Dergiler / Reforma / 2016 / Sayı: 72

MODELING THE DYNAMICS OF THE EXCHANGE RATE IN KYRGYZSTAN

MODELING THE DYNAMICS OF THE EXCHANGE RATE IN KYRGYZSTAN

Dergi
Reforma
Sayfa
48–55
DOI
—

Özet

The aim of this paper is to identify the main factors of exchange rate dynamics in Kyrgyzstan by using the regression model. The empirical study is based on quarterly data from the period 2007 to 2015. The analysis shows that the country's exchange rates are highly depend on external factors. The inflation rate, exports, dollarization and the monetization ratio can be shown as the major internal factors affecting to the dynamics of exchange rates.

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to identify the main factors of exchange rate dynamics in Kyrgyzstan by using the regression model. The empirical study is based on quarterly data from the period 2007 to 2015. The analysis shows that the country's exchange rates are highly depend on external factors. The inflation rate, exports, dollarization and the monetization ratio can be shown as the major internal factors affecting to the dynamics of exchange rates

Anahtar kelimeler: exchange rate, currency intervention, regression model