Dergiler / Reforma / 2018 / Sayı: 79
THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON MONEY SUPPLY IN KYRGYZSTAN
- Dergi
- Reforma
- Sayı
- 2018 · Sayı: 79
- Sayfa
- 52–59
- DOI
- —
Özet
Since Kyrgyzstan is a country dependent on imports in most commodities, the Central Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic sees the exchange rates’ stability as an important instrument of price stabilizing. However, such a policy may deteriorate the stability of the total money supply and adversely affect the economy. Therefore, in this study, it is aimed to examine the relations between exchange rate, money supply and official reserves by using 2002-2016 monthly data and cointegration method. Empirical results have shown that a change in the exchange rate causes opposite changes in both the reserves and the money supply as a result of the central bank’s interventions. However, more concrete recommendations on the effectiveness of monetary policy in Kyrgyzstan are required to make more detailed analysis.
Abstract
Since Kyrgyzstan is a country dependent on imports in most commodities, the Central Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic sees the exchange rates’ stability as an important instrument of price stabilizing. However, such a policy may deteriorate the stability of the total money supply and adversely affect the economy. Therefore, in this study, it is aimed to examine the relations between exchange rate, money supply and official reserves by using 2002-2016 monthly data and cointegration method. Empirical results have shown that a change in the exchange rate causes opposite changes in both the reserves and the money supply as a result of the central bank’s interventions. However, more concrete recommendations on the effectiveness of monetary policy in Kyrgyzstan are required to make more detailed analysis.