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Dergiler / İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi / 2025 / Cilt: 12 Sayı: 1

The Impact of Tourism Activities on Carbon Emissions: Evidence Using a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression Model

Abdurrahman Çatık
Esra Ballı
Coşkun Akdeniz
Cihan Çobanoğlu
Mohamad Husam Helmi
Sayfa
238–257
Yayın Tarihi
2025-02-14
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JEL Classification : C32 , Q50 , Z30

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Amaç & Hipotez:This article examines the impact of tourism activities, economic growth, and energy demand on environmental degradation in Turkey using Primiceri’s (2005) time-varying parameter structural vector autoregression model for the period 1991:Q1 to 2020:Q1.
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Temel Bulgular & Veri:The findings from the linear VAR model indicate that the response of carbon emissions to shocks in tourism activity is negative and significant.
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Sonuç & Katkı:JEL Classification : C32 , Q50 , Z30
🔬Tür:Modelleme & Sayısal Simülasyon
📍Kapsam:2005 Verileri
⚙️Değişkenler:Tourism · CO2 Emissions · Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression Model

Abstract

This article examines the impact of tourism activities, economic growth, and energy demand on environmental degradation in Turkey using Primiceri’s (2005) time-varying parameter structural vector autoregression model for the period 1991:Q1 to 2020:Q1. The findings from the linear VAR model indicate that the response of carbon emissions to shocks in tourism activity is negative and significant. However, the time-varying responses show that the impact of tourism activities on environmental degradation varies over time but is not significant for most analysis period. The insignificant impact of tourism on carbon emissions implies that the tourism sector can be supported by policymakers without harming the environment. Furthermore, our findings on the positive and significant timevarying impact of tourism activities on economic growth support the validity of the tourism-led growth hypothesis. JEL Classification : C32 , Q50 , Z30

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Bu Makaleye Atıf Yap

Çatık, A., Ballı, E., Akdeniz, C., Çobanoğlu, C., Helmi, M. H. (2025). The Impact of Tourism Activities on Carbon Emissions: Evidence Using a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression Model. İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi, Cilt: 12 Sayı: 1, 238–257. https://doi.org/10.26650/JEPR1542059

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