KaydedilenlerDerginizi ekleyin

Dergiler / Anadolu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi / 2026 / Volume: 26 Issue: 3

HAS TRADE TRULY SHIFTED FROM CHINA TO TÜRKİYE? EXPLORING THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON TÜRKİYE’S EXPORT

Selim Süleyman(İstanbul Ticaret Odası)0000-0002-1548-0874
Sayfa
—
Yayın Tarihi
2025-09-28
🏛️Bu makalenin bibliyografik verileri ve tam metin bağlantısı DergiPark üzerinden sağlanmıştır.
DergiPark Kaydı ↗
✨

Yapay Zeka Hızlı Bakış & Çıkarımlar

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(1 Cümlede Hızlı Çıkarım)

Additionally, the study identifies key determinants of trade share, including geographical distance, common language, contiguity, GDP, and the existence of free trade agreements.

📌 3 Maddede Bu Makale

🎯
Amaç & Hipotez:This study explores potential shifts in international trade dynamics following the COVID-19 pandemic, with a particular focus on their implications for Türkiye's export market.
📊
Temel Bulgular & Veri:Utilizing a gravity model, the research examines trade flows between countries at an aggregate level from 2002 to 2021 and at a sectoral level from 2017 to 2022.
💡
Sonuç & Katkı:Additionally, the study identifies key determinants of trade share, including geographical distance, common language, contiguity, GDP, and the existence of free trade agreements.
🔬Tür:Modelleme & Sayısal Simülasyon
📍Kapsam:2002 Verileri
⚙️Değişkenler:Post-COVID-19 Era · Gravity Model · Türkiye

Abstract

This study explores potential shifts in international trade dynamics following the COVID-19 pandemic, with a particular focus on their implications for Türkiye's export market. Utilizing a gravity model, the research examines trade flows between countries at an aggregate level from 2002 to 2021 and at a sectoral level from 2017 to 2022. The empirical results reveal changes in market shares, with Türkiye experiencing a moderate increase in market share within specific sectors in 2022. However, these gains do not indicate significant trade diversion. Additionally, the study identifies key determinants of trade share, including geographical distance, common language, contiguity, GDP, and the existence of free trade agreements.

🔖

Bu Makaleye Atıf Yap

Süleyman, S. (2025). HAS TRADE TRULY SHIFTED FROM CHINA TO TÜRKİYE? EXPLORING THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON TÜRKİYE’S EXPORT. Anadolu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, Volume: 26 Issue: 3. https://doi.org/10.53443/anadoluibfd.1632037

📄 Tam Metin PDF Okuyucu

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

Kaynakça (24)

  1. Aday, S., & Aday, M. S. (2020). Impact of COVID-19 on the food supply chain. Food Quality and Safety, 4(4), 167-180. https://doi.org/10.1093/fqsafe/fyaa024
  2. Anderson, J. E., & Van Wincoop, E. (2003). Gravity with gravitas: A solution to the border puzzle. American Economic Review, 93(1), 170-192.
  3. Barbieri, P., Boffelli, A., Elia, S.,Fratocchi, L., Kalchschmidt, M., & Samson, D. (2020). What can we learn about reshoring after Covid-19? Operations Management Research, 13(3), 131-136. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12063-020-00160-1
  4. Bonadio, B., Huo, Z., Levchenko, A. A., & Pandalai-Nayar, N. (2021). Global supply chains in the pandemic. Journal of international economics, 133, 103534.
  5. Deardorff, A. V. (1998). Determinants of bilateral trade: Does gravity work in a neoclassical world? In J. A. Frankel (Ed.), The regionalization of the world economy (pp. 7–32). University of Chicago Press
  6. Dowrick, S., & Golley, J. (2004). Trade openness and growth: Who benefits? Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20(1), 38-56. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grh003
  7. Eaton, J., & Kortum, S. (2002). Technology, geography, and trade. Econometrica, 70(5), 1741–1779. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00352
  8. Eppinger, P., Felbermayr, G. J., Krebs, O.& Kukharskyy, B. (2020). Covid-19 shocking global value chains. Kiel Working Paper, No. 2167, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel. http://hdl.handle.net/10419/224061
  9. Evenett S., Fiorini M., Fritz J., Hoekman B., Lukaszuk P., Rocha N., Ruta M., Santi F. & Shingal A. (2022). Trade policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic crisis: Evidence from a new data set. World Economy, 45, 342–364. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.13119
  10. Gourinchas, P. O., Kalemli-Özcan, Ṣ., Penciakova, V., & Sander, N. (2020). Covid-19 and SME failures. FRB Atlanta Working Paper, 2020(21). http://dx.doi.org/10.29338/wp2020-21
  11. Gutiérrez Chacón, E., Lacuesta, A., & Martín, C. (2021). Brexit: Trade diversion due to trade policy uncertainty. Banco de Espana Working Paper, No. 2140. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3966327
  12. Haugen, H. Ø., & Obeng, M. K. M. (2024, January). Supply-chain Disruptions under COVID: A Window of Opportunity for Local Producers?. In Forum for Development Studies (Vol. 51, No. 1, pp. 165-187). Routledge.
  13. Head, K., & Mayer, T. (2014). Gravity equations: Workhorse, toolkit, and cookbook. In Handbook of International Economics (Vol. 4, pp. 131-195).
  14. Kejžar, K. Z., Velić, A., & Damijan, J. P. (2022). Covid‐19, trade collapse and GVC linkages: European experience. The World Economy, 45(11), 3475-3506. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.13314
  15. Krugman, P. (1980). Scale economies, product differentiation, and the pattern of trade. American Economic Review, 70(5), 950-959.
  16. Li, C., & Lin, X. (2021). COVID-19 and trade: Simulated asymmetric loss. Journal of Asian Economics, 75, 101327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2021.101327
  17. Liu, X., Ornelas, E., & Shi, H. (2021). The trade impact of the Covid‐19 pandemic. The World Economy. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.13279
  18. Maliszewska, M., Mattoo, A., & Van Der Mensbrugghe, D. (2020). The potential impact of COVID-19 on GDP and trade: A preliminary assessment. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 9211. Retrieved November 11, 2023, from: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3573211
  19. Marelli, E., & Signorelli, M. (2011). China and India: Openness, trade and effects on economic growth. The European Journal of Comparative Economics, 8(1), 129-154. Retrieved November 15, 2023, from: http://ejce.liuc.it/default.asp?tipo=articles&identifier=ejce:18242979/2011/01/06
  20. Sezgin, V. (2020). An analysis on Turkish exports during the Covid-19 pandemic. Electronic Turkish Studies, 15(6), 839-854. http://dx.doi.org/10.7827/TurkishStudies.44462
  21. Türkmen, N. Ö., & Erturgut, R. (2022). COVID-19 effect in export: Analysis of Turkey’s export performance to top 5 countries in export. Electronic Journal of Social Science, 21(84), 1826-1840. https://doi.org/10.17755/esosder.1015298
  22. Viner, J. (1950) The Customs Union Issue. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, New York.
  23. Vurdu, S. A. (2021, May 24). The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on supply chain trade. Industrial Policy, 1(1). https://www.indpol.org/index.php/indpol/article/view/13
  24. Uttama, N. P. (2021). Is trade in covid-19 products in ASEAN economies a building or stumbling block? Journal of Economic Integration, 36(1), 46-64. https://doi.org/10.11130/jei.2021.36.1.46