Journals / İstatistikçiler Dergisi:İstatistik ve Aktüerya / 2015 / Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1
Estimation of Unemployment Rate in Turkey by Fuzzy Linear Regression Analysis
- Pages
- 10–26
- DOI
- —
Abstract
Unemployment rate is one of the most important problems that encountered in developed and developingcountries. It is also appeared to be a multi-faceted problem that affects Turkey's economy in the economic andsocial areas of each period. Unemployment rate, that our country is struggling with for a long time, is reportedas %9.8 according to official figures. Unemployment rate is a multi-dimensional problem. Thus, it may resultin misleading conclusions if it is only associated with economic growth or be handled alone when solving thisproblem. Fuzzy regression analysis is a method that relationships between variables are not established withclear boundaries and the reliability of data sources is decreased. Reliable estimates are obtained by usingfuzzy regression model. In this study, estimation of unemployment rate which is an important indicator of thelevel of social development of our country is estimated by using two different fuzzy regression estimationmethods. Also fuzzy hypothesis testing is done for the coefficients obtained from the fuzzy regression model andresults are interpreted.
Özet
Gelismis ve gelismekte olan ülkelerde karsılasılan en önemli problemlerden biri olan issizlik sorunu Türkiye