Real Measure of a Transmission Line Data with Load Fore-cast Model for The Future

Abstract

In this study, an electric transmission line takenhourly data of feeders, belonging to the 1990-2017 year inTurkey by using actual consumption value, load forecastinganalysis was done for the future. Short-medium-long termforecast range that results in hourly resolution, presented amathematical approach to versatile applications. A statisticalprediction tool that is called Exponentially Weighted MovingAverage (EWMA) is used to predict the next year's demand fortransmission in Turkey. In addition to this method, theestimated value of load factors near future, within a few yearsalso has been shown to successfully predict the hour as possible.To load demand will increase in the future, it was presentedsolutions to be taking precautions