Journals / Mersin University Journal of Maritime Faculty / 2019 / Cilt: 1 - Sayı: 1

ANALYSIS OF MARINE ACCIDENTS IN THE STRAIT OF İSTANBUL USING QUALITATIVE&QUANTATIVE METHODS

Pages
1–9
Publication Date
2019-12-25
DOI
—
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

At the conclusion of the study further suggestions are proposed to provide safety of environmment and navigation and the Strait of İstanbul.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:Öz The Turkish Straits are one of the most hazardous and crowded waterways in the world.
📊
Key Findings & Data:This study has been performed to analyze the accidents occured in The Strait of İstanbul by using the statistical methods such as frequency distribution, Chi Square Test and Cramer’s V for the “right-side up” scheme period 1982-2018 and regression analysis, t and F tests for significance of regression model and Durbin Watson Test to test autocorrelation in residuals between the years 1982 and 2003.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:At the conclusion of the study further suggestions are proposed to provide safety of environmment and navigation and the Strait of İstanbul.
🔬Design:Review & Systematic Survey
📍Scope:2018 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Anahtar Kelimeler The Strait of İstanbul · Marine Accidents · Accident Analysis

Özet

Öz The Turkish Straits are one of the most hazardous and crowded waterways in the world. This study has been performed to analyze the accidents occured in The Strait of İstanbul by using the statistical methods such as frequency distribution, Chi Square Test and Cramer’s V for the “right-side up” scheme period 1982-2018 and regression analysis, t and F tests for significance of regression model and Durbin Watson Test to test autocorrelation in residuals between the years 1982 and 2003. In the study, traffic of the Strait of İstanbul and literatüre have been reviewed and literature review has been conducted. The results of the analysis have given as follows;the cargo ships were the most involvedin the accident; accidents are mostly collision and respectively grounding; themost accident has been occured in the hours 20:00-24:00 and main reason of accidents is human error in the Strait of İstanbul. There is a moderate level of statistical relationship between the type of ship involved in the accident. and type of the accident;the independent variables given in the regression model increase estimated accident rate in the Strait of İstanbul. High value R-squared value (R2=0.997) indicates that the model fits the data well by the independent variables. At the conclusion of the study further suggestions are proposed to provide safety of environmment and navigation and the Strait of İstanbul.

🔖

Cite This Article

ECE, N. J. (2019). ANALYSIS OF MARINE ACCIDENTS IN THE STRAIT OF İSTANBUL USING QUALITATIVE&QUANTATIVE METHODS. Mersin University Journal of Maritime Faculty, Cilt: 1 - Sayı: 1, 1–9. https://ajindex.com/articles/217023

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (11)

  1. Akdi, Y. (2003).,
  2. Zaman Serileri Analizi, Bıçaklar Kitabevi, Yayın No:4, Ankara.
  3. Akten, N. (2003) “The Strait of İstanbul (Strait of İstanbul): The seaway separating the continents with its dense shipping traffic”, Turkish Journal of Marine Sciences,, Vol. 9, No. 3, pp. 241. Akten, N. (2006).“Shipping accidents: a serious threat for marine environment, J. Black Sea/Mediterranean Environment, Vol. 12, pp. 269-304.
  4. Baş, M. (1999).Türk Boğazları’nda Risk Analizi ile Güvenli Seyir Modeli, Doktora Tezi, T.C. İstanbul Üniversitesi,
  5. Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, İstanbul.
  6. Birpinar, M.E., Talu, G.F. And Gönençgil, B. (2008). “Environmental Effects Of Maritime Traffic On The İstanbul Strait”, Environmental Monitoring And Assessment, VOL. 152, PP.13. Çekerel K. ve Gürbüz H. (2005). “Reel döviz Kuru Değişimleri ile Sektörel Dış Ticaret Fiyatları Arasındaki Uzun Dönem İlişki”, http://www.econturk.org/Turkiyeekonomisi/odtu_kamil.pdf[Accessed 06 June 2005].
  7. Dickey D.A. and Fuller W.A. (1981). “Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root”. Econometrica. Vol. 49, No. 4, pp. 1057-1072. Directorate of General Coastal Safety, https://www.kiyiemniyeti.gov.tr/vessel_traffic_and_pilotage_services. [Accessed 18 October, 20]. Ece, N. J. (2005). The accident analysis of the Strait of Istanbul from the points of navigation andenvironment and evaluation of innocent passage. PhD Thesis, Gazi University, Ankara,
  8. Turkey. Ece, N.J. (2012). “Analysis Of Ship Accidents In The Strait Of İstanbul”, Dokuz Eylül Üniversity, Maritime Faculty Journal, Vol. 4, No. 2, pp.1-25.
  9. Ece, N.J. (2019). “Lessons Learned From the wreck of the Independența in its 40th year (40. Yılında İndependenta Kazasından Alınan Dersler)” Panel, Koç University Maritime Forum (KUDENFOR), İstanbul.
  10. General Directorate Of Meteorology (2004). “Meteorological data for the Strait of İstanbul”. Görçüna, Ö.,F. and Selmin, Z.B. (2016). “Formal Safety Assessment for Ship Traffic in the Istanbul Straits”, Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, pp. 207: 255. Johnston, J. and Dinardo, J. (1997).
  11. Econometric Methods, Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation, Testing for Autocorrelatde Disturbances, McGraw-Hill, Fourth edition, Singapure. Koldemir, B. (2009). “Determination Of Risky Regions In Strait Of Istanbul From The Aspect Of Navigational Safety; Updating Of The Accident Black Points”, Dokuz Eylül Üniversity, Maritime Faculty Journal, Vol. 1, No. 1, pp.22. Kornhauster, A.L., Clark W.A. (1995). “Qua