Journals / Journal of Aviation / 2026 / Volume: 10 Issue: 3

LSTM-Based Battery Level Prediction Using Flight Data from a Glider Unmanned Aerial Vehicle

Mustafacan Taşanlıgil(ERCİYES ÜNİVERSİTESİ)
Seda Arık Hatipoğlu(ERCİYES ÜNİVERSİTESİ, HAVACILIK VE UZAY BİLİMLERİ FAKÜLTESİ)0000-0002-6405-9373
Pages
—
Publication Date
2026-10-25
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

The model closely reproduces the overall discharge behaviour of the battery, while its accuracy decreases in the strongly oscillatory final segment of the flight.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:Gliders are unpowered aerial platforms that sustain flight by exploiting atmospheric phenomena such as thermal updrafts and wind currents.
📊
Key Findings & Data:In this study, flight data obtained from a glider-type UAV were systematically collected, processed and analysed to evaluate its operational performance.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:The model closely reproduces the overall discharge behaviour of the battery, while its accuracy decreases in the strongly oscillatory final segment of the flight.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:Comprehensive Sample
⚙️Variables:Flight parameters · Flight data · UAV

Abstract

Gliders are unpowered aerial platforms that sustain flight by exploiting atmospheric phenomena such as thermal updrafts and wind currents. Although they descend under gravity, they can extend flight duration and range by efficiently harnessing ambient airflow. Glider-type Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) emulate these principles to achieve prolonged endurance with reduced reliance on propulsion. In this study, flight data obtained from a glider-type UAV were systematically collected, processed and analysed to evaluate its operational performance. The dataset includes airspeed, altitude, acceleration, position, angular velocity, wind conditions and battery status, enabling a holistic assessment of the UAV's behaviour under varying atmospheric and operational conditions. The integrity, reliability and suitability of the data for modelling were also evaluated. Using these data, flight performance was modelled with a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, and dynamic flight variables were used to estimate the battery level during flight. The LSTM model reached R² = 0.99, RMSE = 0.011 and MAE = 0.008 on the training partition, and R² = 0.24, RMSE = 0.148 and MAE = 0.143 on the chronologically separated test partition. All errors are expressed in min–max normalized units, corresponding to approximately 0.5% and 7.4% of the battery level range, respectively. The model closely reproduces the overall discharge behaviour of the battery, while its accuracy decreases in the strongly oscillatory final segment of the flight. By integrating real flight data with predictive modelling, the study bridges theoretical methods and practical UAV operations, offering insights for energy management, flight planning and performance analysis of glider-type UAVs.

🔖

Cite This Article

Taşanlıgil, M., Hatipoğlu, S. A. (2026). LSTM-Based Battery Level Prediction Using Flight Data from a Glider Unmanned Aerial Vehicle. Journal of Aviation, Volume: 10 Issue: 3. https://doi.org/10.30518/jav.1968959

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (32)

