Journals / Politeknik Dergisi / 2026 / Cilt: 24 Sayı: 3

Estimation of Ground Displacement According to Newmark Method

Newmark Yöntemine Göre Zemin Deplasmanının Tahmin Edilmesi

Pages
943–952
Publication Date
2021-09-01
🏛️Bibliographic metadata and full text access for this article are provided via DergiPark.
DergiPark Record ↗
✨

AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

In consequence of the comparison of the regression analyses, it has been determined that the new formula has more appropriate results in terms of the standart deviation and R2.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:Prediction of the amount of possible ground displacement caused by an earthquake is important for both superstructures and infrastructures.
📊
Key Findings & Data:In literature, some methods have been developed to estimate the amount of this movement.
💡
Conclusion & Impact:In consequence of the comparison of the regression analyses, it has been determined that the new formula has more appropriate results in terms of the standart deviation and R2.
🔬Design:Modeling & Simulation
📍Scope:Comprehensive Sample
⚙️Variables:Deprem · NewmarkKayan Blok Modeli · Zemin Kayması

Abstract

Prediction of the amount of possible ground displacement caused by an earthquake is important for both superstructures and infrastructures. In literature, some methods have been developed to estimate the amount of this movement. One of the most important models of these methods is Newmark Sliding Block Model. Many regression formulas have been produced based on this approximation. Primarily, these formulas have been re-analyzed according to world-wide earthquake data used in this study and the results have been examined. Then, a new regression equation has been obtained within the scope of this paper. In consequence of the comparison of the regression analyses, it has been determined that the new formula has more appropriate results in terms of the standart deviation and R2.

Özet

Deprem kaynaklı meydana gelmesi muhtemel zemin deplasman miktarının tahmin edilmesi hem üstyapılar hem de alt yapılar için önem arz etmektedir. Bu hareketin miktarını tahmin edebilmek için literatürde bazı yöntemler geliştirilmiştir. Bu yöntemlerin en önemlilerinden biri de Newmark Kayan Blok Modeli’dir. Bu yaklaşıma dayalı olarak birçok regresyon formülü üretilmiştir. Öncelikle daha önce ortaya konan bu formüllerin bu çalışmada kullanılan dünya genelindeki deprem verilerine göre yeniden analizi gerçekleştirilmiş ve elde edilen sonuçlar irdelenmiştir. Sonrasında bu makale kapsamında yeni bir regresyon denklemi elde edilmiştir. Regresyon analizlerinin karşılaştırılması sonucunda, yeni formülün standart sapma ve R2 açısından daha uygun sonuçlara sahip olduğu tespit edilmiştir.

🔖

Cite This Article

Yiğit, A. (2021). Estimation of Ground Displacement According to Newmark Method. Politeknik Dergisi, Cilt: 24 Sayı: 3, 943–952. https://doi.org/10.2339/politeknik.665258

📄 Full Text PDF Viewer

📄

PDF görüntüleyici hazırlanıyor...

References (32)

