Dergiler / Reforma / 2014 / Sayı: 64

TWIN DEFICIT HYPOTHESIS: KYRGYZSTAN CASE

TWIN DEFICIT HYPOTHESIS: KYRGYZSTAN CASE

Dergi
Reforma
Sayfa
26–33
DOI
—

Özet

This paper examines the validity of twin deficits hypothesis (the relationship between the budget deficit and the current account deficit) using the quarterly data period 2000:1-2013:4 in Kyrgyzstan. Results show that there is a strong positive relationship between these two deficits. The regression analysis showed that the increase in the budget deficit by one dollar leads to an increase in current account deficit to $0.83. These results confirm the Keynesian view, which asserts the existence of twin deficits.

Abstract

This paper examines the validity of twin deficits hypothesis (the relationship between the budget deficit and the current account deficit) using the quarterly data period 2000:1-2013:4 in Kyrgyzstan. Results show that there is a strong positive relationship between these two deficits. The regression analysis showed that the increase in the budget deficit by one dollar leads to an increase in current account deficit to $0.83. These results confirm the Keynesian view, which asserts the existence of twin deficits.

Anahtar kelimeler: twin deficits, budget deficit, the current account deficit, regression