Forecasting macro targets of the turkish economy for the year 2000: an application of box-jenkins and exponential smoothing methods

The basic macroeconomics targets of the Turkish economy for the year 2000 and thereafter are to reduce the interest rates to plansible levels and increase the total production in a steady way. The goal of this study is to see if the Turkish government  can realize these targets for the year 2000. For this purpose ,I employed, here in this study, two widely used forecasting techniques; Box Jenkins and exponential smooting procedures to forecast monthly future values of interest rates on deposits and industrial production index.

Turkish Economy ,

Forecasting ,

Macro Targets ,

Box-Jenkings Method ,

Exponential Smothing Method ,