Journals / Maliye Dergisi / 2022 / Cilt: - Sayı: 183

The Stock Returns, Inflation and Growth Relationships in Turkey: Wavelet Coherence Analysis

Türkiye’de Hisse Senedi Getirileri, Enflasyon ve Büyüme İlişkileri: Wavelet Uyum Analizi

Pages
49–68
Publication Date
2023-10-16
DOI
—
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

Upon considering the findings, stock returns, as safe haven against inflation, are determined to interact with economic growth.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:The efficient functioning of stock market is crucial for economic stability.
📊
Key Findings & Data:The changes between 2008-2022 are tested with the wavelet coherence analysis method by various theoretical and empirical perspectives for the purpose of the study.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:Upon considering the findings, stock returns, as safe haven against inflation, are determined to interact with economic growth.
🔬Design:Makale
📍Scope:2008-2022 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters

Abstract

The efficient functioning of stock market is crucial for economic stability. Economic growth and inflation, the essential elements of economic stability, may steer stock returns. The aim of the study is to determine whether stock returns are safe haven against inflation as an investment tool in Turkey and to reveal its relationship with economic growth. The impacts of both inflation and economic growth on stock returns may exhibit periodical changes in different directions. The changes between 2008-2022 are tested with the wavelet coherence analysis method by various theoretical and empirical perspectives for the purpose of the study. Upon considering the findings, stock returns, as safe haven against inflation, are determined to interact with economic growth.

Özet

Hisse senedi piyasas ının etkin işleyişi ekonomik istikrar için önem arz etmektedir. Ekonomik istikrar ın temel unsurlarından ekonomik büyüme ve enflasyon hisse senedi getirilerine yön verebilmektedir. Çal ışmanın amac ı, Türkiye’de yat ırım arac ı olarak hisse senedi getirilerinin enflasyon karşısında güvenli bir liman olup olmadığının tespit edilmesi ve ekonomik büyümeyle ili şkinin ortaya konulmasıdır. Gerek enflasyonun gerekse ekonomik büyümenin hisse senedi getirileri üzerindeki etkisi farkl ı yönde ve dönemsel de ğişimler gösterebilmektedir. Bu de ğişimler, çe şitli teorik ve ampirik perspektiflerl e desteklenerek çal ışmanın amacına yönelik wavelet uyum analizi yöntemi kullan ılarak 2008-2022 aral ığında test edilmi ştir. Bulgular değerlendirildiğinde, hisse senedi getirileri, enflasyona kar şı güvenli bir liman olmakla birlikte ekonomik büyümeyle kar şılıklı etkileşim içermektedir.

🔖

Cite This Article

ÖZEKİCİOĞLU, S. S., NOYAN, E. (2023). The Stock Returns, Inflation and Growth Relationships in Turkey: Wavelet Coherence Analysis. Maliye Dergisi, Cilt: - Sayı: 183, 49–68. https://ajindex.com/articles/967555

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (11)

  1. Adjasi, C.K.D. ve Biekpe, N.B. (2006), “Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: The Case of Selected African Countries”, African Development Review, 18(1), 144-161.
  2. Alawin, M., Ali, A.T. ve Merza, E. (2018), “The Relationship Between Economic Growth and Stock Market”, International Journal of Advances in Agriculture Sciences,7(5), 1-8.
  3. Albulescu, C.T., Aubin, C. ve Goyeau, D. (2017), “Stock Prices, Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in the US: Testing the Long-run Relationship Considering Dow Jones Sector indexes”, Applied Economics, 49(18), 1794-1807.
  4. Atje, R. ve Jovanovic, B. (1993), “Stock Markets and Development”, European Economic Review, 37(2-3), 632-640.
  5. Beck, T. ve Levine, R. (2004), “Stock Markets, Banks, and Growth: Panel Evidence”, Journal of Banking & Finance, 28(3), 423-442.
  6. Bhanja, N. ve Dar, A.B. (2019), “Stock Returns and Inflation: A Tale of Two Periods in India”, Economic Change and Restructuring, 52(4), 413- 438. Body, Z. (1976), “Common Stocks as a Hedge Against Inflation”, Journal of Finance, 31, 459- 470. Bošnjak, M., Novak, I. ve Bašić, M. (2021), “Capital Market Returns and Inflation Nexus in Croatia: Wavelet Coherence Analysis”, Business Systems Research: International Journal of the Society for Advancing Innovation and Research in Economy, 12(2), 253-267.
  7. Boudoukh, J. ve Richardson, M. (1993), “Stock Returns and Inflation: A Long-Horizon Perspective”, The American Economic Review, 83(5), 1346-1355.
  8. Caporale, G.M., Howells, P.G. ve Soliman, A.M. (2004), “Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: The Causal Linkage”, Journal of Economic Development, 29(1), 33-50.
  9. Combes, J.M. ve Grossmann, A. (1987), Wavelets Time-Frequency Methods and Phase Space, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, Berlin. Cunha, F.A.F. de S. ve Samanez, C.P. (2013), “Performance Analysis of Sustainable Investments in the Brazilian Stock Market: A Study about the Corporate Sustainability Index (ISE)”, Journal of Business Ethics, 117(1), 19-36.
  10. Dailami, M. ve Atkin, M. (1990), “Stock Markets in Developing Countries: Key Issues and a Research Agenda”, World Bank Policy Research and External Affairs Working Paper, No.515. Deb, S.G. ve Mukherjee, J. (2008), “Does Stock Market Development Cause Economic Growth? A Time Series Analysis for Indian Economy”, International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 21(3), 142-149.
  11. Demirgüç-Kunt, A. ve Levine, R. (1996), “Stock Markets, Corporate Finance and Economic Growth: An Overview”, The World Bank Economic R