Journals / Central Bank Review / 2020 / Cilt: 20 - Sayı: 4

Exchange-traded funds and FX volatility: Evidence from Turkey

Pages
205–211
DOI
—
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

These findings suggest an asymmetric behavior asoutflows of ETFs are followed by an exchange rate depreciation with less exchange rate FX uncertainty,while significantly large inflows of ETFs lead to higher FX uncertainty.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have become one of the most popular passive investment instrumentssince they bring together the advantages of stocks and mutual funds.
📊
Key Findings & Data:The mainresults are that the large inflows of ETFs increases exchange rate volatility for contemporaneous andlagged effect models, yet large outflows have a negative and statistically significant effect on the exchange rate volatility in lagged variance equation.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:These findings suggest an asymmetric behavior asoutflows of ETFs are followed by an exchange rate depreciation with less exchange rate FX uncertainty,while significantly large inflows of ETFs lead to higher FX uncertainty.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:Comprehensive Sample
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters

Özet

Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have become one of the most popular passive investment instrumentssince they bring together the advantages of stocks and mutual funds. As passive investors are more riskaverse and sensitive to possible adverse market developments, ETF’s fund flows can provide distinctinformation in certain periods in comparison with active funds. This study looks at ETF fund flows inforeign exchange uncertainty by using EGARCH models, together with added control variables. The mainresults are that the large inflows of ETFs increases exchange rate volatility for contemporaneous andlagged effect models, yet large outflows have a negative and statistically significant effect on the exchange rate volatility in lagged variance equation. These findings suggest an asymmetric behavior asoutflows of ETFs are followed by an exchange rate depreciation with less exchange rate FX uncertainty,while significantly large inflows of ETFs lead to higher FX uncertainty.

🔖

Cite This Article

SAKARYA, B., EKİNCİ, A. (2020). Exchange-traded funds and FX volatility: Evidence from Turkey. Central Bank Review, Cilt: 20 - Sayı: 4, 205–211. https://ajindex.com/articles/351795

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (5)

  1. Bekaert, G., Wu, G., 2000. Asymmetric volatility and risk in equity markets. The Review of Financial Studies 13 (1), 1e42. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/13.1.1.
  2. Aber, J.W., Li, D., Can, L., 2009. Price volatility and tracking ability of ETFs. J. Asset Manag. 10 (4), 210e221. Adler, M., Qi, R., 2003. Mexico’s integration into the north American capital market. Emerg. Mark. Rev. 4, 91e120. Agapova, A., 2011. Conventional mutual index funds versus exchange-traded funds. J. Financ. Mark. 14 (2), 323e343. Anadu, K., Kruttli, M., McCabe, P., Osambela, E., Shin, C.H., 2018. The Shift from Active to Passive Investing: Potential Risks to Financial Stability?. Finance and Economics Discussion Series. 2018-060. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington. https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2018.060.
  3. Ben-David, I., Francesco, F., Rabih, M., 2018. Do ETFs increase volatility? J. Finance 73, 2471e2535. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12727.
  4. Berument, M.H., Dincer, N.N., Mustafaoglu, Z., 2012. Effects of growth volatility on economic performance: empirical evidence from Turkey. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 217 (2), 351e356. BIST, 2018. Exchange traded funds. https://www.borsaistanbul.com/en/productsand-markets/products/exchange-traded-funds. (Accessed July 2019).
  5. Black, F., 1976. Studies of stock price volatility changes. In: Paper Presented at the Proceedings of the 1976 Meetings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section. American Statistical Association. Boehmer, B., Boehmer, E., 2003. Trading your neighbor’s ETFs: competition or fragmentation? J. Bank. Finance 27 (9), 1667e1703. Bollerslev, T., 1986. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. J. Econom. 31, 307e327. Campbell, J.Y., Hentschel, L., 1992. No news is good news: an asymmetric model of changing volatility in stock returns. J. Financ. Econ. 31, 281e318. Charupat, N., Miu, P., 2013. Recent developments in exchange-traded fund literature: pricing efficiency, tracking ability: and effects on underlying securities. Manag. Finance 39, 427e443. Chou, R.K., Chung, H., 2006. Decimalization, trading costs, and information transmission between ETFs and index futures. J. Futures Mark. 26 (2), 131e151. Christie, A.A., 1982. The stochastic behavior of common stock variances: value, leverage and interest rate effects. J. Financ. Econ. 10, 407e432. Dedi, L., Yavas, B.F., McMillan, D., 2016. Return and volatility spillovers in equity markets: an investigation using various GARCH methodologies. Cogent Econ