoğlu, M. (2004). An investigation on the evaluation of flood potential in Northwest Black Sea Region. Geological Bulletin of Turkey, 47(2), 41–48.
  30. Tokgözlü, A., & Özkan, E. (2018). Taşkın risk haritalarında AHP yönteminin uygulanması: Aksu Çayı Havzası örneği [Application of AHP method in flood risk maps: A case study of Aksu Stream Basin]. Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi Fen-Edebiyat Fakültesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, (44), 151–176.
  31. Turan, İ. D., Dengiz, O., Pacci, S., & Agbor, D. T. (2024). Determination of change in the land use and land cover of the Samsun Bafra Delta Plain from 1990 to 2020 using GIS and Remote Sensing Techniques. Eurasian Journal of Soil Science, 13(2), 101–110.
  32. Wang, X., & Xie, H. (2018). A review on applications of remote sensing and geographic information systems (GIS) in water resources and flood risk management. Water, 10(5), Article 608.
  33. Yıldız, B., & Gürgöze, S. (2026). Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemleri tabanlı Analitik Hiyerarşi Prosesi (AHP) kullanılarak taşkın duyarlılığının değerlendirilmesi: Abdal Deresi Havzası örneği (Samsun/Türkiye) [Evaluation of flood susceptibility using Geographic Information Systems-based Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP): Case study of Abdal Stream Basin (Samsun/Türkiye)]. Journal of Anatolian Geography, (5), 1–15.
  34. Yurteri, C. (2024). Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemleri (CBS) ortamında Analitik Hiyerarşi Yöntemi (AHY) yöntemi kullanılarak taşkın risk analizi: Karabük ili örneği [Flood risk analysis using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method in Geographic Information Systems (GIS) environment: Karabük province case]. Mühendislik Bilimleri ve Tasarım Dergisi, 12(2), 298–318.