  1. Url-1, erişim tarihi: 14.01.2019.
  2. Newmark, N.M.Effects of earthquakes on damsandembankments. Geotechnique 15, 139–159, 1965.
  3. Siyahi B., Erdik M., Sesetyan K., Demircioğlu M.B., Akman H., Sıvılaşma ve şev stabilitesi hassaslığı ve potansiyeli haritaları: İstanbul örneği, Besinci Ulusal Deprem Mühendisliği Konferansı, 26-30 Mayıs, İstanbul, 2003.
  4. Ambraseys, N.N., Menu, J.M., Earthquake-induced ground displacements. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics 16, 985–1006, 1998
  5. Wilson, R.C., Keefer, D.K., Dynamic analysis of a slope failure from the 6 August 1979 Coyote Lake, California, earthquake. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 73, 863–877, 1983
  6. Jibson, R.W., Regression models for estimating coseismic landslide displacement. Engineering Geology, 91:209-218, 2007
  7. Wieczorek, G.F., Wilson, R.C., Harp, E.L., Map showing slope stability during earthquakes in San Mateo County California: US Geological Survey Miscellaneous Investigations Map I-1257-E, scale 1:62,500, 1985
  8. Houston, S.L., Houston, W.N., Padilla, J.M., Microcomputeraided evaluation of earthquake-induced permanent slope displacements. Microcomputers in Civil Engineering 2, 207–222, 1987
  9. Jibson, R.W., Predicting earthquake-induced landslide displacements using Newmark's sliding block analysis. Transportation Research Record 1411, 9–17, 1993
  10. Jibson, R.W., Keefer, D.K., Analysis of the seismic origin of landslides: examples from the NewMadrid seismic zone. Geological Society of America Bulletin 105, 521–536, 1993
  11. California Division of Mines and Geology, Guidelines for evaluating and mitigating seismic hazards in California. California Division of Mines and Geology Special Publication vol. 117. 74 pp, 1997
  12. Jibson, R.W., Harp, E.L., Michael, J.M., A method for producing digital probabilistic seismic landslide hazard maps: an example from the Los Angeles, California area. US Geological Survey Open-File Report 98-113. 17 pp, 1998
  13. Mankelow, J.M.,Murphy,W., Using GIS in the probabilistic assessment of earthquake triggered landslide hazards. Journal of Earthquake Engineering 2, 593–623, 1998
  14. Bray, J.D., Rathje, E.M., Earthquake-induced displacements of solid-wastelandfills. Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering 124, 242–253, 1998
  15. Luzi, L., Pergalani, F., Slope instability in static and dynamic conditions for urban planning: the “Oltre Po Pavese” case history (Regione Lombardia — Italy). Natural Hazards 20, 57–82, 1999
  16. Miles, S.B., Ho, C.L., Rigorous landslide hazard zonation using Newmark's method and stochastic ground motion simulation. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 18, 305–323, 1999
  17. Jibson, R.W., Harp, E.L., Michael, J.M., A method for producing digital probabilistic seismic landslide hazard maps. Engineering Geology 58, 271–289, 2000
  18. Miles, S.B., Keefer, D.K., Evaluation of seismic slope performance models using a regional case study. Environmental and Engineering Geoscience 6, 25–39, 2000
  19. Miles, S.B., Keefer, D.K., Seismic Landslide Hazard for the City of Berkeley, California. US Geological Survey Miscellaneous Field Studies Map MF-2378, 2001
  20. Del Gaudio, V., Pierri, P., Wasowski, J., An approach to time-probabilistic evaluation of seismically induced landslide hazard. Bulletin. Seismological Society of America 93, 557–569, 2003
  21. Pradel, D., Smith, P.M., Stewart, J.P., Raad, G., Case history of landslide movement during the Northridge earthquake. Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering 131, 1360–1369, 2005
  22. Haneberg, W.C., Effects of digital elevation model errors on spatially distributed seismic slope stability calculations: an example from Seattle, Washington. Environmental and Engineering Geoscience 12, 247–260, 2006
  23. Rathje, E., Saygili, G., A vector hazard approach for Newmark sliding block analysis. Proceedings, New Zealand Workshop on Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering Workshop, 20–23 November. University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand, pp. 205–216, 2006
  24. Arias, A., A measure of earthquake intensity. In: Hansen, R.J. (Ed.), Seismic Design for Nuclear Power Plants. Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press, Cambridge,MA, pp. 438–483, 1970
  25. Hesieh Shang-Yu, Chyi-Tyi Lee. Empirical estimation of the Newmark desplacement from the Arias intensity and critical acceleration. Engineering Geology 122, 34–42,2011
  26. Jibson, R.W. Regression models for estimating coseismic landslide displacement. Engineering Geology, 91:209-218, 2007.
  27. Yiğit, A., Lav, M.,A, Gedikli, A., Türkiye Deprem Verilerine Göre Newmark Yönteminin Uygulanması, 7. Uluslararası Katılımlı Geoteknik Sempozyumu, İstanbul, İMO, 2017.
  28. Url-2
  29. Url-3
  30. Url-1, erişim tarihi: 14.01.2019.
  31. Jibson, R.W., Harp, E.L., Michael, J.M., A method for producing digital probabilistic seismic landslide hazard maps: an example from the Los Angeles, California area. US Geological Survey Open-File Report 98-113. 17 pp, 1998
  32. Yiğit, A., Lav, M.,A, Gedikli, A., Türkiye Deprem Verilerine Göre Newmark Yönteminin Uygulanması, 7. Uluslararası Katılımlı Geoteknik Sempozyumu, İstanbul, İMO, 2017.