Journals / Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi / 2009 / Bahar

PRICE TRANSMISSION AND PASS-THROUGH EFFECT IN U.S. ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE INDUSTRIES

Pages
23–38
DOI
—

Abstract

This paper examines the time-series properties of price changes among sectors of the U.S. alcoholic beverage industries. Utilizing vector autoregression and impulse response analysis, the pass-through effect between the producer price index and consumer price index is examined for breweries, distilleries, and wineries. The findings suggest that industry-level price changes are stationary with significant pass-through effects in breweries and wineries. The implications are that price shocks are temporary and may transmit onto consumers in the form of higher (or lower) prices. Understanding industry-level price dynamics are important to managers in formulating long-term cost estimates, budget formation, and forecasting price changes in alcoholic beverage industries.

Özet

This paper examines the time-series properties of price changes among sectors of the U.S. alcoholic beverage industries. Utilizing vector autoregression and impulse response analysis, the pass-through effect between the producer price index and consumer price index is examined for breweries, distilleries, and wineries. The findings suggest that industry-level price changes are stationary with significant pass-through effects in breweries and wineries. The implications are that price shocks are temporary and may transmit onto consumers in the form of higher (or lower) prices. Understanding industry-level price dynamics are important to managers in formulating long-term cost estimates, budget formation, and forecasting price changes in alcoholic beverage industries.

Keywords: Inflation, Stationarity, Vector Autoregression, Pass-Through Effect, Alcoholic Beverage Industries