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Dergiler / Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi / 2025 / Sayı: 72

Sahra Altı Afrika'da ticaret açıklığı ve çocuk ölümleri: Yeni geliştirilen panel nedensellik testinden elde edilen ampirik kanıtlar

Trade openness and child mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa: Empirical evidence from a new panel causality test

Çağın Karul(PAMUKKALE UNIVERSITY)0000-0002-5856-930X
Mert Akyüz(ANKARA YILDIRIM BEYAZIT ÜNİVERSİTESİ)0000-0002-2322-3384
Sayfa
229–240
Yayın Tarihi
2025-12-31
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⚡ TL;DR(1 Cümlede Hızlı Çıkarım)

Ampirik sonuçlar, panel düzeyinde ticaret açıklığından hem bebek hem de beşyaş altı çocuk ölüm oranlarına nedensellik olduğunu göstermektedir.

📌 3 Maddede Bu Makale

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Amaç & Hipotez:Son yıllarda ticaret ve nüfus sağlığı arasındaki ilişkiye dair endişeler artmaktadır.
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Temel Bulgular & Veri:Buçalışmada, Sahra Altı Afrika’da ticaret açıklığı ile çocuk ölüm oranı arasındaki nedensellikilişkisi araştırılmaktadır.
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Sonuç & Katkı:Ampirik sonuçlar, panel düzeyinde ticaret açıklığından hem bebek hem de beşyaş altı çocuk ölüm oranlarına nedensellik olduğunu göstermektedir.
🔬Tür:Araştırma Makalesi
📍Kapsam:2024 Verileri
⚙️Değişkenler:Sağlık Çıktıları · Ticaret · Yatay-kesit Bağımlılığı

Özet

Son yıllarda ticaret ve nüfus sağlığı arasındaki ilişkiye dair endişeler artmaktadır. Buçalışmada, Sahra Altı Afrika’da ticaret açıklığı ile çocuk ölüm oranı arasındaki nedensellikilişkisi araştırılmaktadır. Bu amaçla çalışmada Nazlioglu ve Karul (2024) tarafından önerilenve yatay kesit bağımlılığına neden olan ortak faktörleri PANIC yaklaşımı ile veri setindenarındıran panel nedensellik testi kullanılmaktadır. Önceki araştırmalar, ticaret açıklığıile sağlık çıktıları arasında küresel veya bölgesel düzeyde ilişkiler rapor etmiş olsa daözellikle yatay kesit bağımlılığı altında Sahra Altı Afrika içindeki nedenselliğe çok az dikkatedilmiştir. Ampirik sonuçlar, panel düzeyinde ticaret açıklığından hem bebek hem de beşyaş altı çocuk ölüm oranlarına nedensellik olduğunu göstermektedir. Bununla birlikte,ülkeye özgü tahminler bölge genelinde önemli bir heterojenlik olduğunu göstermektedir.Sahra Altı Afrika’da, siyasi istikrar ve kurumsal kalitedeki tarihsel iyileştirmeler, ticaret-sağlıkbağlantısının şekillenmesinde önemli bir rol oynamıştır. Bulgular, ticaret serbestleştirmepolitikalarının, yönetişim ve sağlık sistemleri kapasitesinde hedeflenen iyileştirmelerletamamlandığında, gelişmekte olan bölgelerde çocuk ölüm oranlarının azaltılmasınakatkıda bulunabileceğini vurgulamaktadır.

Abstract

There has been growing concern about the relationship between trade and populationhealth in recent years. This study investigates the causal relationship between tradeopenness and child mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa. For this purpose, the study utilizesthe panel causality test proposed by Nazlioglu and Karul (2024), which removes commonfactors causing cross-sectional dependence from the dataset using the PANIC approach.While prior research has reported associations between trade openness and healthoutcomes at the global or regional level, little attention has been given to the causalitywithin Sub-Saharan Africa, particularly in the context of cross-sectional dependence. Theempirical results show statistically significant panel-level causality running from tradeopenness to both infant and under-five child mortality. However, country-specific estimatesindicate substantial heterogeneity across the region. In Sub-Saharan Africa, historicalimprovements in political stability and institutional quality have played a significant rolein shaping the trade–health nexus. The findings reveal a causal relationship betweentrade openness and child mortality across Sub-Saharan African countries, highlighting theimportance of trade dynamics in shaping health outcomes.

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Bu Makaleye Atıf Yap

Karul, Ç., Akyüz, M. (2025). Sahra Altı Afrika'da ticaret açıklığı ve çocuk ölümleri: Yeni geliştirilen panel nedensellik testinden elde edilen ampirik kanıtlar. Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, Sayı: 72, 229–240. https://doi.org/10.18070/erciyesiibd.1762352

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