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Journals / Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi / 2015 / Cilt: 16 - Sayı: 2

IS THE TOURISM-LED GROWTH HYPOTHESIS TLGH VALID FOR TURKEY?

TURİZME DAYALI BÜYÜME HİPOTEZİ TÜRKİYE İÇİN GEÇERLİ Mİ?

Harun TERZİ
Pages
165–178
DOI
—
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

AI Insight
⚡ TL;DR(Too Long; Didn't Read)

The findings of this study support the view that tourism-led growth hypothesis is valid for the Turkish economy.

📌 3 Key Takeaways

🎯
Objective & Hypothesis:This study focuses on the causality relationship between international tourism revenue and economic growth in the Turkish economy during the period 1963-2013.
📊
Key Findings & Data:All tests yielded strong evidence for unidirectional positive significant causality running from tourism revenue to economic growth.
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Conclusion & Impact:The findings of this study support the view that tourism-led growth hypothesis is valid for the Turkish economy.
🔬Design:Research Article
📍Scope:2013 Verileri
⚙️Variables:Turizm Geliri · Ekonomik Büyüme · Nedensellik

Abstract

This study focuses on the causality relationship between international tourism revenue and economic growth in the Turkish economy during the period 1963-2013. Yearly time series data were obtained from the World Data Indicators and the Turkish Statistical Institute. Three different methodologies were employed to test the causality: pairwise Granger causality, unrestricted VAR and Toda-Yamamoto VAR analysis. All tests yielded strong evidence for unidirectional positive significant causality running from tourism revenue to economic growth. Additionally, IR and VD analyses also showed that the two variables affect each other. The findings of this study support the view that tourism-led growth hypothesis is valid for the Turkish economy.

Özet

Bu çalışmada uluslararası turizm gelirleri ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi 1963-2013 dönemi Türkiye ekonomisi için incelenmiştir. Araştırmada kullanılan yıllık zaman serileri Dünya Kalkınma Göstergeleri’nden WDI ve Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu’ndan TÜİK derlenmiştir. Nedenselliği test etmek amacıyla bu çalışmada standart Granger nedensellik, kısıtsız ve Toda Yamamoto VAR nedensellik gibi üç farklı nedensellik analizi kullanılmıştır. Tüm testler nedenselliğin güçlü bir şekilde turizm gelirlerinden ekonomik büyümeye doğru, pozitif ve tek yönlü olduğunu; ayrıca ET ve VA analizleri iki değişkenin birbirlerini karşılıklı olarak etkilediklerini göstermektedir. Bu çalışmanın bulguları, turizme dayalı büyüme hipotezinin Türkiye için geçerli olduğunu göstermektedir

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Cite This Article

TERZİ, H. (2015). IS THE TOURISM-LED GROWTH HYPOTHESIS TLGH VALID FOR TURKEY?. Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi, Cilt: 16 - Sayı: 2, 165–178. https://ajindex.com/articles/127114

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