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Journals / Alphanumeric Journal / 2019 / Cilt: 7 - Sayı: 2

Reducing Variation of Risk Estimation by Using Importance Sampling

Hatem ÇOBAN
İpek DEVECİ KOCAKOÇ
Şemsettin ERKEN
Mehmet Akif AKSOY
Pages
173–184
Publication Date
2019-12-31
DOI
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

This study aims to demonstrate the usage of delta normal method, historical simulation method, Monte Carlo simulation, and importance sampling to calculate the value at risk and to show which method is more effective by applying them to the S&P index between 1993 and 2003.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

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Objective & Hypothesis:Öz In today's world, risk measurement and risk management are of great importance for various economic reasons.
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Key Findings & Data:Many methods have been developed for accurate measurement of risk.
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Conclusion & Impact:This study aims to demonstrate the usage of delta normal method, historical simulation method, Monte Carlo simulation, and importance sampling to calculate the value at risk and to show which method is more effective by applying them to the S&P index between 1993 and 2003.
🔬Design:Research Article
📍Scope:2003 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Anahtar Kelimeler Importance Sampling · Value at Risk · Monte Carlo Simulation

Özet

Öz In today's world, risk measurement and risk management are of great importance for various economic reasons. Especially in the crisis periods, the tail risk becomes very important in risk estimation. Many methods have been developed for accurate measurement of risk. The easiest of these methods is the Value at Risk (VaR) method. However, standard VaR methods are not very effective in tail risks. This study aims to demonstrate the usage of delta normal method, historical simulation method, Monte Carlo simulation, and importance sampling to calculate the value at risk and to show which method is more effective by applying them to the S&P index between 1993 and 2003.

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Cite This Article

ÇOBAN, H., KOCAKOÇ, İ. D., ERKEN, Ş., AKSOY, M. A. (2019). Reducing Variation of Risk Estimation by Using Importance Sampling. Alphanumeric Journal, Cilt: 7 - Sayı: 2, 173–184. https://ajindex.com/articles/63490

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