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Journals / Ankara Üniversitesi SBF Dergisi / 2005 / Cilt: 60 - Sayı: 3

Population and Economic Growth Relationship in Turkey: An Econometric Analysis

Türkiye'de Nüfus Artışının Ekonomik Büyümeyle İlişkisi Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Analiz

Şahabettin GÜNEŞ
Pages
123–136
Publication Date
2022-10-11
DOI
—
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

Considering this, domestic population policies may become more effective when theyare applied accordingly.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:The possible relationship between population growth and econoınic growth has always taken considerable attention from researchers.
📊
Key Findings & Data:Nevertheless, there is a lack of applied research in Turkey in this subject.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:Considering this, domestic population policies may become more effective when theyare applied accordingly.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:Comprehensive Sample
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters

Abstract

The possible relationship between population growth and econoınic growth has always taken considerable attention from researchers. Nevertheless, there is a lack of applied research in Turkey in this subject. This paper uses cointegration and vector error correction model (VECM) to explore long and short mn properties of the relationship. Estimated results reveal that the impact of the population growth on econoınic growth adjusts itself in the same period. However, in the long mn econoınic growth forces population growth down to return its equilibrium value, implying that population growth is endogenous in Turkey. Considering this, domestic population policies may become more effective when theyare applied accordingly.

Özet

Nüfus artışıyla ekonomik büyüme arasındaki olası bir çift yönlü ilişki eskiden beri araştırmacıların ilgisini çekmiştir. Ancak Türkiye'deki durumun ampirik olarak pek incelendigi söylenemez. Bu çalışma koentegrasyon ve vektör hata düzeltme modeli (vector error correction model) yöntemlerini kullanarak nüfus ile ekonomik gelişme arasında uzun dönemli bir denge veya kısa dönemli bir uyum ilişkisinin olup olmadıgını analiz etmektedir. Ulaşılan sonuçlar nüfusun ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisinin kısa dönemli olduğunu, buna karşılık ekonomik büyümeden nüfusa dogru işleyen uzun dönemli bir denge ilişkisinin bulundugunu ortaya koymaktadır. Buna gore Türkiye'de nüfus artışı içseldir (endogenous) ve uygulanması muhtemel politikaların da bu doğrultuda olması uygun gözükmektedir.

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Cite This Article

GÜNEŞ, Ş. (2022). Population and Economic Growth Relationship in Turkey: An Econometric Analysis. Ankara Üniversitesi SBF Dergisi, Cilt: 60 - Sayı: 3, 123–136. https://ajindex.com/articles/443274

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