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Journals / Amme İdaresi Dergisi / 2019 / Cilt: 52 - Sayı: 3

Determination of Extraordinary Districts in Party Preferences in Turkey (2007-2015)

Türkiye’de Parti Tercihlerinde Sıradışı İlçelerin Belirlenmesi (2007-2015)

SELVER ÖZÖZEN KAHRAMAN
Berrin GÜLTAY
Pages
95–122
DOI
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

In this study, it is aimed to determine the districts which show extraordinary votes in 9 election regions and across the country according to the results of the last four general elections (2007, 2011, June 2015 and November 2015) in the parliamentary system.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:In this study, it is aimed to determine the districts which show extraordinary votes in 9 election regions and across the country according to the results of the last four general elections (2007, 2011, June 2015 and November 2015) in the parliamentary system.
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Key Findings & Data:Hence, voting rates data in electoral areas were converted into standard Z scores.
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Conclusion & Impact:Therefore, an attempt to provide insight on extraordinary observation discussions on this issue was made by determining which districts became the strongholds of which parties in these elections.
🔬Design:Research Article
📍Scope:2007 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Domain Parameters

Abstract

In this study, it is aimed to determine the districts which show extraordinary votes in 9 election regions and across the country according to the results of the last four general elections (2007, 2011, June 2015 and November 2015) in the parliamentary system. Hence, voting rates data in electoral areas were converted into standard Z scores. In the converted data, districts staying within ±2,5 standard deviation distance were determined as extreme values; that is, districts showing extraordinary voting. Furthermore, in this study, the regional distribution of the districts supporting one party over the national average in the two of the elections, at least, three of them and all of them was demonstrated. Therefore, an attempt to provide insight on extraordinary observation discussions on this issue was made by determining which districts became the strongholds of which parties in these elections.

Özet

Bu çalışmada parlamenter sistemde yapılan son dört genel seçim (2007, 2011, Haziran 2015 ve Kasım 2015) sonuçlarına göre 9 seçim bölgesinde ve ülke genelinde sıradışı oylama gösteren ilçelerin belirlenmesi amaçlanmıştır. Bunun için her bir seçim bölgesindeki ilçelere ait oy oranları dört siyasal parti (AKP, CHP, MHP, HDP) kategorisinde standart Z puanlarına dönüştürülmüştür. Dönüştürülmüş veride ortalamadan ±2,5 standart sapma uzaklıkta kalan ilçeler sıradışı oylama gösteren ilçeler olarak belirlenmiştir. Ayrıca bu çalışmada seçimlerin en az ikisinde, üçünde ve tamamında tek partiyi ülke ortalamasının üzerinde destekleyen ilçelerin bölgesel dağılımı gösterilmiştir. Böylece bu seçimlerde hangi ilçelerin hangi partilerin kalesi haline geldiği belirlenerek, bu konudaki sıradışı gözlem tartışmalarına ışık tutulmaya çalışılmıştır.

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Cite This Article

KAHRAMAN, S. Ö., GÜLTAY, B. (2019). Determination of Extraordinary Districts in Party Preferences in Turkey (2007-2015). Amme İdaresi Dergisi, Cilt: 52 - Sayı: 3, 95–122. https://ajindex.com/articles/142389

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