  1. Abdilla, A., Richards, A., & Burrow, S. (2015). Endurance optimisation of battery-powered rotorcraft. In Towards Autonomous Robotic Systems: 16th Annual Conference (TAROS 2015) (pp. 1–12), Liverpool, United Kingdom.
  2. Ákos, Z., Nagy, M., Leven, S., & Vicsek, T. (2010). Thermal soaring flight of birds and UAVs. Bioinspiration & Biomimetics, 5(4), 312–328.
  3. Akshatha, K. R., Karunakar, A. K., Shenoy, S., Dhareshwar, C. V., & Johnson, D. G. (2023). Manipal-UAV person detection dataset: A step towards benchmarking dataset and algorithms for small object detection. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, 195, 77–89.
  4. Akyürek, S., Yılmaz, M. A., Karakaya, M., & Taşkıran, M. (2012). İnsansız hava araçları muharebe alanında ve terörle mücadelede devrimsel dönüşüm. Bilge Adamlar Stratejik Araştırmalar Merkezi, 1(53), 4–12.
  5. Anderson, J. D., & Bowden, M. L. (2005). Introduction to flight. McGraw-Hill Higher Education.
  6. Ariza-Sentís, M., Vélez, S., & Valente, J. (2023). Dataset on UAV RGB videos acquired over a vineyard including bunch labels for object detection and tracking. Data in Brief, 46, 108848.
  7. Austin, R. (2011). Unmanned aircraft systems: UAVs design, development and deployment. John Wiley & Sons.
  8. Aylak, B. L., & Oral, O. (2021). Yapay zekâ ve makine öğrenmesi tekniklerinin lojistik sektöründe kullanımı. El- Cezeri Fen ve Mühendislik Dergisi, 8(1), 74–93.
  9. Buckland, G. (2020). Mastering thermal soaring techniques. Retrieved February 2026, from http://www.orlandobuzzards.org/?page_id=1657
  10. Edwards, D. J. (2015). Autonomous locator of thermals (ALOFT) autonomous soaring algorithm. Naval Research Laboratory, 272(2), 375–390.
  11. Ersoy, E., & Karal, Ö. (2012). Yapay sinir ağları ve insan beyni. İnsan ve Toplum Bilimleri Araştırmaları Dergisi, 1(2), 188–205.
  12. Erşen, M., & Konar, M. (2023). Obtaining condition monitoring data for the prognostics of the flight time of unmanned aerial vehicles. Journal of Aviation, 7(2), 209–214.
  13. Gong, J., Chang, T. H., Shen, C., & Chen, X. (2018). Flight time minimization of UAV for data collection over wireless sensor networks. IEEE Journal on Selected Areas in Communications, 36(9), 1942–1954.
  14. Jadoon, A. K., Mahmood, T., Sarwar, A., Javaid, M. F., & Iqbal, M. (2024). Prediction of stock market movement using long short-term memory (LSTM) artificial neural network: Analysis of KSE 100 index. Pakistan Journal of Life & Social Sciences, 22(1).
  15. Karaburun, N. N., Hatipoğlu, S. A., & Konar, M. (2024). SOC estimation of Li-Po battery using machine learning and deep learning methods. Journal of Aviation, 8(1), 26–31.
  16. Keskin, G., Durmuş, S., Karakaya, M., Teoman, A., & Kuşhan, M. C. (2019). Motorsuz uçuş prensibi: Planör. Mühendis ve Makina, 60(695), 165–177.
  17. Konar, M., & Kekeç, E. T. (2021). İnsansız hava araçlarının uçuş süresinin termal hava akımları kullanılarak arttırımı. Avrupa Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi, 394–400.
  18. Konar, M., Özdemir, D., Erşen, M., & Fenerci, M. (2024). Acquisition of flight data from mini unmanned aerial systems. Journal of Aviation, 8(3), 221–228.
  19. Konar, M., Özdemir, D., Fenerci, M., & Erşen, M. (2026). Mini UAVs’ flight data estimation in navigation phase with LSTM method within the CRISP-DM framework. The Aeronautical Journal, 130(1347), 1546–1565.
  20. Lawrance, N. R. J., Acevedo, J. J., Chung, J. J., Nguyen, J. L., Wilson, D., & Sukkarieh, S. (2014). Long endurance autonomous flight for unmanned aerial vehicles. AerospaceLab, 8(5), 75–86.
  21. Mansouri, S. S., Karvelis, P., Georgoulas, G., & Nikolakopoulos, G. (2017). Remaining useful battery life prediction for UAVs based on machine learning. IFAC-PapersOnLine, 50(1), 4727–4732.
  22. MathWorks. (2025). What is long short-term memory (LSTM)? Retrieved February 2026, from https://in.mathworks.com/discovery/lstm.html
  23. Özen, N. S., Saraç, S., & Koyuncu, M. (2021). COVID-19 vakalarının makine öğrenmesi algoritmaları ile tahmini: Amerika Birleşik Devletleri örneği. Avrupa Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi, (22), 134–139.
  24. Öztemel, E. (2003). Yapay sinir ağları. Papatya Yayıncılık.
  25. Renaud, O., & Victoria-Feser, M. P. (2010). A robust coefficient of determination for regression. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 140(7), 1852–1862.
  26. Sahoo, B. B., Jha, R., Singh, A., & Kumar, D. (2019). Long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network for low-flow hydrological time series forecasting. Acta Geophysica, 67(5), 1471–1481.
  27. Schiefer, F., Schmidtlein, S., Frick, A., Frey, J., Klinke, R., Zielewska-Büttner, K., et al. (2023). UAV-based reference data for the prediction of fractional cover of standing deadwood from Sentinel time series. ISPRS Open Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, 8, 100034.
  28. Uslu, M. (2025). Yapay sinir ağları (YSA) nedir? Retrieved February 2026, from https://kod5.org/yapay-sinir- aglari-ysa-nedir/
  29. Ünler, T. (2025). Development of an embedded system-based cold cathode vacuum measurement system for ultra high vacuum (UHV) applications. İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi, 24(47), 303–317.
  30. Ünler, T., & Güler, Y. S. (2025). Evaluating the performance of Euler and quaternion-based AHRS models in embedded systems for aviation and autonomous vehicle applications. Journal of Aviation, 9(2), 249–259.
  31. Ünler, T., & Seyfi, L. (2022). Experimental investigation of range measurement error for radar under different weather conditions. Proceedings of the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, 75(9), 1325–1333.
  32. Zhu, B. J., Hou, Z. X., & Ouyang, H. J. (2016). Trajectory optimization of unmanned aerial vehicle in dynamic soaring. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part G: Journal of Aerospace Engineering, 231(10), 1779–1793.