Estimation of Death and Recovery Rates using Covid-19 Data of Pakistan

Abstract

Objectives: The aim of this study is to estimate the recovery rate and death rate of the Covid-19 patients in Pakistanboth at provincial level and at national level. Methods: In the current study simple linear regression model is used to estimate the case fatality rate (CFR) and recov ery rate (RR). Also, the polynomial regression model has been employed to predict the infected patients of Covid-19across Pakistan and for all its provinces. Results: The results indicate that the provinces: Punjab, Sindh, KPK and ICT have been projected to be sensitive regard ing COVID-19. Conclusion: it is strongly suggested that prevention must be considered, and full attention must be provided by eachcitizen to follow the SOPs recommend by health department. If responsible attitude will not be expressed by individu als, then there is chance of increase of COVID patients again and put the country back in struggle.