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Journals / Research in Agricultural Sciences / 2026 / Volume: 57 Issue: 2

The Impact of Agricultural Value Added and Energy Consumption on Economic Growth in Türkiye: An Empirical Analysis

Türkiye’de Tarımsal Katma Değer ile Enerji Tüketiminin Ekonomik Büyümeye Etkileri: Ampirik Bir Analiz

Fatih Akın(ERZİNCAN BİNALİ YILDIRIM ÜNİVERSİTESİ)0000-0002-7741-4004
Selin Dinçer(KIRIKKALE ÜNİVERSİTESİ)0000-0003-3233-493X
Pages
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Publication Date
2026-05-19
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

The Fourier FMOLS, Fourier DOLS, and Fourier CCR estimation results indicate that agricultural value added, gross fixed capital investment, and energy consumption have positive and statistically significant effects on economic growth in both the short and long term.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

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Objective & Hypothesis:Climate change, global warming, natural disasters, wars, and global crises, which threaten the world's food supply, have made the agricultural sector fragile and strategically important, especially over the last century.
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Key Findings & Data:This study examines the impact of agricultural value added, gross fixed capital investment, and energy consumption on economic growth in Türkiye during the period 1968–2023 using the Fourier Engle-Granger cointegration test, Fourier Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Fourier Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), and Fourier Canonical Cointegration Regression (CCR) methods.
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Conclusion & Impact:The Fourier FMOLS, Fourier DOLS, and Fourier CCR estimation results indicate that agricultural value added, gross fixed capital investment, and energy consumption have positive and statistically significant effects on economic growth in both the short and long term.
🔬Design:Research Article
📍Scope:2023 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Keywords: Agricultural value added · Economic growth · Energy consumption

Abstract

Climate change, global warming, natural disasters, wars, and global crises, which threaten the world's food supply, have made the agricultural sector fragile and strategically important, especially over the last century. Accordingly, it has become even more crucial for countries to have a strong agricultural infrastructure to ensure food security, maintain social stability, and reduce external dependence. In developing countries, in particular, the agricultural sector plays a critical role through functions such as job creation, reducing income inequality, and contributing to economic growth. For the Türkiye economy, the agricultural sector has historically been one of the cornerstones of the economic structure, providing raw materials to the industrial sector, supporting rural development, creating employment, and generating exports and foreign exchange earnings. On the other hand, energy consumption has become an indispensable element of production processes today. This study examines the impact of agricultural value added, gross fixed capital investment, and energy consumption on economic growth in Türkiye during the period 1968–2023 using the Fourier Engle-Granger cointegration test, Fourier Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Fourier Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), and Fourier Canonical Cointegration Regression (CCR) methods. The results of the Fourier Engle-Granger cointegration test reveal a long-term relationship among the variables. The Fourier FMOLS, Fourier DOLS, and Fourier CCR estimation results indicate that agricultural value added, gross fixed capital investment, and energy consumption have positive and statistically significant effects on economic growth in both the short and long term.

Özet

Dünya gıda arzını tehdit eden iklim değişikliği, küresel ısınma, doğal afetler, savaşlar ve küresel krizler, özellikle son yüzyılda tarım sektörünü kırılgan ve stratejik açıdan önemli bir konuma taşımıştır. Bu doğrultuda, ülkelerin gıda güvenliğini sağlamak, toplumsal istikrarı korumak ve dışa bağımlılığı azaltmak amacıyla güçlü bir tarımsal altyapıya sahip olmaları günümüzde daha da önem kazanmıştır. Özellikle gelişmekte olan ülkelerde tarım sektörü, istihdam yaratma, gelir dağılımını dengeleme ve ekonomik büyümeye katkı sağlama gibi işlevleriyle kritik bir rol üstlenmektedir. Türkiye ekonomisi açısından da tarım sektörü, geçmişten günümüze sanayi sektörüne hammadde sağlama, kırsal kalkınmayı destekleme, istihdam yaratma, ihracat ve döviz geliri elde etme gibi işlevleriyle ekonomik yapının temel taşlarından birini oluşturmaktadır. Öte yandan, enerji tüketimi günümüzde üretim süreçlerinin vazgeçilmez bir unsuru haline gelmiştir. Bu çalışmada, 1968-2023 döneminde Türkiye’de tarımsal katma değer, brüt sabit sermaye yatırımı ve enerji tüketiminin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisi, Fourier Engle-Granger eşbütünleşme testi ile Fourier Tam Düzeltilmiş En Küçük Kareler (FMOLS), Fourier Dinamik En Küçük Kareler (DOLS) ve Fourier Kanonik Eşbütünleşme Regresyonu (CCR) yöntemleri kullanılarak incelenmiştir. Fourier Engle-Granger eşbütünleşme testi sonuçları, değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişki olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Fourier FMOLS, Fourier DOLS ve Fourier CCR tahmin sonuçları ise tarımsal katma değer, brüt sabit sermaye yatırımları ve enerji tüketimi değişkenlerinin ekonomik büyüme üzerinde hem uzun hem de kısa dönemde pozitif ve istatistiksel olarak anlamlı etkiler oluşturduğunu göstermektedir.

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Cite This Article

Akın, F., Dinçer, S. (2026). The Impact of Agricultural Value Added and Energy Consumption on Economic Growth in Türkiye: An Empirical Analysis. Research in Agricultural Sciences, Volume: 57 Issue: 2. https://doi.org/10.17097/agricultureatauni.1777136

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